Waterford vs Derry City: match statistics
Waterford vs Derry City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Waterford play Derry City in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Waterford: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Derry City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Waterford scores 1.38 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. Derry City scores 1.28 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Waterford 63%, Derry City 64%. Over 2.5: Waterford 50%, Derry City 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Derry City has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.38. Waterford: 12.7 shots per match, Derry City: 13.4.
Match halves
Waterford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79. Derry City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Waterford: 76-90+ (9 goals). Derry City: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 3-0-3. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Derry City appears the favorite for this fixture: they sit 5th and have recorded 2 wins in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Waterford (10th) is winless in their last 5 with just 0.4 points per game. Waterford’s defense is vulnerable — they conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2.2 per game) and have a home xG conceded of 2.19, whereas Derry have conceded 4 in their last 5 and have an away xG conceded of 1.6. Both teams’ attacking output is low: Waterford score 0.86 goals at home with xG 1.18, and Derry score 0.75 goals away with xG 1.24, indicating only a small difference in chance quality. Derry also have superior possession (47% vs 38%) and a similar shot volume (10.25 vs 10.43), and the fact Waterford are still without a home win (0 wins, 6 draws) combined with a high share of opponent shutouts (Waterford failed to score in 43% of games, Derry 50% away) points to a narrow away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Waterford | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Waterford is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Waterford · 1.4 pts / match - Derry City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Waterford is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Waterford · 1.28 goals / match - Derry City
Derry City is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.96 goals / match - Waterford · 1.24 goals / match - Derry City
Waterford scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Derry City scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Waterford
Over / Under — Derry City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derry City is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Waterford · 1.28 pts / match - Derry City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Derry City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Waterford
Derry City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Waterford | Liga | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Waterford 3 - 0 - 3 Derry City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Waterford vs Derry City?
The Premier Division match finished Waterford 2:2 Derry City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Waterford and Derry City?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Waterford won 3, Derry City won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Waterford vs Derry City?
Waterford score 1.38 goals per game on average and Derry City 1.28. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Waterford's matches and 64% of Derry City's.
What form are Waterford and Derry City in?
Over the last 5 games Waterford have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Derry City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Waterford vs Derry City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.