Zhetysu vs Altay: match statistics
Zhetysu vs Altay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Zhetysu played against Altay in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on July 11, 2026. Venue: Ortalıq Stadion Jetisu. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Zhetysu has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Altay has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Zhetysu scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.50. Altay scores 0.69 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Zhetysu's games and 44% of Altay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 25%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Altay has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.16 per game. Zhetysu takes 9.8 shots per game, while Altay takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Zhetysu leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Altay leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Zhetysu's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Altay, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.23 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (Zhetysu): their home defensive metrics are strong — they concede only 0.86 goals per home match on average and keep a clean sheet in 57% of home games, whereas Altay have recorded no shutouts away and concede 1.43 goals per away match. Zhetysu also have a clearly superior scoring output this season: 21 goals scored versus Altay’s 11, and at home they average 1.00 goal per game compared to Altay’s 0.71 on the road. Technically the visitors attempt more shots (11.14 vs 9.00) and more shots on target (4.29 vs 3.57), and their average away xG is 1.27 versus the home xG of 1.06 — this shows Altay create chances but suffer from a low conversion rate of 6% compared to Zhetysu’s 11%. Both teams have a similar form over the last 5 matches (1 point per game and 1-2-2 in the last five), so Zhetysu’s defensive advantage and home efficiency (home goal difference +1) will be decisive. I expect a low-scoring match with the home side winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates BTTS - Yes is more likely: Zhetysu has a season BTTS rate of 33% versus Altay 57%, but in the last 5 matches Zhetysu’s BTTS is 80% compared to Altay’s 60%, suggesting increased probability of both teams scoring. Both sides produce similar offensive xG (1.26 and 1.27), while xG against is 1.53 for Zhetysu and 1.44 for Altay, meaning both teams regularly concede scoring opportunities. Season-long goals per game are low (0.67 vs 0.71), but in the last 5 matches the teams averaged 1.8 and 1.2 goals respectively, and Zhetysu concedes 2.0 goals on average over the last 5, which reduces the likelihood of a clean sheet for either side (Altay has 0% clean sheets this season, Zhetysu 44%). Considering combined offensive pressure (xG ≈2.53) and recent form (80% BTTS for the home side), I favor the ‘Yes’ scenario and price it at 70% vs 30% for ‘No’.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects roughly 2.75 goals: (Zhetysu xG_for 1.26 + Altay xG_against 1.44)/2 = 1.35 for the home side and (Altay xG_for 1.27 + Zhetysu xG_against 1.53)/2 = 1.40 for the visitors. Seasonal goals averages are low (Zhetysu 0.67, Altay 0.71), but in the last 5 matches Zhetysu has averaged 1.8 goals and Altay 1.2 — totaling 3.0 goals per match (9+6 in five games), which supports a higher-scoring outcome. Both teams average ~10.7–11.1 shots and 4.0–4.29 shots on target with a conversion rate of 6%, and Altay has no clean sheets this season (0%), increasing the likelihood of goals. From these inputs we estimate ~76% chance for Over 1.5, ~52% for Over 2.5 and ~30% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (highest probability and lowest risk), Over 2.5 is only marginally favored, and Over 3.5 is too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal concerns a draw at half-time: the home team were level at the break in 78% of home matches, and the average goals for the hosts by half-time is only 0.56, with the hosts scoring on average 0.11 goals in the first half, indicating a high proportion of 0:0 or HT draws. After the break the advantage shifts to the visitors — in their last 5 matches the visitors averaged 1.4 points in second halves and won the second half in 40% of cases, while the hosts averaged just 0.8 points in that period and registered no second-half wins. The xG for both teams is almost identical (1.26 versus 1.27), so endings and finishing will be decisive; this is confirmed by the visitors scoring 4 goals in minutes 76–90, which suggests their second-half activity. Based on this, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a visitors' victory at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Zhetysu | Altay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zhetysu is 90% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Zhetysu · 0.69 goals / game - Altay
Altay is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Zhetysu · 1.13 goals / game - Altay
Zhetysu scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Altay scores in 50% of games (8 of 16 meczów), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zhetysu
Over / Under - Altay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zhetysu is 148% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Zhetysu · 0.63 pts / game - Altay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zhetysu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Altay - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Zhetysu
Altay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Zhetysu | Liga | Altay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.81 | 2.23 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Zhetysu's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Altay. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Zhetysu vs Altay?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Zhetysu 0:1 Altay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Zhetysu vs Altay?
Zhetysu score 1.31 goals per game on average and Altay 0.69. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Zhetysu's matches and 44% of Altay's.
What form are Zhetysu and Altay in?
Over the last 5 games Zhetysu have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Altay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zhetysu vs Altay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.