Brazil - Serie AData updated noong July 23, 2026

Bahia vs Fluminense: match stats

Bahia crest
Bahia
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Fluminense crest
Fluminense
145%(2.00)
X30%(3.05)
225%(3.40)

Ang Bahia ay may impressive form na may five consecutive wins sa last matches, scoring 14 goals at nag-concede lang ng 3. Ang Fluminense ay nasa good disposition din with four wins sa last five games, pero ang goal difference na 8:5 ay less convincing. Both teams ay may identical balance sa current season (1 win, 2:1 goals), suggesting a very competitive rivalry. Ang slight advantage ng Bahia ay dahil sa excellent streak at home court advantage, bagama't ang lack of detailed home at away statistics ay naglilimita sa certainty ng forecast. I expect a tight match na may slight edge para sa hosts, pero ang draw ay isang real scenario din.

Bahia vs Fluminense: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Bahia vs Fluminense sa Serie A (Brazil). Naka-schedule ang match sa 5 February 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Bahia: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Fluminense: 1-3-1 at 1.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.47 at concedes 1.26 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.53 at concedes 1.26. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 68%, Fluminense 74%. Over 2.5: Bahia 53%, Fluminense 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots at playing style

Fluminense ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.71 vs 1.62. Bahia averages 14.5 shots per match, habang Fluminense ay 15.2.

First at second half

Bahia leads at half-time sa 37% ng matches at scores 0.74 goals after the break. Fluminense: 47% at 0.79.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58% at Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-1. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 50%.

Match description

Ang Bahia ay may impressive form na may five consecutive wins sa last matches, scoring 14 goals at nag-concede lang ng 3. Ang Fluminense ay nasa good disposition din with four wins sa last five games, pero ang goal difference na 8:5 ay less convincing. Both teams ay may identical balance sa current season (1 win, 2:1 goals), suggesting a very competitive rivalry. Ang slight advantage ng Bahia ay dahil sa excellent streak at home court advantage, bagama't ang lack of detailed home at away statistics ay naglilimita sa certainty ng forecast. I expect a tight match na may slight edge para sa hosts, pero ang draw ay isang real scenario din.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
BahiaFluminense
19Shots13
BahiaFluminense
5Shots on target4
BahiaFluminense
1.84xG1.46
BahiaFluminense
6Corners4
BahiaFluminense
40Dangerous attacks49
BahiaFluminense
12Fouls13
BahiaFluminense
2Cards3
BahiaFluminense

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1.53
BahiaFluminense
1.26Goals conceded / match1.26
BahiaFluminense
54%Average possession60%
BahiaFluminense
5.26Shots on target / match5.63
BahiaFluminense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.47Shots per match15.21
BahiaFluminense
5.26Shots on target5.63
BahiaFluminense
10.2%Shot conversion10%
BahiaFluminense
54%Possession60%
BahiaFluminense
1.62xG for1.71
BahiaFluminense
1.52xG against1.37
BahiaFluminense

Shooting quality

Bahia: AttackingFluminense: Dominant
BahiaFluminense
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bahia is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Bahia · 1.2 pts / match - Fluminense

Bahia
DLWWD
Season result split
42% W32% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-5
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Fluminense
DWLDD
Season result split
47% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-5
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Scoring profile ng Bahia: napakalakas

Bahia scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).

Scoring profile ng Fluminense: napakalakas

Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

28Goals scored (season)29
BahiaFluminense
24Goals conceded (season)24
BahiaFluminense
2.74Average goals in match2.79
BahiaFluminense
8Goals scored (last 5)6
BahiaFluminense
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
BahiaFluminense

How often they score at least...

95%1 goal89%
BahiaFluminense
47%2 goals47%
BahiaFluminense
5%3 goals16%
BahiaFluminense
0%4 goals0%
BahiaFluminense

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal84%
BahiaFluminense
37%2 goals37%
BahiaFluminense
11%3 goals5%
BahiaFluminense
5%4 goals0%
BahiaFluminense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time16%
BahiaFluminense
0%BTTS in both halves11%
BahiaFluminense
11%Scored in both halves32%
BahiaFluminense

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
BahiaFluminense
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BahiaFluminense
80%BTTS - last 580%
BahiaFluminense

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

95%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
BahiaFluminense
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
BahiaFluminense
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BahiaFluminense

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
BahiaFluminense
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
BahiaFluminense
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
BahiaFluminense

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - Bahia · 1.68 pts / match - Fluminense

Bahia - half-time state
37% leading21% draw42% trailing
Fluminense - half-time state
47% leading26% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)1.68
BahiaFluminense
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.74
BahiaFluminense
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
BahiaFluminense
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.16
BahiaFluminense
37%Clean sheet before half-time63%
BahiaFluminense
47%No goal before half-time42%
BahiaFluminense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.32
BahiaFluminense
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
BahiaFluminense
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.84
BahiaFluminense
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.63
BahiaFluminense
63%Clean sheet after half-time32%
BahiaFluminense
47%No goal after half-time37%
BahiaFluminense

Bahia - second-half results

37% W42% R21% P
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fluminense - second-half results

32% W37% R32% P
32
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
1
16-30
6
2
31-45
6
4
46-60
1
6
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
85%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaFluminense
Average goals in match 2.742.64 2.79
Both teams scored 68%58% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%50% 53%
Clean sheets 26%23% 16%
Goal before half-time 95%77% 79%
Goal after half-time 68%78% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bahia 0 - 1 - 1 Fluminense. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% mga match.

Fluminense FC
2 : 0
EC Bahia
EC Bahia
3 : 3
Fluminense FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Bahia vs Fluminense?

Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na Bahia 1:1 Fluminense. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Bahia at Fluminense?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Bahia ng 0, ang Fluminense ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 4.00; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bahia vs Fluminense?

Bahia scores 1.47 goals per match at Fluminense 1.53. Ang Serie A average ay 2.64 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Bahia 68%, Fluminense 74%.

Ano ang current form ng Bahia at Fluminense?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Bahia ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Fluminense ay 1-3-1 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bahia vs Fluminense?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.