Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a balanced contest with a high probability of a draw. Zabbar St. Patrick has shown solid form over the last five matches (1.8 points per game, currently on an unbeaten run), yet their home record is underwhelming, featuring just a 14% win rate and a significant 43% draw rate. Naxxar Lions boast superior offensive metrics on the road (xG 1.53 vs 0.93 for the hosts) and higher possession (54%), but they lose more than half of their away fixtures (56%). The deciding factor is the tendency of both sides to draw—the hosts share points in 43% of home games, compared to 22% for the visitors, with similar goal differences. Given Zabbar's current momentum (unbeaten in 5 matches) and the defensive vulnerabilities of both squads, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zabbar St. Patrick play Naxxar Lions in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 8 January 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Zabbar St. Patrick: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Naxxar Lions: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zabbar St. Patrick scores 1.32 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Naxxar Lions scores 1.27 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zabbar St. Patrick 59%, Naxxar Lions 58%. Over 2.5: Zabbar St. Patrick 47%, Naxxar Lions 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Naxxar Lions has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.09. Zabbar St. Patrick: 7.5 shots per match, Naxxar Lions: 8.5.
Match halves
Zabbar St. Patrick: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71. Naxxar Lions: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Zabbar St. Patrick: 31-45+ (11 goals). Naxxar Lions: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests a balanced contest with a high probability of a draw. Zabbar St. Patrick has shown solid form over the last five matches (1.8 points per game, currently on an unbeaten run), yet their home record is underwhelming, featuring just a 14% win rate and a significant 43% draw rate. Naxxar Lions boast superior offensive metrics on the road (xG 1.53 vs 0.93 for the hosts) and higher possession (54%), but they lose more than half of their away fixtures (56%). The deciding factor is the tendency of both sides to draw—the hosts share points in 43% of home games, compared to 22% for the visitors, with similar goal differences. Given Zabbar's current momentum (unbeaten in 5 matches) and the defensive vulnerabilities of both squads, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zabbar St. Patrick | Naxxar Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 1 pts / match - Naxxar Lions
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick · 1.55 goals / match - Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Naxxar Lions keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Naxxar Lions scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Zabbar St. Patrick keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Zabbar St. Patrick
Over / Under — Naxxar Lions
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zabbar St. Patrick - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Naxxar Lions - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zabbar St. Patrick | Liga | Naxxar Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Zabbar St. Patrick 0 - 1 - 1 Naxxar Lions. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Zabbar St. Patrick 1:2 Naxxar Lions. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zabbar St. Patrick and Naxxar Lions?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Zabbar St. Patrick won 0, Naxxar Lions won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.32 goals per game on average and Naxxar Lions 1.27. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Zabbar St. Patrick's matches and 58% of Naxxar Lions's.
What form are Zabbar St. Patrick and Naxxar Lions in?
Over the last 5 games Zabbar St. Patrick have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Naxxar Lions 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.