Italy - Serie AData updated noong July 23, 2026

AC Milan vs Inter Milan: match stats

AC Milan crest
AC Milan
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Inter Milan crest
Inter Milan
130%(3.25)
X25%(3.25)
245%(2.25)

Ang Inter Mediolan bilang table leader ay may malinaw na statistical advantage laban sa AC Milan, lalo na sa away matches kung saan sila ay nakakapag-impress ng 85% win rate at 69% clean sheets. Ang visitors may mas magandang goal difference sa season (64:21 vs 43:20), mas mataas na average goals scored sa away (2.0), at mas magandang shot conversion (11% vs 8%). Ang AC Milan sa home matches ay nananalo lang ng 54% ng games at may mas mahinang form sa last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG ng Inter, kahit na ang Inter ay may mas poor na recent period). Key factor ang dominance ng Inter sa away games na may 13-match unbeaten streak at mas mataas na average possession (61% vs 55%), na sa Milan derby ay pwedeng maging decisive. Kahit na may home advantage ang hosts, ang stats ay clearly nagfa-favor sa Inter Mediolan para makakuha ng three points.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

AC Milan vs Inter Milan sa Serie A (Italy). Naka-schedule ang match sa 8 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

AC Milan: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Inter Milan: 2-3-0 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

AC Milan scores 1.39 at concedes 0.92 goals per match. Inter Milan scores 2.34 at concedes 0.92. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Inter Milan 47%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 45%, Inter Milan 55%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots at playing style

Inter Milan ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.92 vs 1.49. AC Milan averages 13.2 shots per match, habang Inter Milan ay 17.1.

First at second half

AC Milan leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.87 goals after the break. Inter Milan: 55% at 1.37.

Goals by minute

AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Inter Milan: 76-90+ (21 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45% at Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Ang Inter Mediolan bilang table leader ay may malinaw na statistical advantage laban sa AC Milan, lalo na sa away matches kung saan sila ay nakakapag-impress ng 85% win rate at 69% clean sheets. Ang visitors may mas magandang goal difference sa season (64:21 vs 43:20), mas mataas na average goals scored sa away (2.0), at mas magandang shot conversion (11% vs 8%). Ang AC Milan sa home matches ay nananalo lang ng 54% ng games at may mas mahinang form sa last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG ng Inter, kahit na ang Inter ay may mas poor na recent period). Key factor ang dominance ng Inter sa away games na may 13-match unbeaten streak at mas mataas na average possession (61% vs 55%), na sa Milan derby ay pwedeng maging decisive. Kahit na may home advantage ang hosts, ang stats ay clearly nagfa-favor sa Inter Mediolan para makakuha ng three points.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

37Possession (%)63
AC MilanInter Milan
9Shots11
AC MilanInter Milan
2Shots on target2
AC MilanInter Milan
0.85xG1.38
AC MilanInter Milan
1Corners6
AC MilanInter Milan
18Dangerous attacks75
AC MilanInter Milan
8Fouls12
AC MilanInter Milan
2Cards2
AC MilanInter Milan

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AC MilanInter Milan
1.39Goals scored / match2.34
AC MilanInter Milan
0.92Goals conceded / match0.92
AC MilanInter Milan
52%Average possession60%
AC MilanInter Milan
4.37Shots on target / match6.03
AC MilanInter Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.24Shots per match17.11
AC MilanInter Milan
4.37Shots on target6.03
AC MilanInter Milan
10.5%Shot conversion13.7%
AC MilanInter Milan
52%Possession60%
AC MilanInter Milan
1.49xG for1.92
AC MilanInter Milan
1.3xG against1.03
AC MilanInter Milan

Shooting quality

AC Milan: BalancedInter Milan: Dominant
AC MilanInter Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inter Milan is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.8 pts / match - Inter Milan

AC Milan
DLLWL
Season result split
53% W26% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-10-8
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Inter Milan
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W16% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
27-6-5
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +54
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
13-3-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 68% better for: goals scored per match.

1.39 goals / match - AC Milan · 2.34 goals / match - Inter Milan

Scoring profile ng AC Milan: malakas

AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng Inter Milan: napakalakas

Inter Milan scores in 95% of matches (36 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

53Goals scored (season)89
AC MilanInter Milan
35Goals conceded (season)35
AC MilanInter Milan
2.32Average goals in match3.26
AC MilanInter Milan
5Goals scored (last 5)11
AC MilanInter Milan
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
AC MilanInter Milan

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal95%
AC MilanInter Milan
42%2 goals71%
AC MilanInter Milan
16%3 goals37%
AC MilanInter Milan
0%4 goals18%
AC MilanInter Milan

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal53%
AC MilanInter Milan
26%2 goals26%
AC MilanInter Milan
5%3 goals11%
AC MilanInter Milan
0%4 goals3%
AC MilanInter Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time24%
AC MilanInter Milan
5%BTTS in both halves16%
AC MilanInter Milan
24%Scored in both halves55%
AC MilanInter Milan

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
AC MilanInter Milan
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
AC MilanInter Milan
60%BTTS - last 560%
AC MilanInter Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
AC MilanInter Milan
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
AC MilanInter Milan
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
AC MilanInter Milan

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
AC MilanInter Milan
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
AC MilanInter Milan
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time39%
AC MilanInter Milan

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Milan is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.95 pts / match - Inter Milan

AC Milan - half-time state
26% leading55% draw18% trailing
Inter Milan - half-time state
55% leading29% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.95
AC MilanInter Milan
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.97
AC MilanInter Milan
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
AC MilanInter Milan
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.39
AC MilanInter Milan
63%Clean sheet before half-time71%
AC MilanInter Milan
55%No goal before half-time26%
AC MilanInter Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)2.05
AC MilanInter Milan
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)1.37
AC MilanInter Milan
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AC MilanInter Milan
1.34Average goals (2nd half)1.87
AC MilanInter Milan
55%Clean sheet after half-time58%
AC MilanInter Milan
39%No goal after half-time24%
AC MilanInter Milan

AC Milan - second-half results

47% W29% R24% P
51
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding204%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inter Milan - second-half results

61% W24% R16% P
74
Half-time points
37
Half-time goals
+21
Goal difference (1st half)
78
Second-half points
+33
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Inter Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
12
5
31-45
13
6
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
12
2
0-15
11
5
16-30
14
9
31-45
15
3
46-60
16
4
61-75
21
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.89
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
203%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AC MilanLigaInter Milan
Average goals in match 2.322.43 3.26
Both teams scored 47%45% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%46% 55%
Clean sheets 39%32% 47%
Goal before half-time 61%66% 79%
Goal after half-time 82%77% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: AC Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Inter Milan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng AC Milan vs Inter Milan?

Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na AC Milan 1:0 Inter Milan. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang AC Milan vs Inter Milan?

AC Milan scores 1.39 goals per match at Inter Milan 2.34. Ang Serie A average ay 2.43 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Inter Milan 47%.

Ano ang current form ng AC Milan at Inter Milan?

Sa last 5 matches, ang AC Milan ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Inter Milan ay 2-3-0 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng AC Milan vs Inter Milan?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.