Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing: match statistics

Yunnan Yukun have a clear home advantage: they win 55% of their home matches, while Dalian Zhixing win just 20% of their away fixtures and lose as many as 60% of them. The hosts average 2.09 goals per home game with an xG of 1.70, whereas the visitors score only 1.20 goals away from home and fail to score in 20% of their matches. Yunnan also create more chances, averaging 16 shots and 5.18 shots on target per game, compared with Dalian’s 12.3 shots and 4.8 on target. The hosts’ defense is not flawless, conceding an average of 1.64 goals, but the visitors’ away defense allows an average of 2.20 goals and has kept a clean sheet in just 10% of matches. Both teams have collected 8 points from their last five games, but Yunnan’s superior finishing and significantly stronger home statistics point to a home win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the strong scoring consistency of both teams in their recent matches: both Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing recorded goals from both sides in 80% of their last 5 games. The hosts score an average of 1.82 goals per match, while the visitors, despite their lower average of 1.20, are facing a defense that has conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game in its last 5 outings. Dalian have been particularly weak defensively over the season, averaging 2.20 goals conceded and recording clean sheets in only 10% of matches, while Yunnan have failed to score in none of their games. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures: 1.79 for the hosts and 1.43 for the visitors over the season, with values of 1.42 and 1.76 respectively across the last 5 matches. The season BTTS rates stand at 55% for Yunnan and 70% for Dalian, which, together with the league average of 63%, supports a scenario in which both teams find the net.

Yunnan Yukun score an average of 1.82 goals at home, while Dalian Zhixing concede as many as 2.20 goals per away match, which clearly strengthens the case for at least two goals. The hosts’ attacking potential is confirmed by an xG of 1.79, while the visitors allow their opponents an average of 1.57 xG. In their last five matches, Yunnan scored 12 and conceded 11 goals, meaning their games produced an average total of 4.6 goals. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 73% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of the visitors’ games, while both teams recorded 80% of matches with both sides scoring in their latest five-game runs. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as even in a less clinical match, the attacking data and Dalian’s defensive weakness give a high probability of more than two goals.

Yunnan Yukun hold a clear overall-season advantage: they win 73% of their matches and average 2.18 points per game, while Dalian Zhixing win just 20% and lose 60%. The hosts score an average of 1.82 goals with an xG of 1.79, whereas the visitors concede as many as 2.20 goals per match and allow opponents an xG of 1.57. Yunnan’s advantage becomes particularly pronounced after the break, when they average 1.27 goals scored and concede just 0.36, while Dalian concede an average of 1.10 goals in the second half. Although the hosts have led at half-time in only 27% of their matches, Dalian have been behind at the break in 60%, making a Yunnan lead at the break followed by a victory at full-time the most likely scenario.