Welayta Dicha vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even competition with a high likelihood of a draw scenario. Welayta Dicha occupies a distant 19th place in the table, but performs solidly in home matches with 50% draws and only 25% losses. The form of both teams in the last five meetings is very similar—the hosts earned 0.8 points per match and the guests 1.4 points, with both teams recording four draws during this period. Adama Kenema, despite a higher table position (6th place), plays very defensively on away grounds with 50% draws and an impressive 50% clean sheet rate, suggesting an approach focused on safety. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in possession (63% vs 48%) and better shooting efficiency (19% vs 11%), yet the hosts have a higher xG in home matches (1.51 vs 1.03 for the visitors away). Given the defensive style of both teams and their tendency to draw, a sharing of points is the most probable outcome.
Welayta Dicha vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welayta Dicha play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welayta Dicha 45%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 26%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.12. Welayta Dicha: 8.6 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to an even competition with a high likelihood of a draw scenario. Welayta Dicha occupies a distant 19th place in the table, but performs solidly in home matches with 50% draws and only 25% losses. The form of both teams in the last five meetings is very similar—the hosts earned 0.8 points per match and the guests 1.4 points, with both teams recording four draws during this period. Adama Kenema, despite a higher table position (6th place), plays very defensively on away grounds with 50% draws and an impressive 50% clean sheet rate, suggesting an approach focused on safety. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in possession (63% vs 48%) and better shooting efficiency (19% vs 11%), yet the hosts have a higher xG in home matches (1.51 vs 1.03 for the visitors away). Given the defensive style of both teams and their tendency to draw, a sharing of points is the most probable outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welayta Dicha is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Welayta Dicha is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 1 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Welayta Dicha
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welayta Dicha
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welayta Dicha 1 - 0 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 1:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Adama Kenema?
Welayta Dicha score 0.97 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Adama Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welayta Dicha vs Adama Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.