Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

APR vs Bugesera: match stats

APR crest
APR
2 : 1half-time 1:0
Bugesera crest
Bugesera
170%(0.00)
X20%(0.00)
210%(0.00)

Clear favorite ang APR sa match na ito, sitting at 2nd place sa table na may impressive 83% home win rate at isang talo lang sa entire season. Nasa excellent form ang hosts, nanalo sa 5 of their last 6 home matches, averaging 1.67 goals habang nagme-maintain ng 67% clean sheets. Meanwhile, ang Bugesera ay wala pang panalo sa away matches ngayong season (0% away wins), may mataas na 43% loss rate at offensive problems - averaging only 0.57 goals per away match. Ang difference sa xG (1.17 para sa APR vs 1.14 para sa Bugesera) at shooting efficiency (24% vs 10%) ay further confirmation ng advantage ng hosts. Considering all statistics, ang APR win ang most likely outcome, kahit na ang solid defense ng visitors (43% clean sheets sa away) ay pwedeng magresulta sa isang low-scoring match.

APR vs Bugesera: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

APR vs Bugesera sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 January 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

APR: 4-0-1 sa last five matches at 2.40 points per match. Bugesera: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

APR scores 1.47 at concedes 0.82 goals per match. Bugesera scores 1.00 at concedes 1.15. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: APR 50%, Bugesera 41%. Over 2.5: APR 50%, Bugesera 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

APR ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.28 vs 0.91. APR averages 8.3 shots per match, habang Bugesera ay 5.2.

First at second half

APR leads at half-time sa 41% ng matches at scores 0.79 goals after the break. Bugesera: 15% at 0.59.

Goals by minute

APR: 31-45+ (12 goals). Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Clear favorite ang APR sa match na ito, sitting at 2nd place sa table na may impressive 83% home win rate at isang talo lang sa entire season. Nasa excellent form ang hosts, nanalo sa 5 of their last 6 home matches, averaging 1.67 goals habang nagme-maintain ng 67% clean sheets. Meanwhile, ang Bugesera ay wala pang panalo sa away matches ngayong season (0% away wins), may mataas na 43% loss rate at offensive problems - averaging only 0.57 goals per away match. Ang difference sa xG (1.17 para sa APR vs 1.14 para sa Bugesera) at shooting efficiency (24% vs 10%) ay further confirmation ng advantage ng hosts. Considering all statistics, ang APR win ang most likely outcome, kahit na ang solid defense ng visitors (43% clean sheets sa away) ay pwedeng magresulta sa isang low-scoring match.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
APRBugesera
25Shots4
APRBugesera
12Shots on target3
APRBugesera
3.28xG0.84
APRBugesera
8Corners2
APRBugesera
120Dangerous attacks50
APRBugesera
10Fouls20
APRBugesera
0Cards0
APRBugesera

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1
APRBugesera
0.82Goals conceded / match1.15
APRBugesera
53%Average possession43%
APRBugesera
3.06Shots on target / match1.85
APRBugesera

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.32Shots per match5.18
APRBugesera
3.06Shots on target1.85
APRBugesera
17.7%Shot conversion19.3%
APRBugesera
53%Possession43%
APRBugesera
1.28xG for0.91
APRBugesera
1.02xG against1.28
APRBugesera

Shooting quality

APR: Efficient finishingBugesera: Counter-attacking
APRBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.54

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

APR is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - APR · 0.8 pts / match - Bugesera

APR
LWWWW
Season result split
56% W32% R12% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-11-4
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

APR is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - APR · 1 goals / match - Bugesera

APR is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - APR · 1.15 goals / match - Bugesera

Scoring profile ng APR: malakas

APR scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Bugesera: mixed

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while APR keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).

50Goals scored (season)34
APRBugesera
28Goals conceded (season)39
APRBugesera
2.29Average goals in match2.15
APRBugesera
9Goals scored (last 5)5
APRBugesera
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
APRBugesera

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal65%
APRBugesera
53%2 goals29%
APRBugesera
12%3 goals6%
APRBugesera
0%4 goals0%
APRBugesera

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal62%
APRBugesera
18%2 goals38%
APRBugesera
6%3 goals12%
APRBugesera
3%4 goals3%
APRBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time18%
APRBugesera
0%BTTS in both halves0%
APRBugesera
24%Scored in both halves18%
APRBugesera

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
APRBugesera
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
APRBugesera
40%BTTS - last 540%
APRBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
APRBugesera
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
APRBugesera
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
APRBugesera

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
APRBugesera
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
APRBugesera
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
APRBugesera

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

APR is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - APR · 0.94 pts / match - Bugesera

APR - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)0.94
APRBugesera
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.32
APRBugesera
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
APRBugesera
1.18Average goals (1st half)1
APRBugesera
65%Clean sheet before half-time53%
APRBugesera
50%No goal before half-time71%
APRBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.47
APRBugesera
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
APRBugesera
0.32Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
APRBugesera
1.12Average goals (2nd half)1.06
APRBugesera
71%Clean sheet after half-time65%
APRBugesera
44%No goal after half-time50%
APRBugesera

APR - second-half results

44% W38% R18% P
54
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

APR - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

APR
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
7
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
9
1
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+80%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

APR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

APRLigaBugesera
Average goals in match 2.292.12 2.15
Both teams scored 50%46% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%38% 47%
Clean sheets 44%34% 38%
Goal before half-time 74%61% 59%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: APR 0 - 1 - 0 Bugesera. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng APR vs Bugesera?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na APR 2:1 Bugesera. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang APR vs Bugesera?

APR scores 1.47 goals per match at Bugesera 1.00. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: APR 50%, Bugesera 41%.

Ano ang current form ng APR at Bugesera?

Sa last 5 matches, ang APR ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match), habang ang Bugesera ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng APR vs Bugesera?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.