Wikielec vs Lomza: match statistics
Wikielec vs Lomza: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wikielec played against Lomza in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Wikielec has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Lomza has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Wikielec scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.59. Lomza scores 2.19 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 3.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Wikielec's games and 48% of Lomza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 56%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lomza has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.57 per game. Wikielec takes 10.2 shots per game, while Lomza takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Wikielec leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Lomza leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wikielec's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Lomza, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 1 games average 3.38 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lomza is the clear favorite: they sit 3rd in the table with a 16-5-6 record, while Wikielec are 15th at 8-5-14. Offensively the visitors have scored 59 goals this season (1.85 goals per away match) versus Wikielec’s 30 goals (0.92 in home matches); their average xG is 1.70 against the hosts’ 1.36, indicating better chance quality. Lomza’s efficiency is higher: 5.55 shots on target per match and a conversion rate of 13% compared to 3.8 and 8% for Wikielec; additionally the visitors concede 0.92 goals per away game on average, while the hosts concede 1.54 at home. In the last 5 matches Lomza averaged 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Wikielec averaged only 0.6 points (1 win, 4 losses), and Lomza have 38% of away games with a clean sheet versus 0% for the hosts. Considering the advantage in wins (16 vs 8), goals (59 vs 30), superior xG (1.70 vs 1.36) and form, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% vs 35% because Wikielec has a seasonal BTTS of 57% and BTTS in the last 5 matches at 100%, conceding an average of 2.2 goals in those 5 games, indicating significant home vulnerability. Lomża has a seasonal BTTS of 38% and only 20% BTTS in the last 5, but averaged 1.4 goals in that period and posts a season xG_for of 1.70, so the visitors have genuine scoring potential. Both teams have similar xG values: 1.78 for Wikielec vs 1.70 for Lomża, and shots on target 6.4 vs 5.55 confirm both create chances. Additionally, the league shows a high BTTS of 64% and an average of 3.4 goals per match, which supports a Goal/Goal outcome, although Lomża has conceded only 26 goals this season versus Wikielec’s 43, so I apply a conservative 65/35 weighting.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and opponent metrics, I expect about 1.59 goals for Wikielec (xG 1.78 vs opponent conceded xG 1.40) and 1.41 goals for Łomża (xG 1.70 vs opponent conceded xG 1.13), totaling 3.00 goals. A Poisson model with λ=3.00 yields probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈80.1%, Over 2.5 ≈57.7% and Over 3.5 ≈35.3%. Season indicators confirm a high-goal profile: Wikielec has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Łomża 77%, and the league averages 3.4 goals per match with 68% of games over 2.5. Home side averages 2.5 goals with 17% shot conversion, visitors 1.85 goals with 13% conversion, which strengthens the over signal. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest line (highest statistical support), with moderate backing for Over 2.5 and low support for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Wikielec leading at the break and winning the match). Wikielec led at half-time in 7 matches this season (50%), while Łomża did so in only 2 (15%), and the home side score an average of 1.0 goals by half-time versus 0.54 for the visitors. Over the full match Wikielec average 2.5 goals and have a 64% win rate (an average of 2.14 points per home game), whereas Łomża record 1.85 goals and a 54% win rate; the home advantage is supported by xG of 1.78 versus 1.7 and a higher number of shots on target (6.4 vs 5.55) and conversion rate 17% vs 13%. Additionally, the hosts are strong in second halves: they average 1.86 goals in the second half and have a 71% win rate in that period, which increases the likelihood that a lead at the break will be maintained to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wikielec | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lomza is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Wikielec · 1.4 pts / game - Lomza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lomza is 97% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Wikielec · 2.19 goals / game - Lomza
Lomza is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Wikielec · 0.96 goals / game - Lomza
Wikielec scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 meczów).
Lomza scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 meczów), while Wikielec keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wikielec
Over / Under - Lomza
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lomza is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Wikielec · 1.44 pts / game - Lomza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wikielec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wikielec
Lomza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wikielec | Liga | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.70 | 3.38 | ▼ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 20% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Wikielec's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lomza. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wikielec vs Lomza?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wikielec 1:2 Lomza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wikielec vs Lomza?
Wikielec score 1.11 goals per game on average and Lomza 2.19. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Wikielec's matches and 48% of Lomza's.
What form are Wikielec and Lomza in?
Over the last 5 games Wikielec have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lomza 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wikielec vs Lomza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.