Wolfsburg vs Bayern München: match statistics
Wolfsburg vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wolfsburg played against Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Wolfsburg has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bayern München has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Wolfsburg scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 2.09. Bayern München scores 3.63 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's games and 66% of Bayern München's. The Over 2.5 rates are 66% and 97%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.31 to 1.32 per game. Wolfsburg takes 11.5 shots per game, while Bayern München takes 19.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Wolfsburg leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Bayern München leads at halftime in 59% and scores 2.16 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wolfsburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Bayern München, it is minutes 76-90+ (34 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 9.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win ('2') because Bayern averages 3.31 goals per away match with an average xG of 2.11 and 8.06 shots on target, whereas Wolfsburg at home scores only 1.31 goals per match with xG 1.56 and 4.69 shots on target. Bayern has a 20% shot-to-goal conversion rate versus Wolfsburg’s 10%, and Bayern have 0% of away matches without scoring compared to 25% of Wolfsburg’s home matches without a goal. Defensively the hosts concede an average of 1.94 goals at home, while Bayern concede 1.06 away; although Bayern conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game), their attack scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) versus Wolfsburg’s 7 (1.4) over the same period. Additionally, Bayern win 81% of away fixtures compared to only 13% home wins for Wolfsburg, and average possession of 67% versus 50% indicates game control and more chances. Based on these advantages I estimate Bayern’s win probability at about 75%, draw 15% and Wolfsburg win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong BTTS signal: Wolfsburg have 69% of matches with both teams scoring this season, Bayern 63%, and in the last 5 meetings each side produced BTTS in 80% of cases. This season Wolfsburg scored 42 and conceded 67 (avg 1.13 conceded per match), while Bayern scored 116 and conceded 35 (avg 1.06 conceded). xG metrics indicate Wolfsburg generate xG 2.50 and allow xG 1.00, and Bayern have xG 2.11 and concede xG 1.22, meaning both teams create and concede clear scoring chances. In the last 5 matches Wolfsburg averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, and Bayern 2.8 scored and 2.4 conceded, confirming a tendency for goal exchange. Considering the 69% vs 63% seasonal BTTS, 80% in the last 5 and low clean sheet rates of 31% and 38% (below the league 43%), I assess the "Both Teams To Score - Yes" scenario as dominant and assign it a 78% probability versus 22% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based forecast: Wolfsburg has an average attacking xG of 2.50 while Bayern’s defense concedes an average xG of 1.22, implying an expected ~1.86 goals for Wolfsburg. Conversely, Bayern’s attacking xG is 2.11 and Wolfsburg’s defense concedes 1.00, implying ~1.56 goals for Bayern and a total of 3.42 goals in the match. Seasonal stats confirm high goal potential — Wolfsburg has 100% of matches over 1.5 and 100% over 2.5, Bayern 100% over 1.5 and 94% over 2.5; additionally BTTS occurred in 69% and 63% of their matches. Average shots on target 9.0 (Wolfsburg) and 8.06 (Bayern) with conversion rates of 18% and 20%, and the last 5 games showing a combined goals average around 4.2 (1.4+2.8), increase the likelihood of more goals. For these reasons I back the over side and consider the 1.5 line the strongest signal (very high probability — I estimate 98% for Over 1.5), while Over 2.5 also has solid support (~85%) given the seasonal indicators.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Wolfsburg led at the break in 12 of 16 home matches (75%), averaging 2.06 goals by HT versus Bayern’s just 0.88 HT goals, which strongly favors the home side after 45 minutes. Bayern, however, dominate second halves: the visitors average 2.44 goals after the break and win the second half in 81% of cases, while Wolfsburg score 1.88 goals after the break and win the second half in 63% of matches. xG shows 2.50 for Wolfsburg and 2.11 for Bayern, meaning Wolfsburg creates more HT chances but Bayern have greater productivity and a stronger ability to effect a turnaround in the second half. Given the 75% probability of Wolfsburg leading at halftime combined with Bayern’s 81% effectiveness in second halves, the most likely scenario is 1/2 (home lead HT, away win FT) with the highest assigned probability of 34%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsburg | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bayern München is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Wolfsburg · 2.6 pts / game - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 177% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Wolfsburg · 3.63 goals / game - Bayern München
Bayern München is 92% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.09 goals / game - Wolfsburg · 1.09 goals / game - Bayern München
Wolfsburg scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 meczów).
Bayern München scores in 100% of games (32 of 32 meczów), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Wolfsburg · 2.03 pts / game - Bayern München
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 59% of games and wins 81%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +10 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (34 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +23 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wolfsburg
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsburg | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.41 | 3.22 | ▲ 4.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 63% | ▲ 97% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 21% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 85% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Wolfsburg's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bayern München. Games average 9.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsburg vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsburg 0:1 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsburg vs Bayern München?
Wolfsburg score 1.31 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.63. The Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's matches and 66% of Bayern München's.
What form are Wolfsburg and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsburg have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bayern München 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsburg vs Bayern München?
The statistical background for Wolfsburg vs Bayern München — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.