Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

AS Kigali vs Gicumbi: match stats

AS Kigali crest
AS Kigali
2 : 1half-time 1:0
Gicumbi crest
Gicumbi

AS Kigali vs Gicumbi: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

AS Kigali vs Gicumbi sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 15 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

AS Kigali: 2-0-3 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Gicumbi: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

AS Kigali scores 0.77 at concedes 1.17 goals per match. Gicumbi scores 1.12 at concedes 1.59. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AS Kigali 43%, Gicumbi 59%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 34%, Gicumbi 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

AS Kigali ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.25 vs 1.13. AS Kigali averages 7.7 shots per match, habang Gicumbi ay 7.1.

First at second half

AS Kigali leads at half-time sa 9% ng matches at scores 0.54 goals after the break. Gicumbi: 18% at 0.53.

Goals by minute

AS Kigali: 76-90+ (8 goals). Gicumbi: 31-45+ (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

I predict a draw (X): AS Kigali has as much as 60% of their home matches ending in draws and scores only 0.47 goals per home game, failing to score in 60% of matches. Gicumbi shows better recent form — 3 wins in their last 5 matches, 7 goals in that span and an average of 1.8 points per game versus AS Kigali’s 0.8. Defensively hosts have the edge: AS Kigali concedes 0.93 goals at home with xG against 1.29, while Gicumbi concedes 1.6 goals away with xG against 1.19, suggesting the match could be low-scoring. Offensively the visitors are more efficient — shot conversion 15% away versus just 5% for the hosts, even though hosts produce more shots (8.93 vs 7.43) and more shots on target (3.27 vs 2.57). Considering AS Kigali’s high home draw rate and Gicumbi’s better form, I assess the probabilities as: draw 50%, away win 30%, home win 20%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
AS KigaliGicumbi
3Shots11
AS KigaliGicumbi
2Shots on target1
AS KigaliGicumbi
0.91xG1.41
AS KigaliGicumbi
4Corners7
AS KigaliGicumbi
77Dangerous attacks87
AS KigaliGicumbi
19Fouls14
AS KigaliGicumbi
0Cards0
AS KigaliGicumbi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.77Goals scored / match1.12
AS KigaliGicumbi
1.17Goals conceded / match1.59
AS KigaliGicumbi
44%Average possession49%
AS KigaliGicumbi
2.57Shots on target / match2.35
AS KigaliGicumbi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.69Shots per match7.06
AS KigaliGicumbi
2.57Shots on target2.35
AS KigaliGicumbi
10%Shot conversion15.8%
AS KigaliGicumbi
44%Possession49%
AS KigaliGicumbi
1.25xG for1.13
AS KigaliGicumbi
1.35xG against1.2
AS KigaliGicumbi

Shooting quality

AS Kigali: BalancedGicumbi: Efficient finishing
AS KigaliGicumbi
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AS Kigali
LLWLW
Season result split
23% W31% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-11-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-9-6
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Gicumbi
LWLWL
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gicumbi is 45% better for: goals scored per match.

0.77 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.12 goals / match - Gicumbi

AS Kigali is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.59 goals / match - Gicumbi

Scoring profile ng AS Kigali: malakas

AS Kigali scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Gicumbi: malakas

Gicumbi scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).

27Goals scored (season)38
AS KigaliGicumbi
41Goals conceded (season)54
AS KigaliGicumbi
1.94Average goals in match2.71
AS KigaliGicumbi
7Goals scored (last 5)7
AS KigaliGicumbi
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
AS KigaliGicumbi

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal71%
AS KigaliGicumbi
17%2 goals29%
AS KigaliGicumbi
0%3 goals9%
AS KigaliGicumbi
0%4 goals3%
AS KigaliGicumbi

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal82%
AS KigaliGicumbi
40%2 goals47%
AS KigaliGicumbi
9%3 goals21%
AS KigaliGicumbi
3%4 goals6%
AS KigaliGicumbi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time35%
AS KigaliGicumbi
6%BTTS in both halves9%
AS KigaliGicumbi
14%Scored in both halves18%
AS KigaliGicumbi

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
AS KigaliGicumbi
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
AS KigaliGicumbi
100%BTTS - last 580%
AS KigaliGicumbi

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

49%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
AS KigaliGicumbi
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
AS KigaliGicumbi
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
AS KigaliGicumbi

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
AS KigaliGicumbi
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
AS KigaliGicumbi
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
AS KigaliGicumbi

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gicumbi is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1 pts / match - Gicumbi

AS Kigali - half-time state
9% leading63% draw29% trailing
Gicumbi - half-time state
18% leading47% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per match (1st half)1
AS KigaliGicumbi
0.23Goals scored (1st half)0.59
AS KigaliGicumbi
0.49Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
AS KigaliGicumbi
0.71Average goals (1st half)1.38
AS KigaliGicumbi
60%Clean sheet before half-time38%
AS KigaliGicumbi
77%No goal before half-time50%
AS KigaliGicumbi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)0.97
AS KigaliGicumbi
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
AS KigaliGicumbi
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
AS KigaliGicumbi
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.32
AS KigaliGicumbi
49%Clean sheet after half-time38%
AS KigaliGicumbi
49%No goal after half-time62%
AS KigaliGicumbi

AS Kigali - second-half results

23% W49% R29% P
31
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gicumbi - second-half results

18% W44% R38% P
34
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AS Kigali - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Gicumbi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AS Kigali
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
6
16-30
3
10
31-45
6
4
46-60
5
10
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
6
7
16-30
9
9
31-45
2
7
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AS Kigali

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

AS KigaliLigaGicumbi
Average goals in match 1.942.12 2.71
Both teams scored 43%46% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%38% 50%
Clean sheets 34%34% 18%
Goal before half-time 49%61% 76%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: AS Kigali 0 - 0 - 1 Gicumbi. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Gicumbi
2 : 1
AS Kigali

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng AS Kigali vs Gicumbi?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na AS Kigali 2:1 Gicumbi. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang AS Kigali vs Gicumbi?

AS Kigali scores 0.77 goals per match at Gicumbi 1.12. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: AS Kigali 43%, Gicumbi 59%.

Ano ang current form ng AS Kigali at Gicumbi?

Sa last 5 matches, ang AS Kigali ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Gicumbi ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng AS Kigali vs Gicumbi?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.