England - Premier LeagueUpdated ang data noong September 07, 2026

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: mga stats ng match

165%(1.83)
X20%(3.60)
215%(4.40)

Impressive ang home form ng Aston Villa na may 78% wins at 11% losses lang sa sariling stadium, kaya sila ang decisive favorite sa match na ito. Ang hosts ay nag-a-average ng 1.67 goals per match sa bahay at 0.78 conceded lang, at ang streak nilang 4 wins sa last 5 matches ay patunay ng excellent condition nila. May serious problems ang Nottingham Forest sa away games – 22% wins lang, 56% losses, at 56% ng matches ay walang goal, na sa average na 0.67 goals per away match ay naglalagay sa kanila sa mahirap na sitwasyon. Dagdag pa rito, ang goal difference na -7 sa away games at weak 7% shot conversion rate kumpara sa 14% ng hosts ay malinaw na nagtuturo sa advantage ng Aston Villa. Considering all statistics, lalo na ang dominance ng hosts sa sariling teritoryo at struggles ng guests sa away games, ang victory ng Aston Villa ang most likely scenario.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Aston Villa laban sa Nottingham Forest sa Premier League (England). Nilaro ang match noong 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Current na form

Aston Villa: 4-0-1 sa last five matches at 2.40 points per match. Nottingham Forest: 1-0-4 at 0.60 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Aston Villa ay may 1.58 goals na na-score at 1.21 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Nottingham Forest naman ay may 0.95 na na-score at 1.58 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aston Villa 58%, Nottingham Forest 32%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 63%, Nottingham Forest 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Nottingham Forest ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.47 vs 1.34. May average na 11.5 shots bawat match ang Aston Villa, habang 12.5 naman ang Nottingham Forest.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Aston Villa sa half-time sa 21% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 1.00 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Nottingham Forest, 16% at 0.58 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Aston Villa: 76-90+ (8 goals). Nottingham Forest: 46-60 (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 54% at Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head record

Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Impressive ang home form ng Aston Villa na may 78% wins at 11% losses lang sa sariling stadium, kaya sila ang decisive favorite sa match na ito. Ang hosts ay nag-a-average ng 1.67 goals per match sa bahay at 0.78 conceded lang, at ang streak nilang 4 wins sa last 5 matches ay patunay ng excellent condition nila. May serious problems ang Nottingham Forest sa away games – 22% wins lang, 56% losses, at 56% ng matches ay walang goal, na sa average na 0.67 goals per away match ay naglalagay sa kanila sa mahirap na sitwasyon. Dagdag pa rito, ang goal difference na -7 sa away games at weak 7% shot conversion rate kumpara sa 14% ng hosts ay malinaw na nagtuturo sa advantage ng Aston Villa. Considering all statistics, lalo na ang dominance ng hosts sa sariling teritoryo at struggles ng guests sa away games, ang victory ng Aston Villa ang most likely scenario.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Stats ng match

73Possession (%)27
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
11Shots10
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
4Shots on target5
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.57xG1.11
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
4Corners4
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
82Dangerous attacks18
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
10Fouls20
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1Cards2
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Pre-match na profileano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.58Goals na na-score / match0.95
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.21Goals na na-concede / match1.58
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
52%Average na possession51%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
4.37Shots on target bawat match3.95
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Stats ng teamsalin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

11.53Shots bawat match12.47
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
4.37Shots on target3.95
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
13.7%Shot conversion7.6%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
52%Possession51%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.34xG for1.47
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.49xG against1.44
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Quality ng shooting

Aston Villa: Efficient ang finishingNottingham Forest: Balanced ang style
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
Accuracy ng shots on target38%32%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.360.24

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teamsalin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Aston Villa ang 300% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

2.4 pts / match - Aston Villa · 0.6 pts / match - Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa
WWWWL
Result split ngayong season
63% W16% R21% P
Season record (W-D-L)
12-3-4
2.05 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Last 5 sa home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 2.0Goals na na-concede: 1.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Nottingham Forest
LWLLL
Result split ngayong season
26% W16% R58% P
Season record (W-D-L)
5-3-11
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 sa away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 0.8Goals na na-concede: 1.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Aston Villa ang 66% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - Aston Villa · 0.95 goals / match - Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa ang 31% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.58 goals / match - Nottingham Forest

Scoring profile ng Aston Villa: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Aston Villa sa 74% ng matches (14 sa 19 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Nottingham Forest sa 16% (3 sa 19 matches).

Scoring profile ng Nottingham Forest: mixed

Nakaka-score ang Nottingham Forest sa 47% ng matches (9 sa 19 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Aston Villa sa 26% (5 sa 19 matches).

30Goals na na-score (season)18
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
23Goals na na-concede (season)30
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
2.79Average ng goals sa match2.53
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
10Goals na na-score (last 5)4
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
9Goals na na-concede (last 5)8
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

74%1 goal47%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
53%2 goals26%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
21%3 goals21%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
11%4 goals0%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

74%1 goal84%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
26%2 goals53%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
16%3 goals21%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
5%4 goals0%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

Mga pattern ng goal

26%BTTS sa half-time11%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
5%BTTS sa parehong halves0%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
42%Naka-score sa parehong halves16%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

BTTS at goal count

53%Min. 3 goals at BTTS21%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
11%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS32%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
100%BTTS - last 520%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Mga goal line (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time74%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
32%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time26%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
11%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time5%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time79%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
58%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time47%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
11%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time21%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Mga half ng matchsaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Aston Villa ang 32% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Aston Villa · 0.84 pts / match - Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa - state sa half-time
21% nangunguna47% tabla32% nahuhuli
Nottingham Forest - state sa half-time
16% nangunguna37% tabla47% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.11Points bawat match (1st half)0.84
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
0.58Goals na na-score (1st half)0.37
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
0.63Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.68
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.21Average ng goals (1st half)1.05
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
47%Clean sheet bago ang half-time42%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
53%Walang goal bago ang half-time74%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points bawat match (2nd half)1.16
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.58
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
0.58Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.89
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
1.58Average ng goals (2nd half)1.47
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
63%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time47%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
32%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time63%
Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Aston Villa - mga result sa second half

47% W37% R16% P
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference sa 1st half
34
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.11
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding300%

Leading sa half-time sa 21% ng matches at nananalo sa 63%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Nottingham Forest - mga result sa second half

32% W21% R47% P
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference sa 1st half
22
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference sa 2nd half
0.84
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding163%

Leading sa half-time sa 16% ng matches at nananalo sa 26%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Nagko-concede ng 0.2 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Aston Villa - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.002.00
Goals na na-score / match0.61.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.81.0
Average ng goals sa match1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 40% nahuhuli
2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 3
Nottingham Forest - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match0.800.80
Goals na na-score / match0.20.6
Goals na na-concede / match0.80.8
Average ng goals sa match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 20% tabla - 60% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 20% tabla - 60% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 1

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minutokailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Aston Villa
Na-scoreNa-concede
1
6
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
5
3
61-75
8
4
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 0-15 (6). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +4 - malakas sa late phases.

Nottingham Forest
Na-scoreNa-concede
3
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
8
31-45
6
5
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
12
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (12). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -9 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.66
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
96%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
45%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
14%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 7 matches
2-3
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.15
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.52
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+3.1 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
+0.24
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.28
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
100%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.35
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.4
Mga late goal
27% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 3% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
27%

Nottingham Forest

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.03
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.66
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+2.9 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.52
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.14
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
101%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.35
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.2
Mga late goal
17% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 17% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
17%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng ligamataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Premier League.

Teams kumpara sa liga

Aston VillaLigaNottingham Forest
Average ng goals sa match 2.792.77 2.53
Parehong teams naka-score 58%54% 32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%55% 53%
Clean sheets 26%27% 16%
Goal bago ang half-time 74%71% 74%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time 79%79% 79%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.77
Average goals bawat match
54%
Parehong teams naka-score
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals bawat match
1.21
Away goals bawat match
+29%
Advantage ng home attack
+22%
Advantage ng home defence
+16%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
79%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. Aston VillaGoalJohn McGinnAssist: Matthew Stuart Cash
  2. Nottingham ForestGoalMorgan Anthony Gibbs-WhiteAssist: Dilane Bakwa
  3. Nottingham ForestYellow cardDilane Bakwa
  4. Aston VillaGoalJohn McGinnAssist: Youri Marion Tielemans
  5. Nottingham ForestSubstitutionPumasok: Matz SelsLumabas: John Victor Maciel Furtado
  6. Nottingham ForestYellow cardJames Mcatee
  7. Aston VillaSubstitutionPumasok: Andrés García RobledoLumabas: Matthew Stuart Cash
  8. Aston VillaYellow cardLamare Trenton Chansey Bogarde

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Simon HooperMatches officiated: 15
4.27Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 233%Home wins33%Draws33%Away wins

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Natapos ang Premier League match sa score na Aston Villa 3:1 Nottingham Forest. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Aston Villa scores 1.58 goals per match at Nottingham Forest 0.95. Ang Premier League average ay 2.77 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Aston Villa 58%, Nottingham Forest 32%.

Ano ang current form ng Aston Villa at Nottingham Forest?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Aston Villa ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match), habang ang Nottingham Forest ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.