Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Tres de FebreroData updated noong July 23, 2026

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela: match stats

Almagro crest
Almagro
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Atlético Rafaela crest
Atlético Rafaela

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela sa Prim B Nacional (Argentina). Naka-schedule ang match sa 4 July 2026 at 20:30. Venue: Estadio Tres de Febrero. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Almagro: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3 at 0.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Almagro scores 0.80 at concedes 1.10 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 at concedes 0.86. League average: 1.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Almagro 30%, Atlético Rafaela 29%. Over 2.5: Almagro 25%, Atlético Rafaela 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots at playing style

Atlético Rafaela ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.15 vs 1.09. Almagro averages 8.7 shots per match, habang Atlético Rafaela ay 8.4.

First at second half

Almagro leads at half-time sa 10% ng matches at scores 0.65 goals after the break. Atlético Rafaela: 14% at 0.48.

Goals by minute

Almagro: 46-60 (5 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39% at Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 0.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Bet ko home win sa Almagro — home win rate nila 56% at home goal difference +5, samantalang Atlético Rafaela nasa -5 away at only 11% away wins. Offensively, Almagro averages 1.22 goals/match sa home with 10.56 shots and 3 on target, habang Rafaela away lang 0.44 goals with 9 shots and 2.78 on target; conversion rate 12% vs 5%. Defensively, Almagro concedes 0.67 goals/match sa home, Rafaela concedes 1.00 away; xG shows 1.24 xG for Almagro vs 1.12 for Rafaela and xG against 1.38 vs 1.88, suggesting guests allow more high-quality chances. Last 5: Almagro scored 6 goals and averages 2 points/match (3W,1D,1L), Rafaela only 1 goal and 1.2 points/match (1W,3D,1L) — clear poorer offensive form from visitors. Rafaela fail to score in 56% of away games vs Almagro 22% clean sheets for Almagro without scoring, so despite some balanced elements (eg. 44% clean sheets both sides), I give higher probability to home win, with draw still a realistic outcome.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
9Shots7
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
2Shots on target2
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
1.3xG1.06
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
6Corners2
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
81Dangerous attacks64
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
16Fouls13
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
3Cards2
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0.8Goals scored / match0.71
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
1.1Goals conceded / match0.86
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
46%Average possession44%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
2.65Shots on target / match3
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.65Shots per match8.43
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
2.65Shots on target3
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
9.2%Shot conversion8.5%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
46%Possession44%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
1.09xG for1.15
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
1.6xG against1.54
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

Shooting quality

Almagro: BalancedAtlético Rafaela: Balanced
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Almagro is 400% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Almagro · 0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela

Almagro
DWWWL
Season result split
35% W20% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-9
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Atlético Rafaela
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-8
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Almagro is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Almagro · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela

Atlético Rafaela is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Almagro · 0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela

Scoring profile ng Almagro: mixed

Almagro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).

Scoring profile ng Atlético Rafaela: mixed

Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

16Goals scored (season)15
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
22Goals conceded (season)18
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
1.9Average goals in match1.57
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
5Goals scored (last 5)1
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal57%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
25%2 goals5%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0%3 goals5%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0%4 goals5%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal48%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
20%2 goals33%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
10%3 goals5%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
5%4 goals0%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

29%
Atlético Rafaela - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 21 matches
39%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time10%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
5%Scored in both halves5%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
20%BTTS - last 520%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

45%Min. 1 goal before half-time48%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time19%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Rafaela is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.85 pts / match - Almagro · 1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela

Almagro - half-time state
10% leading55% draw35% trailing
Atlético Rafaela - half-time state
14% leading62% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.85Points per match (1st half)1.05
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0.15Goals scored (1st half)0.24
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0.7Average goals (1st half)0.57
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
60%Clean sheet before half-time67%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
90%No goal before half-time76%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.24
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.48
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
65%Clean sheet after half-time57%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela
50%No goal after half-time62%
AlmagroAtlético Rafaela

Almagro - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
17
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding350%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Rafaela - second-half results

29% W38% R33% P
22
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Almagro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Atlético Rafaela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.21.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Almagro
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Atlético Rafaela
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

1.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Almagro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Atlético Rafaela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

AlmagroLigaAtlético Rafaela
Average goals in match 1.901.89 1.57
Both teams scored 30%39% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%30% 24%
Clean sheets 35%39% 52%
Goal before half-time 45%56% 48%
Goal after half-time 70%70% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.89
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.14
Home goals / match
0.75
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Almagro 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Rafaela. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela?

Natapos ang Prim B Nacional match sa score na Almagro 1:0 Atlético Rafaela. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela?

Almagro scores 0.80 goals per match at Atlético Rafaela 0.71. Ang Prim B Nacional average ay 1.89 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 30% ng matches. BTTS: Almagro 30%, Atlético Rafaela 29%.

Ano ang current form ng Almagro at Atlético Rafaela?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Almagro ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Atlético Rafaela ay 0-2-3 (0.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.