Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Bugesera vs Gorilla: match stats

Bugesera crest
Bugesera
3 : 1half-time 2:1
Gorilla crest
Gorilla
145%(0.00)
X35%(0.00)
220%(0.00)

Ang Bugesera ay nagpapakita ng solid na home form na may 44% win rate sa kanilang home games at positive goal difference (+1) sa kanilang home turf. Ang hosts ay nakakascore ng average na 1 goal per home match na may shot conversion rate na 20%, na doble ang advantage kumpara sa 9% ng Gorilla sa away games nila. Ang visitors ay may mahinang offensive stats sa away matches - average lang na 0.5 goals per match at aabot pa sa 50% ng mga laro nila ay goalless. Ang Gorilla ay may negative goal difference sa away games (-3) at 25% lang ang win rate, na kalahati ng away matches nila ay nagtatapos sa draws. Isinasaalang-alang ang home advantage ng Bugesera at ang offensive problems ng Gorilla sa away games, ang hosts ang favorites, bagaman ang mataas na percentage ng draws ng visitors ay nagmumungkahi ng posibilidad ng split points.

Bugesera vs Gorilla: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Bugesera vs Gorilla sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 14 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Gorilla: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 at concedes 1.15 goals per match. Gorilla scores 0.91 at concedes 1.24. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Gorilla 56%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Gorilla 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

Bugesera ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 0.91 vs 0.88. Bugesera averages 5.2 shots per match, habang Gorilla ay 5.1.

First at second half

Bugesera leads at half-time sa 15% ng matches at scores 0.59 goals after the break. Gorilla: 29% at 0.35.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Gorilla: 31-45+ (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Ang Bugesera ay nagpapakita ng solid na home form na may 44% win rate sa kanilang home games at positive goal difference (+1) sa kanilang home turf. Ang hosts ay nakakascore ng average na 1 goal per home match na may shot conversion rate na 20%, na doble ang advantage kumpara sa 9% ng Gorilla sa away games nila. Ang visitors ay may mahinang offensive stats sa away matches - average lang na 0.5 goals per match at aabot pa sa 50% ng mga laro nila ay goalless. Ang Gorilla ay may negative goal difference sa away games (-3) at 25% lang ang win rate, na kalahati ng away matches nila ay nagtatapos sa draws. Isinasaalang-alang ang home advantage ng Bugesera at ang offensive problems ng Gorilla sa away games, ang hosts ang favorites, bagaman ang mataas na percentage ng draws ng visitors ay nagmumungkahi ng posibilidad ng split points.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
BugeseraGorilla
7Shots3
BugeseraGorilla
3Shots on target1
BugeseraGorilla
1.17xG0.69
BugeseraGorilla
5Corners2
BugeseraGorilla
69Dangerous attacks56
BugeseraGorilla
-1Fouls-1
BugeseraGorilla
-1Cards-1
BugeseraGorilla

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.91
BugeseraGorilla
1.15Goals conceded / match1.24
BugeseraGorilla
43%Average possession48%
BugeseraGorilla
1.85Shots on target / match1.88
BugeseraGorilla

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match5.12
BugeseraGorilla
1.85Shots on target1.88
BugeseraGorilla
19.3%Shot conversion17.8%
BugeseraGorilla
43%Possession48%
BugeseraGorilla
0.91xG for0.88
BugeseraGorilla
1.28xG against1.12
BugeseraGorilla

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingGorilla: Efficient finishing
BugeseraGorilla
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gorilla is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / match - Gorilla

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Gorilla
WLDLW
Season result split
29% W29% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-14
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.78Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bugesera is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.91 goals / match - Gorilla

Bugesera is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.24 goals / match - Gorilla

Scoring profile ng Bugesera: malakas

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Gorilla: malakas

Gorilla scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)31
BugeseraGorilla
39Goals conceded (season)42
BugeseraGorilla
2.15Average goals in match2.15
BugeseraGorilla
5Goals scored (last 5)7
BugeseraGorilla
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
BugeseraGorilla

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal68%
BugeseraGorilla
29%2 goals21%
BugeseraGorilla
6%3 goals3%
BugeseraGorilla
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraGorilla

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal76%
BugeseraGorilla
38%2 goals29%
BugeseraGorilla
12%3 goals12%
BugeseraGorilla
3%4 goals6%
BugeseraGorilla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
BugeseraGorilla
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraGorilla
18%Scored in both halves6%
BugeseraGorilla

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
BugeseraGorilla
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
BugeseraGorilla
40%BTTS - last 580%
BugeseraGorilla

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
BugeseraGorilla
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
BugeseraGorilla
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BugeseraGorilla

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
BugeseraGorilla
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
BugeseraGorilla
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
BugeseraGorilla

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorilla is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.35 pts / match - Gorilla

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Gorilla - half-time state
29% leading47% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.35
BugeseraGorilla
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.56
BugeseraGorilla
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
BugeseraGorilla
1Average goals (1st half)1.09
BugeseraGorilla
53%Clean sheet before half-time62%
BugeseraGorilla
71%No goal before half-time56%
BugeseraGorilla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)0.94
BugeseraGorilla
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.35
BugeseraGorilla
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
BugeseraGorilla
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.06
BugeseraGorilla
65%Clean sheet after half-time44%
BugeseraGorilla
50%No goal after half-time71%
BugeseraGorilla

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorilla - second-half results

21% W32% R47% P
46
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Gorilla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.60
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
1
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaGorilla
Average goals in match 2.152.12 2.15
Both teams scored 41%46% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 47%
Clean sheets 38%34% 24%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 65%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 0 - 1 Gorilla. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Gorilla
2 : 1
Bugesera

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Bugesera vs Gorilla?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na Bugesera 3:1 Gorilla. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bugesera vs Gorilla?

Bugesera scores 1.00 goals per match at Gorilla 0.91. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Gorilla 56%.

Ano ang current form ng Bugesera at Gorilla?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Bugesera ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Gorilla ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bugesera vs Gorilla?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.