Warri Wolves vs Abia Warriors: match statistics
Warri Wolves vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warri Wolves play Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Warri Township Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Warri Wolves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Abia Warriors: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warri Wolves scores 0.95 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.82 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warri Wolves 37%, Abia Warriors 29%. Over 2.5: Warri Wolves 34%, Abia Warriors 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.34. Warri Wolves: 4.9 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 5.6.
Match halves
Warri Wolves: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Warri Wolves: 46-60 (11 goals). Abia Warriors: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I forecast a home win for Warri Wolves. At home they concede only 0.5 goals per game on average and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of home matches, while Abia Warriors average just 0.5 goals on the road and fail to score in 56% of away fixtures. Warri create superior chances — home xG is 1.65, with 4.57 shots on target and 12 total shots on average, versus the visitors’ away xG of 0.86, 2.5 shots on target and 6.67 total shots, indicating a clear quality-opportunity advantage for the hosts. Both teams show similar recent form over the last five matches (3 goals scored each and an average of 1.2 points per game), but historical differentials are significant: Warri have a home goal difference of +9, while Abia’s away goal difference is -14, which further favors the hosts. Considering Warri’s xG superiority (1.65 vs 0.86), their defensive efficiency at home (0.5 goals conceded) and the high rate of clean sheets (67% vs Abia’s 22% away clean sheets), I rate a home victory as the most probable outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warri Wolves | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Warri Wolves is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 0.6 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warri Wolves is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.82 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Abia Warriors is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.89 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Abia Warriors scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Warri Wolves
Over / Under — Abia Warriors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abia Warriors is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.37 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Warri Wolves | Liga | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | • 37% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 34% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warri Wolves 0 - 0 - 1 Abia Warriors. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warri Wolves vs Abia Warriors?
The NPFL match finished Warri Wolves 2:1 Abia Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warri Wolves vs Abia Warriors?
Warri Wolves score 0.95 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.82. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Warri Wolves's matches and 29% of Abia Warriors's.
What form are Warri Wolves and Abia Warriors in?
Over the last 5 games Warri Wolves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Abia Warriors 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warri Wolves vs Abia Warriors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.