Watford vs Wrexham: match statistics
Watford displays solid form in home matches with a 50% win rate and an impressive +7 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.44 goals per game at home while conceding only 1.06, and their xG (1.7) exceeds their xG Against (1.25), demonstrating offensive efficiency. Wrexham, despite a higher league position, shows significantly weaker away form – averaging only 1.24 goals scored against 1.0 conceded, and their away xG (0.97) is worryingly low compared to their xG Against (1.73). The recent form of both teams is evenly matched (Watford 1.4 PPG vs Wrexham 1.8 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home statistics and Wrexham's vulnerability in away matches strongly advocate for a Watford victory. However, Wrexham's high away draw percentage (35%) and solid away defense (35% clean sheets) suggest the match could be tight, hence a significant probability of shared points.
Watford vs Wrexham: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Watford played against Wrexham in Championship (England). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Watford has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Wrexham has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Watford scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.22. Wrexham scores 1.54 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Watford's games and 65% of Wrexham's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 46%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.30 per game. Watford takes 14.1 shots per game, while Wrexham takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Watford leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Wrexham leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Watford's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Wrexham, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford displays solid form in home matches with a 50% win rate and an impressive +7 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.44 goals per game at home while conceding only 1.06, and their xG (1.7) exceeds their xG Against (1.25), demonstrating offensive efficiency. Wrexham, despite a higher league position, shows significantly weaker away form – averaging only 1.24 goals scored against 1.0 conceded, and their away xG (0.97) is worryingly low compared to their xG Against (1.73). The recent form of both teams is evenly matched (Watford 1.4 PPG vs Wrexham 1.8 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home statistics and Wrexham's vulnerability in away matches strongly advocate for a Watford victory. However, Wrexham's high away draw percentage (35%) and solid away defense (35% clean sheets) suggest the match could be tight, hence a significant probability of shared points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Wrexham is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Watford · 2.4 pts / game - Wrexham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wrexham is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Watford · 1.54 goals / game - Wrexham
Watford scores in 76% of games (28 of 37 meczów), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 meczów).
Wrexham scores in 86% of games (32 of 37 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Wrexham
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wrexham is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Watford · 1.46 pts / game - Wrexham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Wrexham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Watford
Wrexham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.49 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Watford's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Wrexham. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Wrexham?
The Championship match finished Watford 3:1 Wrexham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Wrexham?
Watford score 1.27 goals per game on average and Wrexham 1.54. The Championship average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Watford's matches and 65% of Wrexham's.
What form are Watford and Wrexham in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Wrexham 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Wrexham?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Watford vs Wrexham: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.