Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: match statistics
Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Yanbian Longding played against Heilongjiang Lava Spring in China League One (China). The game was played on July 4, 2026. Venue: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Yanbian Longding has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Heilongjiang Lava Spring has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Yanbian Longding scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 0.92. Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores 1.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Yanbian Longding's games and 92% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.02 per game. Yanbian Longding takes 8.2 shots per game, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Yanbian Longding leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Heilongjiang Lava Spring leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Yanbian Longding's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Heilongjiang Lava Spring, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
China League One games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw. Home team has 0% wins and 100% draws at home (five-match home draw streak), while visitors have 60% draws on the road. Home average goals at home: 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per match; visitors away: 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, indicating visitors’ offensive edge but home defensive stability. In last 5 matches homes scored 8 goals and average 1.4 points per match; visitors scored 9 but conceded 13 and average 0.6 points per match, suggesting defensive instability for the visitors. Quality-of-chance analysis shows homes generate 1.23 xG at home vs 1.09 xG against, while visitors away have 1.2 xG vs 1.4 xG against; visitors register more on-target shots (4.4 vs 3.6) and higher conversion (15% vs 8%), so they convert chances better. Considering 100% home draws, 60% away draws for visitors, higher home possession (56% vs 51%) and higher visitor efficiency, a draw is the most likely outcome with low probability of either side winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators strongly favor BTTS: Yanbian has BTTS 100% this season, while Heilongjiang 80%, providing a strong baseline signal that both teams typically score. The hosts have no clean sheets (0% this season), and the visitors kept a clean sheet in only 20% of matches, so the likelihood of either team failing to score is low. Offensive metrics and xG confirm this — Yanbian posts average xG 1.57 and 5.0 shots on target, while Heilongjiang has xG 1.2 and 4.4 shots on target, with the visitors showing higher conversion (15% vs hosts’ 12%). The last 5 matches are mixed: Yanbian had BTTS in 40% of their last 5 and conceded an average 1.6 goals, whereas Heilongjiang has BTTS 100% in their last 5 and concedes 2.6 goals on average, increasing the probability of goals at both ends. Considering the seasonal 100% vs 80%, the hosts’ lack of clean sheets, and the visitors’ weaker defense in the last 5 (2.6 conceded), I favor BTTS - Yes at approximately 80% vs 20% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is approximately 2.77 (1.57 for Yanbian and 1.20 for Heilongjiang), and the seasonal goals averages are 1.57 and 1.40, yielding roughly ~2.97 goals per game. Yanbian have 100% of home matches with over 1.5 goals, while Heilongjiang have 80% on the road, so the 1.5 line looks exceptionally safe (I estimate ~95%). For the 2.5 line, seasonal Over rates are 57% for Yanbian and 40% for Heilongjiang; combined xG of 2.77 and the visitors’ last 5 matches with xG 1.74 and 1.8 goals scored suggest a moderate chance of Over 2.5 (about 60%). Over 3.5 is less likely — seasonal values of 43% and 20% indicate roughly a 30% probability of more than 3.5 goals. Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, with expected goals 1.57 vs 1.20 = 2.77.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/2 (away team leading at half and winning). Away teams led at the break in 40% of matches versus 14% for home teams, and they average 1.6 points by half-time compared to 0.86 for hosts, giving them the edge in the first half. Seasonally, away teams average 1.4 goals and 1.8 points per match, while hosts score 1.57 goals and average 1.0 point, so statistically the away side is stronger in the final result. Hosts concede 1.14 goals on average before the break, whereas away teams concede only 0.4; additionally, hosts had 100% of home matches with both teams scoring, and away teams in 80% of their games, indicating open matches but better away defensive performance before the break. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 2/2 (26%), followed by X/2 (21%) and X/X (17%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Yanbian Longding | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Yanbian Longding is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Yanbian Longding · 0.6 pts / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Yanbian Longding · 1.5 goals / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Yanbian Longding is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Yanbian Longding · 1.5 goals / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Yanbian Longding scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 meczów), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 meczów).
Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 meczów), while Yanbian Longding keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yanbian Longding
Over / Under - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yanbian Longding is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Yanbian Longding · 1.17 pts / game - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yanbian Longding - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Yanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Yanbian Longding | Liga | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.17 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 54% | ▲ 92% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Yanbian Longding's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
The China League One match finished Yanbian Longding 3:0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yanbian Longding and Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 1, Heilongjiang Lava Spring won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Yanbian Longding score 1.25 goals per game on average and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.50. The China League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Yanbian Longding's matches and 92% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's.
What form are Yanbian Longding and Heilongjiang Lava Spring in?
Over the last 5 games Yanbian Longding have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.