Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 22, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío: match stats

Atlético Zacatepec crest
Atlético Zacatepec
4 : 3half-time 3:1
Tapatío crest
Tapatío
130%(2.50)
X25%(3.00)
245%(2.63)

Nagpapakita ang Tapatío ng mas magandang form sa last five matches, kumuha ng 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) kumpara sa 5 points lang ng Atlético Zacatepec (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). May mahinang home record ang home team na may 18% win rate lang sa sariling stadium at nagko-concede sila ng average na 1.73 goals per match. Ang Tapatío, kahit na away team, ay nagpapakita ng mas mahusay na shooting efficiency (12% shot conversion rate kumpara sa 9% ng home team) at sa last five games nila ay naka-iskor ng 11 goals habang nag-concede lang ng 6. Pabor din sa away team ang goal difference (-2 vs -7 ng home team), at ang katotohanan na walang naiskor na goal ang Atlético Zacatepec sa 45% ng home matches nila ay mas nagpapababa ng chance nilang manalo. Base sa lahat ng stats, may malaking chance na manalo ang Tapatío sa away match na ito.

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 14 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 4:3.

Current form

Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Tapatío: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 at concedes 1.93 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 at concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 54%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Tapatío ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.43 vs 1.41. Atlético Zacatepec averages 12.3 shots per match, habang Tapatío ay 12.3.

First at second half

Atlético Zacatepec leads at half-time sa 21% ng matches at scores 0.71 goals after the break. Tapatío: 37% at 0.83.

Goals by minute

Atlético Zacatepec: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Nagpapakita ang Tapatío ng mas magandang form sa last five matches, kumuha ng 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) kumpara sa 5 points lang ng Atlético Zacatepec (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). May mahinang home record ang home team na may 18% win rate lang sa sariling stadium at nagko-concede sila ng average na 1.73 goals per match. Ang Tapatío, kahit na away team, ay nagpapakita ng mas mahusay na shooting efficiency (12% shot conversion rate kumpara sa 9% ng home team) at sa last five games nila ay naka-iskor ng 11 goals habang nag-concede lang ng 6. Pabor din sa away team ang goal difference (-2 vs -7 ng home team), at ang katotohanan na walang naiskor na goal ang Atlético Zacatepec sa 45% ng home matches nila ay mas nagpapababa ng chance nilang manalo. Base sa lahat ng stats, may malaking chance na manalo ang Tapatío sa away match na ito.

Half-by-half

3 : 1
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
15Shots16
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
6Shots on target8
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.51xG1.75
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
3Corners5
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
19Dangerous attacks24
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
9Fouls12
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1Cards5
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.29Goals scored / match1.63
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.93Goals conceded / match1.47
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
45%Average possession49%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
4.21Shots on target / match4.2
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.32Shots per match12.27
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
4.21Shots on target4.2
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
10.4%Shot conversion13.3%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
45%Possession49%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.41xG for1.43
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.51xG against1.62
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedTapatío: Efficient finishing
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Zacatepec
LDLLW
Season result split
25% W29% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-13
1.04 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-6
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Tapatío
WLLDL
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-14
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tapatío is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.63 goals / match - Tapatío

Tapatío is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.93 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.47 goals / match - Tapatío

Scoring profile ng Atlético Zacatepec: napakalakas

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Tapatío: napakalakas

Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

36Goals scored (season)49
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
54Goals conceded (season)44
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
3.21Average goals in match3.1
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal80%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
32%2 goals50%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
18%3 goals27%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
7%4 goals7%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal83%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
54%2 goals47%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
32%3 goals13%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
11%4 goals3%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 28 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time27%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
21%BTTS in both halves10%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
29%Scored in both halves47%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
60%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tapatío is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
21% leading43% draw36% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
37% leading30% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.4
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.5
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
36%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
57%No goal before half-time40%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
36%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío
43%No goal after half-time33%
Atlético ZacatepecTapatío

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

29% W29% R43% P
30
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tapatío - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.60.4
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
10
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
9
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
4
5
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaTapatío
Average goals in match 3.212.85 3.10
Both teams scored 61%57% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%53% 67%
Clean sheets 14%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 79%74% 90%
Goal after half-time 86%80% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético Zacatepec 1 - 0 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

CD Tapatío
0 : 1
Club Atlético Zacatepec

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Atlético Zacatepec 4:3 Tapatío. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío?

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 goals per match at Tapatío 1.63. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Tapatío 67%.

Ano ang current form ng Atlético Zacatepec at Tapatío?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Atlético Zacatepec ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Tapatío ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.