Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Welayta Dicha presents a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The team maintains a positive goal difference at their home ground (+2) and achieves a 33% win rate in home matches, whereas Ethiopian Medhin wins only 29% of away games with very poor form (0.4 PPG in the last 5 matches). The hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.54 vs 1.22 for the guests) and higher scoring efficiency in home fixtures. Ethiopian Medhin loses as many as 57% of away matches and holds a negative goal difference (-2), further diminishing their chances. Given the hosts' advantage in key statistics and the visitors' poor disposition, I expect a victory for Welayta Dicha, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high rate of draws (50%) in home matches.
Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Welayta Dicha played against Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Welayta Dicha has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ethiopian Medhin has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Welayta Dicha scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.23. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.75 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Welayta Dicha's games and 50% of Ethiopian Medhin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 33%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Welayta Dicha has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.24 per game. Welayta Dicha takes 8.9 shots per game, while Ethiopian Medhin takes 7.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Welayta Dicha leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Welayta Dicha's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Ethiopian Medhin, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Welayta Dicha presents a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The team maintains a positive goal difference at their home ground (+2) and achieves a 33% win rate in home matches, whereas Ethiopian Medhin wins only 29% of away games with very poor form (0.4 PPG in the last 5 matches). The hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.54 vs 1.22 for the guests) and higher scoring efficiency in home fixtures. Ethiopian Medhin loses as many as 57% of away matches and holds a negative goal difference (-2), further diminishing their chances. Given the hosts' advantage in key statistics and the visitors' poor disposition, I expect a victory for Welayta Dicha, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high rate of draws (50%) in home matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welayta Dicha is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Welayta Dicha · 0.4 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Welayta Dicha · 0.75 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Medhin is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Welayta Dicha · 1.08 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Welayta Dicha scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 meczów), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - Welayta Dicha · 1.33 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.23 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 40% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 57% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopian MedhinGoalBiruk Mulugeta Sheferaw
FAQ
What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 1:2 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Welayta Dicha score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.75. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 50% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The statistical background for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.