Araz vs Mil Mugan FK: match stats
Araz vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Araz vs Mil Mugan FK sa Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 2 May 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Araz: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2 at 1.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 1.36 at concedes 1.73 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 at concedes 1.24. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 58%, Mil Mugan FK 24%. Over 2.5: Araz 58%, Mil Mugan FK 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots at playing style
Araz ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.24 vs 1.00. Araz averages 9.6 shots per match, habang Mil Mugan FK ay 8.3.
First at second half
Araz leads at half-time sa 33% ng matches at scores 0.79 goals after the break. Mil Mugan FK: 21% at 0.39.
Goals by minute
Araz: 31-45+ (13 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-0-0. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 50%.
Match description
Araz has clear advantage sa creation at finishing when playing home: averages 10.57 shots per match, including 3.36 on target, xG 1.34 at goal output 1.29 per game, habang Mil Mugan away averages 8.07 shots, 2.93 on target, xG 0.99 at 0.93 goals scored. Additional factor: Araz fails to score only in 29% of home matches, habang Mil Mugan goalless sa 53% ng kanilang away games — nagpapataas ito ng chance na home side makakakuha ng goal. Defensively, hosts are vulnerable — Araz concedes 1.64 goals at home on average (xG against 1.54), habang Mil Mugan concedes 1.13 goals away at may 53% clean sheets on the road, kaya maaaring maging open ang match. Sa last 5 matches form Araz earns 0.8 points per game (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), habang Mil Mugan 1.4 pts (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), pero season-long numbers favor Araz (12 wins and 39 goals vs 7 wins and 21 goals for the visitors). Based on this, I forecast a home win, estimated probabilities: 58% for Araz, 22% draw, 20% for Mil Mugan.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Araz is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Araz · 1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Araz · 0.7 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Mil Mugan FK is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Araz · 1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Araz scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Araz
Over / Under — Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Araz · 1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Araz
Mil Mugan FK
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.58 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Araz 2 - 0 - 0 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Araz vs Mil Mugan FK?
Natapos ang Premyer Liqası match sa score na Araz 0:1 Mil Mugan FK. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Araz at Mil Mugan FK?
Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Araz ng 2, ang Mil Mugan FK ng 0, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 3.00; BTTS: 50%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Araz vs Mil Mugan FK?
Araz scores 1.36 goals per match at Mil Mugan FK 0.70. Ang Premyer Liqası average ay 2.58 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Araz 58%, Mil Mugan FK 24%.
Ano ang current form ng Araz at Mil Mugan FK?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Araz ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Mil Mugan FK ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Araz vs Mil Mugan FK?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.