Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueAdigrat StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Welwalo Adigrat Uni play Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 22 June 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Adigrat Stadium. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%, Hadiya Hosaena 47%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%, Hadiya Hosaena 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Hadiya Hosaena has higher xG: 1.04 vs 1.03. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1.

Match halves

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I predict an away win (Hadiya Hosaena). Their away metrics are clearly stronger: they concede only 0.71 goals on average away, have 47% clean sheets and 41% away wins, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni concede 1.12 goals per home match and win just 29% of home games. Both teams create few chances — hosts score 0.82 goals at home on average, visitors 0.76 away, and xG is similar (0.97 vs 0.99), indicating a low-scoring affair. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 1 win and 4 draws (1.4 points per game), and the visitors 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game), giving the visitors a points advantage. Considering the visitors’ positive away goal difference (+1) versus the hosts’ -5 at home, I favor a narrow away victory with a relatively high probability of a draw.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
15Shots9
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
1Shots on target1
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
1.71xG1.11
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
8Corners6
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
95Dangerous attacks65
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
9Fouls10
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0Cards0
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.82Goals scored / match0.82
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.97Goals conceded / match0.92
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
46%Average possession46%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
2.05Shots on target / match2.05
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.74Shots per match6.08
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
2.05Shots on target2.05
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
14.3%Shot conversion13.4%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
46%Possession46%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
1.03xG for1.04
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
1.1xG against1.34
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

Shooting quality

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Counter-attackingHadiya Hosaena: Counter-attacking
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DDLWD
Season result split
26% W41% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-16-13
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-9
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: strong

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

32Goals scored (season)31
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
38Goals conceded (season)35
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
1.79Average goals in match1.74
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal68%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
18%2 goals11%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3%3 goals3%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal66%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
28%2 goals24%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3%3 goals3%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 39 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time18%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
10%Scored in both halves5%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
40%BTTS - last 540%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
21% leading59% draw21% trailing
Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.08
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.49Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.95Average goals (1st half)0.89
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
56%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
56%No goal before half-time63%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
0.79Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
69%Clean sheet after half-time66%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena
74%No goal after half-time63%
Welwalo Adigrat UniHadiya Hosaena

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

15% W64% R21% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.20.0
1 goal80%0%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
5
12
0-15
6
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
1
4
46-60
6
9
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Welwalo Adigrat UniLigaHadiya Hosaena
Average goals in match 1.791.78 1.74
Both teams scored 46%40% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%28% 24%
Clean sheets 36%40% 34%
Goal before half-time 64%56% 63%
Goal after half-time 44%59% 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 0 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.82 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's.

What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Hadiya Hosaena in?

Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.