England - EFL League OneUpdated ang data noong September 12, 2026

Burton Albion vs Barnsley: mga stats ng match

Burton Albion crest
Burton Albion
1 : 1half-time 0:0
Barnsley crest
Barnsley

Burton Albion vs Barnsley: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Burton Albion laban sa Barnsley sa EFL League One (England). Nilaro ang match noong 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current na form

Burton Albion: 2-0-3 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Barnsley: 1-3-1 at 1.20 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Burton Albion ay may 1.10 goals na na-score at 1.38 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Barnsley naman ay may 1.59 na na-score at 1.62 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Burton Albion 45%, Barnsley 70%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 55%, Barnsley 65%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Barnsley ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.35 vs 1.33. May average na 11.3 shots bawat match ang Burton Albion, habang 11.9 naman ang Barnsley.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Burton Albion sa half-time sa 28% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.60 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Barnsley, 32% at 0.78 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Burton Albion: 16-30 (9 goals). Barnsley: 0-15 (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

League One: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 51% at Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-0-1, average goals 5.00, at BTTS 100%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

May maliit na edge ang Burton Albion: sa home nila average xG 1.46 kumpara sa Barnsley na may xG 1.24 away, at average goals conceded ng home side 1.3 vs 1.82 conceded ng guests sa away. Similar ang attacking output ng pareho — Burton averages 1.2 goals sa home, Barnsley 1.35 away, pero mas marami goals ang Barnsley sa season (59 vs 44) at higher shooting efficiency (13% vs 10%). Malinaw ang defensive advantage ng hosts at clean sheets (30% sa home vs 6% Barnsley away), pero Burton hindi nakakagawa ng goal sa 45% ng home games, habang Barnsley goalless lang sa 24% ng away matches. Similar ang form (both 1.2 points average sa last 5): Burton 2 wins at 3 losses, Barnsley 1 win, 3 draws at 1 loss. Given higher xG at better home defence, nagbibigay ako ng advantage sa Burton, kahit na mataas na draw rate ng Barnsley away nagpapataas ng probability ng split points.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Stats ng match

53Possession (%)47
Burton AlbionBarnsley
11Shots11
Burton AlbionBarnsley
5Shots on target2
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.48xG1.06
Burton AlbionBarnsley
9Corners0
Burton AlbionBarnsley
60Dangerous attacks31
Burton AlbionBarnsley
10Fouls12
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1Cards3
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.15Points bawat matchPPG - points per match.1.35
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.1Goals na na-score / match1.59
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.38Goals na na-concede / match1.62
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.33xG forxG - expected goals o quality ng scoring chances.1.35
Burton AlbionBarnsley
46%Average na possession53%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
3.5Shots on target bawat match3.95
Burton AlbionBarnsley
25%Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.5%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
45%Parehong teams naka-scoreBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.70%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

11.25Shots bawat match11.86
Burton AlbionBarnsley
3.5Shots on target3.95
Burton AlbionBarnsley
9.8%Shot conversion13.4%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
46%Possession53%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.33xG for1.35
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.39xG against1.44
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Quality ng shooting

Burton Albion: Balanced ang styleBarnsley: Efficient ang finishing
Burton AlbionBarnsley
Accuracy ng shots on target31%33%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.310.40

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Burton Albion
LWLWL
Result split ngayong season
30% W25% D45% L
Season record (W-D-L)
12-10-18
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
8-3-9
Last 5 sa home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.0Goals na na-concede: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Barnsley
WDDDL
Result split ngayong season
35% W30% D35% L
Season record (W-D-L)
13-11-13
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
4-6-7
Last 5 sa away
1-1-3
LLLWD
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.2Goals na na-concede: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Barnsley ang 45% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.59 goals / match - Barnsley

Burton Albion ang 17% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.62 goals / match - Barnsley

Scoring profile ng Burton Albion: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Burton Albion sa 63% ng matches (25 sa 40 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Barnsley sa 5% (2 sa 37 matches).

Scoring profile ng Barnsley: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Barnsley sa 76% ng matches (28 sa 37 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Burton Albion sa 25% (10 sa 40 matches).

44Goals na na-score (season)59
Burton AlbionBarnsley
55Goals na na-concede (season)60
Burton AlbionBarnsley
2.48Average ng goals sa match3.22
Burton AlbionBarnsley
5Goals na na-score (last 5)6
Burton AlbionBarnsley
5Goals na na-concede (last 5)6
Burton AlbionBarnsley
Burton Albion
25%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.10 sa 40 matches
38%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.15 sa 40 matches
Barnsley
5%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.2 sa 37 matches
24%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.9 sa 37 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

63%1 goal76%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
33%2 goals54%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
10%3 goals24%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
3%4 goals3%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

75%1 goal95%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
43%2 goals49%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
15%3 goals16%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
5%4 goals3%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

45%
Burton Albion - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.18 sa 40 matches
70%
Barnsley - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.26 sa 37 matches
51%
Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

13%BTTS sa half-time32%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
0%BTTS sa parehong halves11%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
23%Naka-score sa parehong halves43%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

BTTS at goal count

38%Min. 3 goals at BTTS57%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
18%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS8%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
40%BTTS - last 580%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

93%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.100%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
70%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.86%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
55%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.65%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
23%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.49%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
5%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.19%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Over / Under - Burton Albion

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 70%Under 30%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 55%Under 45%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 23%Under 77%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 5%Under 95%

Over / Under - Barnsley

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 86%Under 14%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 65%Under 35%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 49%Under 51%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 19%Under 81%

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time84%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
30%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time51%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
5%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time19%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time95%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
43%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time57%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
15%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time14%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Barnsley ang 10% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.35 pts / match - Barnsley

Burton Albion - state sa half-time
28% nangunguna40% tabla33% nahuhuli
Barnsley - state sa half-time
32% nangunguna38% tabla30% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.23Points bawat match (1st half)1.35
Burton AlbionBarnsley
0.5Goals na na-score (1st half)0.81
Burton AlbionBarnsley
0.57Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.76
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.08Average ng goals (1st half)1.57
Burton AlbionBarnsley
57%Clean sheet bago ang half-time43%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
63%Walang goal bago ang half-time41%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points bawat match (2nd half)1.22
Burton AlbionBarnsley
0.6Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.78
Burton AlbionBarnsley
0.8Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.86
Burton AlbionBarnsley
1.4Average ng goals (2nd half)1.65
Burton AlbionBarnsley
50%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time35%
Burton AlbionBarnsley
53%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time41%
Burton AlbionBarnsley

Burton Albion - mga result sa second half

30% W30% D40% L
49
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference sa 1st half
48
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.23
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding107%

Leading sa half-time sa 28% ng matches at nananalo sa 30%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Nagko-concede ng 0.2 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Barnsley - mga result sa second half

32% W24% D43% L
50
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference sa 1st half
45
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.35
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding109%

Leading sa half-time sa 32% ng matches at nananalo sa 35%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Burton Albion - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.601.00
Goals na na-score / match0.60.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.40.6
Average ng goals sa match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 40% tabla - 40% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 3
Barnsley - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.600.80
Goals na na-score / match0.80.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.40.8
Average ng goals sa match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 20% tabla - 60% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 4

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Burton Albion
Na-scoreNa-concede
4
6
0-15
9
7
16-30
7
10
31-45
9
8
46-60
8
10
61-75
7
14
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (14). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -7 - mahina sa late phases.

Barnsley
Na-scoreNa-concede
12
8
0-15
9
9
16-30
9
11
31-45
11
5
46-60
10
17
61-75
8
10
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 61-75 (17). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -2 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.84
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
109%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
58%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
+75%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
9%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 11 matches
2-3
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Burton Albion

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.06
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.22
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-0.8 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.23
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.01
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
125%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.05
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.1
Mga late goal
16% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 9% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
16%

Barnsley

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.09
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.06
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-4.6 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
+0.24
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.18
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
108%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.15
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
-0.0
Mga late goal
14% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 20% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
14%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng League One.

Teams kumpara sa liga

Burton AlbionLigaBarnsley
Average ng goals sa match▼ 2.482.60▲ 3.22
Parehong teams naka-score▼ 45%51%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%50%▲ 65%
Clean sheets▼ 25%27%▼ 5%
Goal bago ang half-time▼ 68%71%▲ 84%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time• 80%80%▲ 95%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.60
Average goals bawat match
51%
Parehong teams naka-score
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals bawat match
1.10
Away goals bawat match
+36%
Advantage ng home attack
+27%
Advantage ng home defence
+21%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
71%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Away team

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. BarnsleySubstitutionPumasok: Jonathan BlandLumabas: Eoghan O'Connell
  2. BarnsleyYellow cardLuca John Connell
  3. Burton AlbionSubstitutionPumasok: Charles Clive WebsterLumabas: Sulyman Krubally
  4. Burton AlbionGoalCharles Clive WebsterAssist: Kyran Aiden Lofthouse
  5. BarnsleySubstitutionPumasok: Reyes ClearyLumabas: Scott Brian Banks
  6. BarnsleySubstitutionPumasok: Adam Lee PhillipsLumabas: Patrick Kelly
  7. Burton AlbionYellow cardAlex Duncan Hartridge
  8. Burton AlbionSubstitutionPumasok: Kain AdomLumabas: Tyrese Shade
  9. Burton AlbionSubstitutionPumasok: JJ McKiernanLumabas: Andy Cannon
  10. BarnsleyYellow cardLeo Farrell
  11. BarnsleyGoalDavid McGoldrickAssist: Marc Roberts
  12. BarnsleyYellow cardMarc Roberts

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeKirsty DowleHome coachGary Bowyer

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Burton Albion 0 - 0 - 1 Barnsley. Average ng goals 5.00, both teams scored sa 100% matches.

Barnsley FC
3 : 2
Burton Albion FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

Natapos ang EFL League One match sa score na Burton Albion 1:1 Barnsley. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

Burton Albion scores 1.10 goals per match at Barnsley 1.59. Ang EFL League One average ay 2.60 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Burton Albion 45%, Barnsley 70%.

Ano ang current form ng Burton Albion at Barnsley?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Burton Albion ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Barnsley ay 1-3-1 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Burton Albion vs Barnsley?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.