Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 23, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Morelia: match stats

Atlético Zacatepec crest
Atlético Zacatepec
0 : 3half-time 0:2
Morelia crest
Morelia
125%(2.83)
X30%(3.40)
245%(2.05)

Mas superior ang form ng Morelia kumpara sa Atlético Zacatepec, na pinatutunayan ng points per match record sa last 5 meetings (1.8 vs 1.2). Ang hosts ay may dramatic home stats – 0% wins, 57% losses, at walang kahit isang clean sheet sa buong season. Solid ang performance ng Morelia recently (undefeated streak: WDDDW) at may better scoring efficiency (11% vs 9% conversion rate). Ang goal difference (-7 for hosts, -5 for guests) at possession advantage (49% vs 45%) ay pabor din sa Morelia. Base sa lahat ng statistical data, ang victory ng guests ang most likely outcome, though real option din ang draw dahil sa tendency ng Morelia na mag-split ng points sa away games (44% draws).

Atlético Zacatepec vs Morelia: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Atlético Zacatepec vs Morelia sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 17 January 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Morelia: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 at concedes 1.93 goals per match. Morelia scores 1.29 at concedes 1.15. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Morelia 41%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 54%, Morelia 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Morelia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.53 vs 1.41. Atlético Zacatepec averages 12.3 shots per match, habang Morelia ay 13.0.

First at second half

Atlético Zacatepec leads at half-time sa 21% ng matches at scores 0.71 goals after the break. Morelia: 32% at 0.65.

Goals by minute

Atlético Zacatepec: 76-90+ (8 goals). Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Mas superior ang form ng Morelia kumpara sa Atlético Zacatepec, na pinatutunayan ng points per match record sa last 5 meetings (1.8 vs 1.2). Ang hosts ay may dramatic home stats – 0% wins, 57% losses, at walang kahit isang clean sheet sa buong season. Solid ang performance ng Morelia recently (undefeated streak: WDDDW) at may better scoring efficiency (11% vs 9% conversion rate). Ang goal difference (-7 for hosts, -5 for guests) at possession advantage (49% vs 45%) ay pabor din sa Morelia. Base sa lahat ng statistical data, ang victory ng guests ang most likely outcome, though real option din ang draw dahil sa tendency ng Morelia na mag-split ng points sa away games (44% draws).

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
14Shots7
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
5Shots on target4
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.55xG0.96
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1Corners1
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
42Dangerous attacks31
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
10Fouls20
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
2Cards3
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.29Goals scored / match1.29
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.93Goals conceded / match1.15
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
45%Average possession51%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
4.21Shots on target / match4.71
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.32Shots per match12.97
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
4.21Shots on target4.71
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
10.4%Shot conversion10%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
45%Possession51%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.41xG for1.53
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.51xG against1.32
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedMorelia: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Zacatepec
LDLLW
Season result split
25% W29% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-13
1.04 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-6
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Morelia
LDLLW
Season result split
41% W26% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-11
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Morelia is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.93 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.15 goals / match - Morelia

Scoring profile ng Atlético Zacatepec: malakas

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Morelia: napakalakas

Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

36Goals scored (season)44
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
54Goals conceded (season)39
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
3.21Average goals in match2.44
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal68%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
32%2 goals41%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
18%3 goals21%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
7%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal62%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
54%2 goals32%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
32%3 goals15%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
11%4 goals3%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 28 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time24%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
21%BTTS in both halves3%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
29%Scored in both halves32%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
60%BTTS - last 50%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Morelia is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.44 pts / match - Morelia

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
21% leading43% draw36% trailing
Morelia - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.44
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.21
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
36%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
57%No goal before half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.24
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
36%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia
43%No goal after half-time53%
Atlético ZacatepecMorelia

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

29% W29% R43% P
30
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Morelia - second-half results

35% W32% R32% P
49
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.60.4
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Morelia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
10
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Morelia
ScoredConceded
6
9
0-15
7
5
16-30
9
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Morelia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaMorelia
Average goals in match 3.212.85 2.44
Both teams scored 61%57% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%53% 50%
Clean sheets 14%25% 38%
Goal before half-time 79%74% 65%
Goal after half-time 86%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético Zacatepec 0 - 0 - 1 Morelia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

CA Monarcas Morelia
3 : 1
Club Atlético Zacatepec

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Atlético Zacatepec vs Morelia?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Atlético Zacatepec 0:3 Morelia. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Atlético Zacatepec vs Morelia?

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 goals per match at Morelia 1.29. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Morelia 41%.

Ano ang current form ng Atlético Zacatepec at Morelia?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Atlético Zacatepec ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Morelia ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Atlético Zacatepec vs Morelia?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.