Bugesera vs Al Merreikh: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Bugesera vs Al Merreikh sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 27 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Al Merreikh: 0-1-4 at 0.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 at concedes 1.15 goals per match. Al Merreikh scores 1.21 at concedes 0.71. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Al Merreikh 41%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Al Merreikh 32%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

Al Merreikh ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.21 vs 0.91. Bugesera averages 5.2 shots per match, habang Al Merreikh ay 6.9.

First at second half

Bugesera leads at half-time sa 15% ng matches at scores 0.59 goals after the break. Al Merreikh: 29% at 0.79.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Al Merreikh: 76-90+ (11 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
BugeseraAl Merreikh
3Shots11
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1Shots on target3
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0.51xG1.22
BugeseraAl Merreikh
4Corners2
BugeseraAl Merreikh
33Dangerous attacks43
BugeseraAl Merreikh
11Fouls13
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0Cards0
BugeseraAl Merreikh

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BugeseraAl Merreikh
1Goals scored / match1.21
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1.15Goals conceded / match0.71
BugeseraAl Merreikh
43%Average possession45%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1.85Shots on target / match2.59
BugeseraAl Merreikh

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match6.94
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1.85Shots on target2.59
BugeseraAl Merreikh
19.3%Shot conversion17.4%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
43%Possession45%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0.91xG for1.21
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1.28xG against1.02
BugeseraAl Merreikh

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingAl Merreikh: Counter-attacking
BugeseraAl Merreikh
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bugesera is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 0.2 pts / match - Al Merreikh

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Merreikh
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W32% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-11-7
1.74 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-5-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.72Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Merreikh is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.21 goals / match - Al Merreikh

Al Merreikh is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.71 goals / match - Al Merreikh

Scoring profile ng Bugesera: mixed

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Al Merreikh: malakas

Al Merreikh scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)41
BugeseraAl Merreikh
39Goals conceded (season)24
BugeseraAl Merreikh
2.15Average goals in match1.91
BugeseraAl Merreikh
5Goals scored (last 5)3
BugeseraAl Merreikh
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
BugeseraAl Merreikh

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal74%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
29%2 goals29%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
6%3 goals15%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0%4 goals3%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal56%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
38%2 goals12%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
12%3 goals3%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
3%4 goals0%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time12%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
18%Scored in both halves15%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
40%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Merreikh is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.44 pts / match - Al Merreikh

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Al Merreikh - half-time state
29% leading56% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.44
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.41
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1Average goals (1st half)0.74
BugeseraAl Merreikh
53%Clean sheet before half-time74%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
71%No goal before half-time62%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.53
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
BugeseraAl Merreikh
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
BugeseraAl Merreikh
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.18
BugeseraAl Merreikh
65%Clean sheet after half-time68%
BugeseraAl Merreikh
50%No goal after half-time50%
BugeseraAl Merreikh

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Merreikh - second-half results

38% W38% R24% P
49
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Al Merreikh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Al Merreikh
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
7
6
31-45
9
2
46-60
7
4
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Al Merreikh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaAl Merreikh
Average goals in match 2.152.12 1.91
Both teams scored 41%46% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 32%
Clean sheets 38%34% 44%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 53%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 0 - 1 Al Merreikh. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Bugesera vs Al Merreikh?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na Bugesera 1:0 Al Merreikh. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bugesera vs Al Merreikh?

Bugesera scores 1.00 goals per match at Al Merreikh 1.21. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Al Merreikh 41%.

Ano ang current form ng Bugesera at Al Merreikh?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Bugesera ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Al Merreikh ay 0-1-4 (0.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bugesera vs Al Merreikh?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.