Netherlands - EredivisieKoning Willem II StadionData current as of October 17, 2026

Willem II vs Excelsior: match statistics

Willem II crest
Willem II
0 : 3half-time 0:2
Excelsior crest
Excelsior

Willem II vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Willem II played against Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion. Final score: 0:3.

Recent form

Willem II has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.33 points per game. Excelsior has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Willem II scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 3.33. Excelsior scores 2.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 4.03 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Willem II's games and 67% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 100%, compared with league averages of 78% for BTTS and 83% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Excelsior has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.09 per game. Willem II takes 11.3 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 12.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Willem II leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 67% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Willem II's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eredivisie games average 4.03 goals. Both teams score in 78% of games, and 83% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Excelsior sit 7th, while Willem II are only 15th, and the visitors’ season record stands at 2 wins and 1 defeat compared with the hosts’ 0 victories. Excelsior are in significantly better form: they have collected 10 points and scored 11 goals in their last five matches, whereas Willem II have managed just 4 points while conceding as many as 13 goals. Away from home, Excelsior have won every match so far, averaging 4 goals scored and conceding none, with an xG of 1.82 and an xG against of 0.85. Willem II concede an average of 3 goals per home match, have not kept a clean sheet, and their opponents create chances worth an average of 2.12 xG against them. The hosts are capable of scoring, but their 1.14 xG and just 36% possession suggest that Excelsior should have the edge in terms of chance quality.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes looks favorable, as Willem II have scored in 100% of matches played by both teams so far, while in the last five games both teams scored in 100% of Willem II’s matches and 80% of Excelsior’s. Willem II have conceded an average of 2.6 goals in their last five matches, with a very high against-xG of 2.21, which significantly strengthens Excelsior’s chances of scoring. The visitors are highly dangerous offensively: they have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches, with an average xG of 1.34. The risk to this pick is Excelsior’s more solid defense, which has kept a clean sheet in 100% of matches this season and allows an xG of 0.85. However, Willem II generate an xG of 1.24 at home and average 3.5 shots on target. Additionally, the league’s BTTS rate stands at as much as 76%, making a scenario in which both sides score more likely than BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score—not necessarily a 0:0 draw or neither team scoring.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Willem II averaged 1.4 goals scored and as many as 2.6 goals conceded, resulting in an average of 4.0 goals per game. Over the same period, Excelsior scored 2.2 goals per match, while their opponents created chances worth only 1.36 xG on average, compared with 2.21 xG allowed by Willem II’s defense. Over 2.5 goals landed in all five of Willem II’s last matches and in 80% of Excelsior’s games, while both teams exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches so far this season. Additionally, Excelsior averages 18 shots and 9 shots on target, clearly more than Willem II’s 10 shots and 3.5 shots on target. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.0 goals and the visitors’ attacking profile significantly reduce the risk of a very low-scoring game.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Excelsior have a clear attacking quality advantage: they average 1.82 xG compared with Willem II’s 1.24, registering 18 shots and 9 on target per match, compared with the hosts’ 10 and 3.5, respectively. The visitors have averaged 3.0 goals before half-time and have conceded none during that period, while in their last five matches they were leading at the break in 60% of games, compared with just 20% for Willem II. The hosts’ defense allows opponents an average of 1.66 xG, and the team conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match across their last five outings. Excelsior won 60% of their last five matches and averaged 2.2 goals in them, making an Excelsior lead at half-time and a win at the final whistle the most likely HT/FT outcome: 1/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

59Possession (%)41
Willem IIExcelsior
16Shots14
Willem IIExcelsior
2Shots on target6
Willem IIExcelsior
1.67xG1.66
Willem IIExcelsior
7Corners6
Willem IIExcelsior
71Dangerous attacks49
Willem IIExcelsior
10Fouls13
Willem IIExcelsior
2Cards1
Willem IIExcelsior

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Goals scored / game2.33
Willem IIExcelsior
3.33Goals allowed / game1
Willem IIExcelsior
34%Average possession46%
Willem IIExcelsior
2.67Shots on target / game5.33
Willem IIExcelsior

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.33Shots per game12.67
Willem IIExcelsior
2.67Shots on target5.33
Willem IIExcelsior
11.8%Shot conversion18.4%
Willem IIExcelsior
34%Possession46%
Willem IIExcelsior
1.09xG for1.43
Willem IIExcelsior
2.19xG against1.39
Willem IIExcelsior

Shooting quality

Willem II: BalancedExcelsior: Counter-attacking
Willem IIExcelsior
Accuracy (shots on target)24%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Excelsior is 506% better for: last-5 form.

0.33 pts / game - Willem II · 2 pts / game - Excelsior

Willem II
LLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W33% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 3.3xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 2.19BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Excelsior
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Excelsior is 75% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Willem II · 2.33 goals / game - Excelsior

Excelsior is 233% better for: goals allowed per game.

3.33 goals / game - Willem II · 1 goals / game - Excelsior

Willem II scoring profile: very strong

Willem II scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 games).

4Goals scored (season)7
Willem IIExcelsior
10Goals conceded (season)3
Willem IIExcelsior
4.67Average goals per game3.33
Willem IIExcelsior
4Goals scored (last 5)7
Willem IIExcelsior
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
Willem IIExcelsior

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Willem IIExcelsior
33%2 goals67%
Willem IIExcelsior
0%3 goals33%
Willem IIExcelsior
0%4 goals33%
Willem IIExcelsior

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
Willem IIExcelsior
100%2 goals33%
Willem IIExcelsior
67%3 goals0%
Willem IIExcelsior
67%4 goals0%
Willem IIExcelsior

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Willem IIExcelsior
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Willem IIExcelsior
0%Scored in both halves67%
Willem IIExcelsior

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Willem IIExcelsior
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Willem IIExcelsior
100%BTTS - last 567%
Willem IIExcelsior

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Willem IIExcelsior
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Willem IIExcelsior
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Willem IIExcelsior

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Willem IIExcelsior
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Willem IIExcelsior
100%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Willem IIExcelsior

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Excelsior is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / game - Willem II · 2 pts / game - Excelsior

Willem II - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Excelsior - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per game (1st half)2
Willem IIExcelsior
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
Willem IIExcelsior
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Willem IIExcelsior
1Average goals (1st half)1.67
Willem IIExcelsior
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Willem IIExcelsior
67%No goal before half-time33%
Willem IIExcelsior

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per game (2nd half)1.67
Willem IIExcelsior
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Willem IIExcelsior
2.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Willem IIExcelsior
3.67Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Willem IIExcelsior
0%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Willem IIExcelsior
33%No goal after half-time0%
Willem IIExcelsior

Willem II - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+2.0

Allows 2.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Excelsior - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Willem II - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.670.33
Goals scored / game0.31.0
Goals allowed / game0.72.7
Average goals per game1.03.7
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet33%0%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1
Excelsior - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.67
Goals scored / game1.31.0
Goals allowed / game0.30.7
Average goals per game1.71.7
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal33%0%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Willem II
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 2.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Willem II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.90
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

Willem IILigaExcelsior
Average goals per game▲ 4.674.03▼ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 100%78%▼ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%83%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▼ 0%11%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%81%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%97%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

4.03
Average goals per game
78%
Both teams scored
83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
11%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
2.36
Away goals / game
+-29%
Home attack advantage
+-41%
Home defensive advantage
+-25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
97%
1 goal
78%
2 goals
42%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ExcelsiorGoalDavid GardenAssist: Irakli Yegoian
  2. ExcelsiorGoalRick MeissenAssist: Simon Jansson
  3. Willem IIYellow cardKasper Boogaard
  4. Willem IISubstitutionOn: Thomas VerheijdtOff: Kasper Boogaard
  5. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Ilano Silva TimasOff: Aymen Sliti
  6. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Nesto GroenOff: Ágúst Þorsteinsson
  7. Willem IIYellow cardJaden Fernando Slory
  8. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Giuliano CairoOff: David Garden
  9. Willem IISubstitutionOn: Chidozie Obi-MartinOff: Jaden Fernando Slory
  10. ExcelsiorGoalIrakli YegoianAssist: Stijn van Gassel
  11. ExcelsiorYellow cardNesto Groen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Willem II vs Excelsior?

The Eredivisie match finished Willem II 0:3 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs Excelsior?

Willem II score 1.33 goals per game on average and Excelsior 2.33. The Eredivisie average is 4.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 83% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Willem II's matches and 67% of Excelsior's.

What form are Willem II and Excelsior in?

Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Excelsior 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs Excelsior?

The statistical background for Willem II vs Excelsior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.