Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF: match stats
Ang Atlético Nacional ay nagpapakita ng mas magandang home form na may 100% win rate (2 wins sa 2 matches) at impressive goal difference na 6:1. Sila ay may high offensive efficiency, averaging 3 goals per match with 10.5 shots on target at xG na 2.53. Ang Fortaleza CEIF naman sa away matches, wala silang win, puro draw lahat (100% draws), with very poor offensive performance – only 0.5 goals per match at 50% ng games na clean sheet against. Malinaw ang advantage ng home team sa xG difference (2.53 vs 1.62) at current form (ww vs dd). Dapat ma-control ng Atlético ang game dahil sa solid defense nila (0.5 goals conceded on average sa home) at offensive edge, kaya ang pinaka-probable scenario ay ang panalo ng mga hosts.
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF sa Categoria Primera A (Colombia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 13 February 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1 sa last five matches at 2.40 points per match. Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 at concedes 0.84 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 at concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Fortaleza CEIF 74%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Fortaleza CEIF 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots at playing style
Atlético Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.75 vs 1.26. Atlético Nacional averages 16.8 shots per match, habang Fortaleza CEIF ay 12.0.
First at second half
Atlético Nacional leads at half-time sa 28% ng matches at scores 1.36 goals after the break. Fortaleza CEIF: 11% at 0.79.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53% at Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-0. Average goals: 5.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Ang Atlético Nacional ay nagpapakita ng mas magandang home form na may 100% win rate (2 wins sa 2 matches) at impressive goal difference na 6:1. Sila ay may high offensive efficiency, averaging 3 goals per match with 10.5 shots on target at xG na 2.53. Ang Fortaleza CEIF naman sa away matches, wala silang win, puro draw lahat (100% draws), with very poor offensive performance – only 0.5 goals per match at 50% ng games na clean sheet against. Malinaw ang advantage ng home team sa xG difference (2.53 vs 1.62) at current form (ww vs dd). Dapat ma-control ng Atlético ang game dahil sa solid defense nila (0.5 goals conceded on average sa home) at offensive edge, kaya ang pinaka-probable scenario ay ang panalo ng mga hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Fortaleza CEIF
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Natapos ang Categoria Primera A match sa score na Atlético Nacional 4:1 Fortaleza CEIF. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Atlético Nacional at Fortaleza CEIF?
Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Atlético Nacional ng 1, ang Fortaleza CEIF ng 0, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 5.00; BTTS: 100%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 goals per match at Fortaleza CEIF 1.16. Ang Categoria Primera A average ay 2.53 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Fortaleza CEIF 74%.
Ano ang current form ng Atlético Nacional at Fortaleza CEIF?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Atlético Nacional ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match), habang ang Fortaleza CEIF ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.