Yate Town vs Uxbridge: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a slight inclination towards a draw. Yate Town presents solid home form with 36% wins and only 27% defeats at home, achieving a positive goal difference (+3). Uxbridge, meanwhile, has an impressive 54% draw rate away, suggesting a defensive approach and difficulty in breaking down their defense. Both teams are going through a weaker period—Yate won only 1 of their last 5 matches, and Uxbridge also recorded just one victory. The average of 2.09 goals per match for the hosts and 3.08 for the visitors suggests an open game, but Uxbridge's high away draw rate (54%) and the teams' similar xG values argue for a split of points. Therefore, I predict a draw as the most probable outcome of this meeting.
Yate Town vs Uxbridge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yate Town play Uxbridge in Southern League Premier South (England). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Yate Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Uxbridge: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yate Town scores 1.36 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Uxbridge scores 1.76 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yate Town 57%, Uxbridge 69%. Over 2.5: Yate Town 57%, Uxbridge 71%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Uxbridge has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.17. Yate Town: 1.9 shots per match, Uxbridge: 3.5.
Match halves
Yate Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79. Uxbridge: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Yate Town: 76-90+ (17 goals). Uxbridge: 61-75 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a slight inclination towards a draw. Yate Town presents solid home form with 36% wins and only 27% defeats at home, achieving a positive goal difference (+3). Uxbridge, meanwhile, has an impressive 54% draw rate away, suggesting a defensive approach and difficulty in breaking down their defense. Both teams are going through a weaker period—Yate won only 1 of their last 5 matches, and Uxbridge also recorded just one victory. The average of 2.09 goals per match for the hosts and 3.08 for the visitors suggests an open game, but Uxbridge's high away draw rate (54%) and the teams' similar xG values argue for a split of points. Therefore, I predict a draw as the most probable outcome of this meeting.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yate Town | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.83 | 1.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yate Town is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.6 pts / match - Uxbridge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Uxbridge is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.76 goals / match - Uxbridge
Yate Town is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.64 goals / match - Uxbridge
Yate Town scores in 71% of matches (30 of 42 matches), while Uxbridge keeps a clean sheet in 19% (8 of 42 matches).
Uxbridge scores in 83% of matches (35 of 42 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (9 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Yate Town
Over / Under — Uxbridge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Uxbridge is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.57 pts / match - Uxbridge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Uxbridge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yate Town
Uxbridge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Yate Town | Liga | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.16 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Yate Town 1 - 0 - 0 Uxbridge. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yate Town vs Uxbridge?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Yate Town 2:0 Uxbridge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yate Town vs Uxbridge?
Yate Town score 1.36 goals per game on average and Uxbridge 1.76. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Yate Town's matches and 69% of Uxbridge's.
What form are Yate Town and Uxbridge in?
Over the last 5 games Yate Town have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Uxbridge 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yate Town vs Uxbridge?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.