Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay: match stats

125%(2.76)
X20%(3.52)
255%(2.11)

Definitely better ang form na pinapakita ng Connah's Quay, winning all last five matches at scoring an impressive 14 goals sa period na ito. Ang visitors ay nasa 2nd place sa table with a record of 14 wins, 4 draws, at only 3 losses, habang ang Caernarfon Town ay nasa 4th position na may clearly worse stats. Sa away matches, naabot ng Connah's Quay ang 70% win rate at nag-maintain ng 50% clean sheets, na proof ng kanilang solid defense. Ang Caernarfon Town naman ay nagko-concede ng average na 1.6 goals per match sa home at may only 40% win rate, na maaaring hindi enough laban sa league leaders. Ang advantage sa possession (56% vs 55%) at better xG indicators ng visitors ay lalong sumusuporta sa scenario ng panalo para sa Connah's Quay.

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay sa Welsh Premier League (Wales). Naka-schedule ang match sa 13 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Caernarfon Town: 2-0-3 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Connah's Quay: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 at concedes 1.47 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 1.91 at concedes 1.19. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caernarfon Town 63%, Connah's Quay 69%. Over 2.5: Caernarfon Town 59%, Connah's Quay 69%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Connah's Quay ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.74 vs 1.52. Caernarfon Town averages 12.4 shots per match, habang Connah's Quay ay 12.8.

First at second half

Caernarfon Town leads at half-time sa 25% ng matches at scores 1.16 goals after the break. Connah's Quay: 41% at 1.09.

Goals by minute

Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (15 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 3.67, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Definitely better ang form na pinapakita ng Connah's Quay, winning all last five matches at scoring an impressive 14 goals sa period na ito. Ang visitors ay nasa 2nd place sa table with a record of 14 wins, 4 draws, at only 3 losses, habang ang Caernarfon Town ay nasa 4th position na may clearly worse stats. Sa away matches, naabot ng Connah's Quay ang 70% win rate at nag-maintain ng 50% clean sheets, na proof ng kanilang solid defense. Ang Caernarfon Town naman ay nagko-concede ng average na 1.6 goals per match sa home at may only 40% win rate, na maaaring hindi enough laban sa league leaders. Ang advantage sa possession (56% vs 55%) at better xG indicators ng visitors ay lalong sumusuporta sa scenario ng panalo para sa Connah's Quay.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
9Shots11
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
6Shots on target7
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.32xG1.55
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
3Corners4
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
46Dangerous attacks51
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
-1Fouls-1
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
2Cards0
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.75Goals scored / match1.91
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.47Goals conceded / match1.19
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
52%Average possession56%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
4.97Shots on target / match5.84
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.41Shots per match12.81
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
4.97Shots on target5.84
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
14.1%Shot conversion14.9%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
52%Possession56%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.52xG for1.74
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.54xG against1.22
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Caernarfon Town: Efficient finishingConnah's Quay: Efficient finishing
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)40%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Connah's Quay is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay

Caernarfon Town
LLLWW
Season result split
38% W28% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-11
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Connah's Quay
WWDLD
Season result split
50% W31% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-6
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-5-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.75 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.91 goals / match - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.19 goals / match - Connah's Quay

Scoring profile ng Caernarfon Town: napakalakas

Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).

Scoring profile ng Connah's Quay: napakalakas

Connah's Quay scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).

56Goals scored (season)61
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
47Goals conceded (season)38
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
3.22Average goals in match3.09
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
7Goals scored (last 5)9
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal88%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
50%2 goals56%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
19%3 goals38%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
13%4 goals9%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal75%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
50%2 goals34%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
13%3 goals9%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
6%4 goals0%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
9%BTTS in both halves9%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
31%Scored in both halves44%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
66%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.66 pts / match - Connah's Quay

Caernarfon Town - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Connah's Quay - half-time state
41% leading44% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.66
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.81
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.34Average goals (1st half)1.28
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
44%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
56%No goal before half-time41%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.59
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.16Goals scored (2nd half)1.09
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
0.72Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay
31%No goal after half-time28%
Caernarfon TownConnah's Quay

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

41% W31% R28% P
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

44% W28% R28% P
53
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.66
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Caernarfon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Connah's Quay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
5
10
0-15
6
6
16-30
8
8
31-45
9
4
46-60
13
5
61-75
15
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
12
3
0-15
4
8
16-30
10
4
31-45
8
7
46-60
12
4
61-75
15
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Caernarfon TownLigaConnah's Quay
Average goals in match 3.222.87 3.09
Both teams scored 63%50% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%53% 69%
Clean sheets 22%29% 25%
Goal before half-time 75%73% 75%
Goal after half-time 88%75% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Caernarfon Town 1 - 1 - 1 Connah's Quay. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?

Natapos ang Welsh Premier League match sa score na Caernarfon Town 2:2 Connah's Quay. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Caernarfon Town at Connah's Quay?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Caernarfon Town ng 1, ang Connah's Quay ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 3.67; BTTS: 100%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?

Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 goals per match at Connah's Quay 1.91. Ang Welsh Premier League average ay 2.87 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Caernarfon Town 63%, Connah's Quay 69%.

Ano ang current form ng Caernarfon Town at Connah's Quay?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Caernarfon Town ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Connah's Quay ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.