Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: match stats
Impressive ang home form ng Aston Villa na may 78% wins at 11% losses lang sa sariling stadium, kaya sila ang decisive favorite sa match na ito. Ang hosts ay nag-a-average ng 1.67 goals per match sa bahay at 0.78 conceded lang, at ang streak nilang 4 wins sa last 5 matches ay patunay ng excellent condition nila. May serious problems ang Nottingham Forest sa away games – 22% wins lang, 56% losses, at 56% ng matches ay walang goal, na sa average na 0.67 goals per away match ay naglalagay sa kanila sa mahirap na sitwasyon. Dagdag pa rito, ang goal difference na -7 sa away games at weak 7% shot conversion rate kumpara sa 14% ng hosts ay malinaw na nagtuturo sa advantage ng Aston Villa. Considering all statistics, lalo na ang dominance ng hosts sa sariling teritoryo at struggles ng guests sa away games, ang victory ng Aston Villa ang most likely scenario.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest sa Premier League (England). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 January 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Aston Villa: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Nottingham Forest: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Aston Villa scores 1.47 at concedes 1.29 goals per match. Nottingham Forest scores 1.26 at concedes 1.34. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aston Villa 58%, Nottingham Forest 47%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 53%, Nottingham Forest 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots at playing style
Aston Villa ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.47 vs 1.44. Aston Villa averages 12.7 shots per match, habang Nottingham Forest ay 12.5.
First at second half
Aston Villa leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.92 goals after the break. Nottingham Forest: 21% at 0.76.
Goals by minute
Aston Villa: 76-90+ (14 goals). Nottingham Forest: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56% at Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Impressive ang home form ng Aston Villa na may 78% wins at 11% losses lang sa sariling stadium, kaya sila ang decisive favorite sa match na ito. Ang hosts ay nag-a-average ng 1.67 goals per match sa bahay at 0.78 conceded lang, at ang streak nilang 4 wins sa last 5 matches ay patunay ng excellent condition nila. May serious problems ang Nottingham Forest sa away games – 22% wins lang, 56% losses, at 56% ng matches ay walang goal, na sa average na 0.67 goals per away match ay naglalagay sa kanila sa mahirap na sitwasyon. Dagdag pa rito, ang goal difference na -7 sa away games at weak 7% shot conversion rate kumpara sa 14% ng hosts ay malinaw na nagtuturo sa advantage ng Aston Villa. Considering all statistics, lalo na ang dominance ng hosts sa sariling teritoryo at struggles ng guests sa away games, ang victory ng Aston Villa ang most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nottingham Forest is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.6 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.26 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Nottingham Forest scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aston Villa
Over / Under — Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aston Villa is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.76 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aston Villa 0 - 1 - 0 Nottingham Forest. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Natapos ang Premier League match sa score na Aston Villa 3:1 Nottingham Forest. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa scores 1.47 goals per match at Nottingham Forest 1.26. Ang Premier League average ay 2.75 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Aston Villa 58%, Nottingham Forest 47%.
Ano ang current form ng Aston Villa at Nottingham Forest?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Aston Villa ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Nottingham Forest ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.