United States - USL League One05/14/2026, 01:00 AMUpdated ang data noong September 07, 2026

Athletic Club Boise vs Naples: mga stats ng match

2 : 0half-time 1:0

Athletic Club Boise vs Naples: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Athletic Club Boise laban sa Naples sa USL League One (United States). Nilaro ang match noong 14 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current na form

Athletic Club Boise: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Naples: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Athletic Club Boise ay may 1.71 goals na na-score at 1.14 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Naples naman ay may 1.11 na na-score at 1.00 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Athletic Club Boise 57%, Naples 33%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club Boise 57%, Naples 33%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Athletic Club Boise ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.40 vs 1.38. May average na 11.0 shots bawat match ang Athletic Club Boise, habang 10.9 naman ang Naples.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Athletic Club Boise sa half-time sa 29% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.86 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Naples, 33% at 0.67 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Athletic Club Boise: 16-30 (3 goals). Naples: 76-90+ (5 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

USL League One: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head record

Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Athletic Club Boise may malinaw na home advantage: average 2.33 goals scored per match at home at 67% home wins habang conceding lang 0.67 goals per game. Naples kapag away averages 1.00 goal scored at 1.00 conceded, at sa kanilang last 5 matches nakakuha lang ng 3 goals at walang wins (0-1-4), ibig sabihin about 0.2 points per game sa period na iyon. Ang hosts nag-aattempt ng 13.67 shots with 5 on target per game (conversion rate 17%), samantalang ang visitors may 10.33 shots at 3 on target (conversion 10%), at xG ng hosts 1.68 vs 1.21 for the visitors—indikasyon ng better quality ng created chances. Defensively Athletic din mas solid — 5 goals conceded sa last 5 vs 11 conceded ng Naples sa same timeframe. Based on ito, ang pick ko ay Athletic Club Boise win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 0

1st half

1 : 0

2nd half

Stats ng match

56Possession (%)44

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

7Shots12

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1Shots on target2

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.01xG1.26

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

4Corners3

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

68Dangerous attacks50

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

19Fouls16

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

4Cards4

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.57Points bawat match1.56

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.71Goals na na-score / match1.11

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.14Goals na na-concede / match1

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.4xG for1.38

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

55%Average na possession56%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

3.86Shots on target bawat match3.89

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

29%Clean sheets44%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

57%Parehong teams naka-score33%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

11Shots bawat match10.89

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

3.86Shots on target3.89

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

15.6%Shot conversion10.2%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

55%Possession56%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.4xG for1.38

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.49xG against1.21

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Quality ng shooting

Athletic Club Boise: Efficient ang finishingNaples: Balanced ang style

	Athletic Club Boise	Naples
Accuracy ng shots on target	35%	36%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.13	0.13
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.44	0.29

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Athletic Club Boise ang 14% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1.6 pts / match - Athletic Club Boise · 1.4 pts / match - Naples

Athletic Club Boise

DDWWL

Result split ngayong season

43% W29% R29% P

Season record (W-D-L)

3-2-2

1.57 pts / match · goal difference +4

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

2-1-0

Last 5 sa home

2-1-0

DWW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.8Goals na na-concede: 1.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Naples

WWDLL

Result split ngayong season

44% W22% R33% P

Season record (W-D-L)

4-2-3

1.56 pts / match · goal difference +1

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-1-2

1.40 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

1-1-1

Last 5 sa away

1-1-1

WDL

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.0Goals na na-concede: 1.2xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Athletic Club Boise ang 54% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Athletic Club Boise · 1.11 goals / match - Naples

Naples ang 14% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Athletic Club Boise · 1 goals / match - Naples

Scoring profile ng Athletic Club Boise: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Athletic Club Boise sa 86% ng matches (6 sa 7 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Naples sa 44% (4 sa 9 matches).

Scoring profile ng Naples: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Naples sa 78% ng matches (7 sa 9 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Athletic Club Boise sa 29% (2 sa 7 matches).

12Goals na na-score (season)10

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

8Goals na na-concede (season)9

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

2.86Average ng goals sa match2.11

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

9Goals na na-score (last 5)5

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

5Goals na na-concede (last 5)6

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Athletic Club Boise

29%

Clean sheets2 sa 7 matches

14%

No goal1 sa 7 matches

Naples

44%

Clean sheets4 sa 9 matches

22%

No goal2 sa 9 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

86%1 goal78%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

57%2 goals33%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

14%3 goals0%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

14%4 goals0%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

71%1 goal56%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

29%2 goals33%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

14%3 goals11%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

0%4 goals0%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

57%

Athletic Club Boise - BTTS4 sa 7 matches

33%

Naples - BTTS3 sa 9 matches

57%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

29%BTTS sa half-time11%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

29%BTTS sa parehong halves11%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

43%Naka-score sa parehong halves22%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

BTTS at goal count

43%Min. 3 goals at BTTS22%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

14%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS11%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

60%BTTS - last 540%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)100%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

71%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)67%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

57%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)33%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

43%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)11%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

14%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)0%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Over / Under - Athletic Club Boise

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 71%Under 29%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 57%Under 43%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 43%Under 57%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

Over / Under - Naples

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 33%Under 67%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 11%Under 89%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 0%Under 100%

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time89%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

57%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time11%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

0%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time0%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time67%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

43%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time44%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

14%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time0%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Athletic Club Boise ang 17% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Athletic Club Boise · 1.22 pts / match - Naples

Athletic Club Boise - state sa half-time

29% nangunguna57% tabla14% nahuhuli

Naples - state sa half-time

33% nangunguna22% tabla44% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.43Points bawat match (1st half)1.22

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

0.86Goals na na-score (1st half)0.44

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

0.43Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.56

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.29Average ng goals (1st half)1

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

57%Clean sheet bago ang half-time44%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

43%Walang goal bago ang half-time56%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points bawat match (2nd half)1.56

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

0.86Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.67

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

0.71Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.44

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

1.57Average ng goals (2nd half)1.11

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

43%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time67%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

29%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time44%

Athletic Club BoiseNaples

Athletic Club Boise - mga result sa second half

43% W14% R43% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.43

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding148%

Leading sa half-time sa 29% ng matches at nananalo sa 43%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Nagko-concede ng 0.3 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Naples - mga result sa second half

33% W56% R11% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-1

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.22

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding133%

Leading sa half-time sa 33% ng matches at nananalo sa 44%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Athletic Club Boise - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.60	1.40
Goals na na-score / match	1.0	0.8
Goals na na-concede / match	0.4	0.6
Average ng goals sa match	1.4	1.4
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	60%	40%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	60%	40%
No goal	40%	40%
Goal difference	+3	+1

Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 20% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 20% tabla - 40% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 5

Naples - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	0.80	1.60
Goals na na-score / match	0.2	0.8
Goals na na-concede / match	0.6	0.6
Average ng goals sa match	0.8	1.4
1 goal	80%	80%
2 goals	0%	60%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	40%	60%
No goal	80%	40%
Goal difference	-2	+1

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 20% tabla - 60% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 40% tabla - 20% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 1

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Athletic Club Boise

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (3). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -2 - mahina sa late phases.

Naples

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (2). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +3 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.48

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

1.4 : 1.1

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

89%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

45%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

67%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 33 matches

0-1

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Athletic Club Boise

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.09

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.66

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-3.5 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

+0.31

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.35

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

102%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

101%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.03

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

0.0

Mga late goal

8% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 17% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

Naples

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+0.17

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-0.06

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-0.9 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.27

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.21

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

98%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

60%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

-0.16

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.2

Mga late goal

50% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 10% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

50%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng USL League One.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Athletic Club Boise	Liga	Naples
Average ng goals sa match	• 2.86	2.79	▼ 2.11
Parehong teams naka-score	• 57%	57%	▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▼ 57%	59%	▼ 33%
Clean sheets	▲ 29%	25%	▲ 44%
Goal bago ang half-time	▼ 71%	76%	▲ 89%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▲ 100%	76%	▼ 67%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.79

Average goals bawat match

57%

Parehong teams naka-score

59%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

25%

Clean sheets

1.67

Home goals bawat match

1.13

Away goals bawat match

+48%

Advantage ng home attack

+32%

Advantage ng home defence

+28%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

76%

1 goal

49%

2 goals

21%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

76%

1 goal

40%

2 goals

11%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

2Jonathan RickettsA 1 · 🟨 1 5Moussa Ndiaye 6Charlie Adamslumabas 68'7Blake Bodily 10Denys Kostyshyn 14Nick Moonlumabas 79'16Jacob Crull🟨 1 22Thomas Olivier Amang⚽ 1 · lumabas 67'25Jake Dengler 66Philip Mayaka

Substitutes

8Dominic Gasso🟨 1 · pumasok 68'9Luan Figueirôa Britopumasok 1'17Joseph Hansonpumasok 79'23Omar Yehya🟨 1 · pumasok 67'33Hayden Sargispumasok 1'99Jared Mazzolapumasok 1'

Away team

Starting lineup

3Julian Cisneros🟨 1 5Luca Mastrantonio 7Taylor Gray 10Andrés Ferrín Jaramillo🟨 1 14Kevin O'Connor🟨 1 18Dominick Bachsteinlumabas 85'21Marc Torrellas Gratacos🟨 1 · lumabas 85'23Aiden Mesiaslumabas 72'30Ian Cerrolumabas 59'31Tristen Rose⚽ 1 99Joshua Israel Grant

Substitutes

1Edward Delgadopumasok 1'8Juan Sebastián Osorio Ceballospumasok 72'9Raul Migliettipumasok 85'11Christopher Garciapumasok 1'12Hudson Gaypumasok 59'19William Arevalopumasok 85'22Joshua Yoderpumasok 1'

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

8'
Athletic Club BoiseGoalThomas Olivier AmangAssist: Jonathan Ricketts
11'
NaplesYellow cardKevin O'Connor
33'
NaplesYellow cardAndrés Ferrín Jaramillo
50'
NaplesYellow cardMarc Torrellas Gratacos
59'
NaplesSubstitutionPumasok: Hudson GayLumabas: Ian Cerro
62'
Athletic Club BoiseYellow cardJonathan Ricketts
67'
Athletic Club BoiseSubstitutionPumasok: Omar YehyaLumabas: Thomas Olivier Amang
68'
Athletic Club BoiseSubstitutionPumasok: Dominic GassoLumabas: Charlie Adams
69'
Athletic Club BoiseYellow cardOmar Yehya
71'
NaplesYellow cardJulian Cisneros
72'
NaplesSubstitutionPumasok: Juan Sebastián Osorio CeballosLumabas: Aiden Mesias
75'
Athletic Club BoiseYellow cardDominic Gasso
79'
Athletic Club BoiseSubstitutionPumasok: Joseph HansonLumabas: Nick Moon
81'
NaplesGoalTristen Rose
87'
Athletic Club BoiseYellow cardJacob Crull

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Home coachNate Miller Away coachMatt Poland

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Athletic Club Boise vs Naples?

Natapos ang USL League One match sa score na Athletic Club Boise 2:0 Naples. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Athletic Club Boise vs Naples?

Athletic Club Boise scores 1.71 goals per match at Naples 1.11. Ang USL League One average ay 2.79 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 59% ng matches. BTTS: Athletic Club Boise 57%, Naples 33%.

Ano ang current form ng Athletic Club Boise at Naples?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Athletic Club Boise ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Naples ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Athletic Club Boise vs Naples?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.