Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welwalo Adigrat Uni play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Adigrat Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.03. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.
Match halves
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Ethiopian Medhin holds a clear form advantage — in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws (0 losses), averaging 2.2 points per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni over the same period have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game. In attack the visitors average 3.25 shots on target and 7.69 attempts per away match, translating to 1.00 goals per game with a 13% conversion rate, whereas the home side at home record only 1.94 shots on target and 5.25 attempts and 0.81 goals per game. Defensively Ethiopian Medhin concede 0.88 goals per away match on average, while the hosts concede 1.13 at home; seasonally the visitors have conceded 25 goals versus the hosts' 33, and the goal difference in away/guest matches is +2 compared to -5 for the hosts. Quality-of-chances analysis confirms the visitors’ edge — average xG for is 1.26 away versus 0.96 xG for the hosts at home, with both teams showing a similar clean-sheet rate (31%). Considering the form advantage (2.2 vs 1.6 pts), higher number of shots on target (3.25 vs 1.94) and lower average goals conceded (0.88 vs 1.13), I tip the visitors to win and assess their chances at 55%, draw 25% and home win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Medhin is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:1 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The statistical background for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.