Basel vs Lugano: match stats
Ang statistical analysis ay nagpapakita ng very balanced chances ng both teams, kaya strong argument para sa draw. Si Basel ay nagpapakita ng weaker form sa last five matches (0.6 PPG, four-game losing streak), samantalang si Lugano ay nasa mas magandang kondisyon (1.8 PPG, undefeated sa last five games with two wins at three draws). Ang home team ay may home advantage na 42% win rate sa kanilang home games at better xG (2.07 vs 1.23), pero ang kanilang recent form ay nagdudulot ng serious concerns. Si Lugano ay nagpapakita ng solid defense (only 6 goals conceded sa last 5 matches) at offensive efficiency (12 goals sa same period). Considering the similar possession stats (58% vs 59%), parehong win rates sa away at home (42% for both), at ang contrast between Basel's poor current form at Lugano's good run, ang most probable result ay draw, with a slight edge sa home team dahil sa home court advantage.
Basel vs Lugano: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Basel vs Lugano sa Super League (Switzerland). Naka-schedule ang match sa 15 February 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Basel: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Lugano: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Basel scores 1.45 at concedes 1.53 goals per match. Lugano scores 1.55 at concedes 1.11. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Basel 61%, Lugano 61%. Over 2.5: Basel 63%, Lugano 47%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots at playing style
Basel ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.71 vs 1.49. Basel averages 15.3 shots per match, habang Lugano ay 13.3.
First at second half
Basel leads at half-time sa 37% ng matches at scores 0.79 goals after the break. Lugano: 34% at 0.87.
Goals by minute
Basel: 31-45+ (13 goals). Lugano: 61-75 (14 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 66% at Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-3. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 33%.
Match description
Ang statistical analysis ay nagpapakita ng very balanced chances ng both teams, kaya strong argument para sa draw. Si Basel ay nagpapakita ng weaker form sa last five matches (0.6 PPG, four-game losing streak), samantalang si Lugano ay nasa mas magandang kondisyon (1.8 PPG, undefeated sa last five games with two wins at three draws). Ang home team ay may home advantage na 42% win rate sa kanilang home games at better xG (2.07 vs 1.23), pero ang kanilang recent form ay nagdudulot ng serious concerns. Si Lugano ay nagpapakita ng solid defense (only 6 goals conceded sa last 5 matches) at offensive efficiency (12 goals sa same period). Considering the similar possession stats (58% vs 59%), parehong win rates sa away at home (42% for both), at ang contrast between Basel's poor current form at Lugano's good run, ang most probable result ay draw, with a slight edge sa home team dahil sa home court advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Basel | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Basel · 2 pts / match - Lugano
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Basel · 1.55 goals / match - Lugano
Lugano is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Basel · 1.11 goals / match - Lugano
Basel scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Lugano scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Basel
Over / Under — Lugano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Basel
Lugano
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Basel | Liga | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.97 | 3.29 | ▼ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 19% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Basel 0 - 0 - 3 Lugano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Basel vs Lugano?
Natapos ang Super League match sa score na Basel 1:1 Lugano. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Basel at Lugano?
Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Basel ng 0, ang Lugano ng 3, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 3.00; BTTS: 33%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Basel vs Lugano?
Basel scores 1.45 goals per match at Lugano 1.55. Ang Super League average ay 3.29 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 67% ng matches. BTTS: Basel 61%, Lugano 61%.
Ano ang current form ng Basel at Lugano?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Basel ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Lugano ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Basel vs Lugano?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.