Yokohama vs Jubilo Iwata: match statistics

Yokohama are in significantly better current form: they have won all 5 of their most recent matches, while Jubilo Iwata recorded just 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat during the same period. The hosts scored 9 goals in those games, averaging 1.8 per match, while conceding just 2. Jubilo Iwata found the net 7 times, but their defense allowed as many as 9 goals, an average of 1.8 conceded per game. Such a clear difference in the goal difference across the last five appearances—+7 for Yokohama and -2 for the visitors—supports a controlled home win. Another factor in Yokohama’s favor is their stronger start to the league campaign: they won their only match so far and kept a clean sheet, while Jubilo opened the season with a 1:1 draw.

The BTTS signal is mixed: Yokohama saw both teams score in 40% of their last 5 matches, compared with 60% for Jubilo Iwata. However, the hosts are in excellent defensive form, conceding just 2 goals in their last five games—an average of 0.4 per match—while winning all five. Jubilo have recently averaged 1.4 goals scored but also 1.8 conceded, which clearly increases Yokohama’s chances of scoring, but does not guarantee an away goal. Yokohama’s average xG over their last five matches stands at 1.46, compared with Jubilo’s 1.30, while the hosts allow opponents an xG of 1.16. BTTS - No is therefore marginally stronger—the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Yokohama are in excellent form, having won their last five matches while averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game. Over the same period, Jubilo Iwata have averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded as many as 1.8, which primarily favors the home side’s attack. The hosts create chances worth 1.46 xG per match and average 16 shots, making their projected total of 1.70 goals justified. In the teams’ last five meetings, the 2.5-goal line was covered in 60% of cases, but Yokohama’s strong defense limits the visitors’ chances of producing a high-scoring game. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5: the combination of a projected 2.45 goals and Jubilo’s weak defense gives this option a clear edge.

Yokohama have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding just 0.4, while Jubilo Iwata have won only 20% of their games and conceded an average of 1.8 goals. The hosts were leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not trail in any of them after 45 minutes; their average first-half record was 0.8 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Jubilo averaged 0.6 goals before the break and were behind at half-time in 1 of their 5 matches. Yokohama’s advantage is also evident in the quality of their attacking play at home: their xG stands at 1.62, with 16 shots and 4 shots on target per match. The most likely scenario, therefore, is that the hosts will make the most of their strong start, take the lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.