Italy - Serie AData updated noong July 23, 2026

Cagliari vs AC Milan: match stats

Cagliari crest
Cagliari
0 : 1half-time 0:0
AC Milan crest
AC Milan
125%(5.50)
X25%(3.99)
250%(1.57)

Nagpapakita ang AC Milan ng significantly higher form at quality sa matchup na ito. Ang guests ay nasa 2nd place sa table with impressive record na 10 wins, 5 draws, at 1 loss lang, habang ang Cagliari ay nasa 14th position na may 4 wins lang this season. Key advantage ng Milan ang kanilang away efficiency – 57% away wins, 57% clean sheets, at positive goal difference (+7), unlike Cagliari na may negative balance (-2) at home at 25% win rate lang. Nag-a-average ang Milan ng 1.71 goals away at nagko-concede lang ng 0.71, proof ng solid defense at effective attack. May problems ang Cagliari sa efficiency (12% shot conversion) at stability – 38% losses at home. Considering all stats, ang AC Milan ang clear favorite sa laban na ito.

Cagliari vs AC Milan: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Cagliari vs AC Milan sa Serie A (Italy). Naka-schedule ang match sa 2 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Cagliari: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. AC Milan: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Cagliari scores 1.05 at concedes 1.39 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.39 at concedes 0.92. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cagliari 50%, AC Milan 47%. Over 2.5: Cagliari 50%, AC Milan 45%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots at playing style

AC Milan ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.49 vs 1.16. Cagliari averages 10.9 shots per match, habang AC Milan ay 13.2.

First at second half

Cagliari leads at half-time sa 16% ng matches at scores 0.63 goals after the break. AC Milan: 26% at 0.87.

Goals by minute

Cagliari: 31-45+ (10 goals). AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45% at Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Nagpapakita ang AC Milan ng significantly higher form at quality sa matchup na ito. Ang guests ay nasa 2nd place sa table with impressive record na 10 wins, 5 draws, at 1 loss lang, habang ang Cagliari ay nasa 14th position na may 4 wins lang this season. Key advantage ng Milan ang kanilang away efficiency – 57% away wins, 57% clean sheets, at positive goal difference (+7), unlike Cagliari na may negative balance (-2) at home at 25% win rate lang. Nag-a-average ang Milan ng 1.71 goals away at nagko-concede lang ng 0.71, proof ng solid defense at effective attack. May problems ang Cagliari sa efficiency (12% shot conversion) at stability – 38% losses at home. Considering all stats, ang AC Milan ang clear favorite sa laban na ito.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
CagliariAC Milan
6Shots11
CagliariAC Milan
1Shots on target4
CagliariAC Milan
0.69xG1.4
CagliariAC Milan
6Corners7
CagliariAC Milan
32Dangerous attacks57
CagliariAC Milan
10Fouls8
CagliariAC Milan
2Cards1
CagliariAC Milan

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.05Goals scored / match1.39
CagliariAC Milan
1.39Goals conceded / match0.92
CagliariAC Milan
46%Average possession52%
CagliariAC Milan
3.47Shots on target / match4.37
CagliariAC Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.92Shots per match13.24
CagliariAC Milan
3.47Shots on target4.37
CagliariAC Milan
9.6%Shot conversion10.5%
CagliariAC Milan
46%Possession52%
CagliariAC Milan
1.16xG for1.49
CagliariAC Milan
1.49xG against1.3
CagliariAC Milan

Shooting quality

Cagliari: BalancedAC Milan: Balanced
CagliariAC Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cagliari is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cagliari · 0.8 pts / match - AC Milan

Cagliari
WDLWW
Season result split
29% W26% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-17
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-8
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
AC Milan
DLLWL
Season result split
53% W26% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-10-8
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Cagliari · 1.39 goals / match - AC Milan

AC Milan is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.39 goals / match - Cagliari · 0.92 goals / match - AC Milan

Scoring profile ng Cagliari: mixed

Cagliari scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng AC Milan: napakalakas

AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

40Goals scored (season)53
CagliariAC Milan
53Goals conceded (season)35
CagliariAC Milan
2.45Average goals in match2.32
CagliariAC Milan
7Goals scored (last 5)5
CagliariAC Milan
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
CagliariAC Milan

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal82%
CagliariAC Milan
32%2 goals42%
CagliariAC Milan
8%3 goals16%
CagliariAC Milan
3%4 goals0%
CagliariAC Milan

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal61%
CagliariAC Milan
50%2 goals26%
CagliariAC Milan
11%3 goals5%
CagliariAC Milan
0%4 goals0%
CagliariAC Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time21%
CagliariAC Milan
3%BTTS in both halves5%
CagliariAC Milan
21%Scored in both halves24%
CagliariAC Milan

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
CagliariAC Milan
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CagliariAC Milan
60%BTTS - last 560%
CagliariAC Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
CagliariAC Milan
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
CagliariAC Milan
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
CagliariAC Milan

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
CagliariAC Milan
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
CagliariAC Milan
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
CagliariAC Milan

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Cagliari · 1.34 pts / match - AC Milan

Cagliari - half-time state
16% leading53% draw32% trailing
AC Milan - half-time state
26% leading55% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.34
CagliariAC Milan
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.53
CagliariAC Milan
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
CagliariAC Milan
1Average goals (1st half)0.97
CagliariAC Milan
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CagliariAC Milan
68%No goal before half-time55%
CagliariAC Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.71
CagliariAC Milan
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.87
CagliariAC Milan
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
CagliariAC Milan
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.34
CagliariAC Milan
42%Clean sheet after half-time55%
CagliariAC Milan
47%No goal after half-time39%
CagliariAC Milan

Cagliari - second-half results

32% W32% R37% P
38
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AC Milan - second-half results

47% W29% R24% P
51
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding204%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cagliari - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cagliari
ScoredConceded
2
9
0-15
4
6
16-30
10
7
31-45
7
10
46-60
9
7
61-75
8
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
12
5
31-45
13
6
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cagliari

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

CagliariLigaAC Milan
Average goals in match 2.452.43 2.32
Both teams scored 50%45% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%46% 45%
Clean sheets 21%32% 39%
Goal before half-time 61%66% 61%
Goal after half-time 84%77% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cagliari 1 - 0 - 0 AC Milan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Cagliari vs AC Milan?

Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na Cagliari 0:1 AC Milan. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Cagliari vs AC Milan?

Cagliari scores 1.05 goals per match at AC Milan 1.39. Ang Serie A average ay 2.43 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Cagliari 50%, AC Milan 47%.

Ano ang current form ng Cagliari at AC Milan?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Cagliari ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang AC Milan ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Cagliari vs AC Milan?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.