Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Bugesera vs Marines: match stats

Bugesera crest
Bugesera
0 : 4half-time 0:3
Marines crest
Marines

Bugesera vs Marines: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Bugesera vs Marines sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 6 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:4.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Marines: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 at concedes 1.15 goals per match. Marines scores 1.38 at concedes 1.26. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Marines 59%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Marines 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

Marines ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.16 vs 0.91. Bugesera averages 5.2 shots per match, habang Marines ay 6.9.

First at second half

Bugesera leads at half-time sa 15% ng matches at scores 0.59 goals after the break. Marines: 44% at 0.53.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

I’m backing the home win (1): Bugesera concedes only 0.88 goals per home game at may 44% clean sheets, habang Marines bilang away concede 1.4 on average with just 20% clean sheets. Marines create more chances away (avg 8.4 shots and 3.6 on target) at may higher away xG (1.31 vs 0.94 ng hosts), pero lower ang shot conversion nila (13% vs 22% ng Bugesera), kaya limitado ang kanilang real goal output. Sa huling 5 matches Bugesera averages 1.2 pts per game with 4 scored and 6 conceded, habang Marines 1.0 pt per game with 6 scored at 7 conceded — form similar pero hindi pumapabor sa away. Plus, hosts win 50% ng home matches habang Marines only 27% wins on the road, at home goal difference +6 vs guests -4, nagbibigay ito ng defensive edge at efficiency sa chance conversion kaya mas pabor kay Bugesera.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
BugeseraMarines
9Shots11
BugeseraMarines
3Shots on target7
BugeseraMarines
1.19xG1.54
BugeseraMarines
5Corners4
BugeseraMarines
56Dangerous attacks50
BugeseraMarines
11Fouls19
BugeseraMarines
0Cards0
BugeseraMarines

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.38
BugeseraMarines
1.15Goals conceded / match1.26
BugeseraMarines
43%Average possession44%
BugeseraMarines
1.85Shots on target / match2.85
BugeseraMarines

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match6.94
BugeseraMarines
1.85Shots on target2.85
BugeseraMarines
19.3%Shot conversion19.9%
BugeseraMarines
43%Possession44%
BugeseraMarines
0.91xG for1.16
BugeseraMarines
1.28xG against1.18
BugeseraMarines

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingMarines: Counter-attacking
BugeseraMarines
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Marines is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / match - Marines

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Marines
WLLDW
Season result split
35% W26% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-13
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-9
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.38 goals / match - Marines

Bugesera is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.26 goals / match - Marines

Scoring profile ng Bugesera: malakas

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Marines: malakas

Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)47
BugeseraMarines
39Goals conceded (season)43
BugeseraMarines
2.15Average goals in match2.65
BugeseraMarines
5Goals scored (last 5)11
BugeseraMarines
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
BugeseraMarines

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal82%
BugeseraMarines
29%2 goals41%
BugeseraMarines
6%3 goals12%
BugeseraMarines
0%4 goals3%
BugeseraMarines

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal76%
BugeseraMarines
38%2 goals35%
BugeseraMarines
12%3 goals9%
BugeseraMarines
3%4 goals3%
BugeseraMarines

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time24%
BugeseraMarines
0%BTTS in both halves9%
BugeseraMarines
18%Scored in both halves24%
BugeseraMarines

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
BugeseraMarines
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
BugeseraMarines
40%BTTS - last 580%
BugeseraMarines

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
BugeseraMarines
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
BugeseraMarines
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
BugeseraMarines

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
BugeseraMarines
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
BugeseraMarines
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
BugeseraMarines

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.68 pts / match - Marines

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Marines - half-time state
44% leading35% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.68
BugeseraMarines
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.85
BugeseraMarines
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
BugeseraMarines
1Average goals (1st half)1.35
BugeseraMarines
53%Clean sheet before half-time56%
BugeseraMarines
71%No goal before half-time38%
BugeseraMarines

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.09
BugeseraMarines
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
BugeseraMarines
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
BugeseraMarines
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.29
BugeseraMarines
65%Clean sheet after half-time47%
BugeseraMarines
50%No goal after half-time56%
BugeseraMarines

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Marines - second-half results

24% W38% R38% P
57
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Marines
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
8
6
16-30
16
9
31-45
2
8
46-60
7
8
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaMarines
Average goals in match 2.152.12 2.65
Both teams scored 41%46% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 44%
Clean sheets 38%34% 24%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 82%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 0 - 1 Marines. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Bugesera vs Marines?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na Bugesera 0:4 Marines. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bugesera vs Marines?

Bugesera scores 1.00 goals per match at Marines 1.38. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Marines 59%.

Ano ang current form ng Bugesera at Marines?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Bugesera ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Marines ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bugesera vs Marines?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.