Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 22, 2026

Cancún vs Tapatío: match stats

Cancún crest
Cancún
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Tapatío crest
Tapatío

Cancún vs Tapatío: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Cancún vs Tapatío sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 27 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Cancún: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Tapatío: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Cancún scores 1.62 at concedes 0.94 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 at concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cancún 59%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Cancún 50%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Tapatío ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.43 vs 1.39. Cancún averages 11.3 shots per match, habang Tapatío ay 12.3.

First at second half

Cancún leads at half-time sa 53% ng matches at scores 0.74 goals after the break. Tapatío: 37% at 0.83.

Goals by minute

Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 67%.

Match description

Cancún has clear home advantage — sa home matches they average 2 goals scored and concede only 0.73 goals, with average xG of 1.64 and 5.33 on-target shots per game; result nito is a positive goal difference at home of +19 at 40% clean sheets. Tapatío naman away averages 1.29 goals scored and concedes 1.71 goals per game, only 3.71 on-target shots and just 7% clean sheets, nagpapakita ng defensive issues on the road. Sa last 5 matches Cancún scored 10 goals with 3 wins and 2 draws (points per game 2.2), habang visitors scored 7 goals with only 1 win and 3 losses (points per game 0.8), which supports Cancún’s form. Difference in average goals conceded is 0.98 (0.73 vs 1.71), at difference in average on-target shots is 1.62 (5.33 vs 3.71), reflecting home advantage in quality and quantity of chances. Considering Cancún’s 53% home win rate and Tapatío’s 57% away loss rate, I tip a home win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
CancúnTapatío
10Shots13
CancúnTapatío
3Shots on target0
CancúnTapatío
1.2xG1.31
CancúnTapatío
3Corners11
CancúnTapatío
49Dangerous attacks67
CancúnTapatío
12Fouls12
CancúnTapatío
1Cards4
CancúnTapatío

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.62Goals scored / match1.63
CancúnTapatío
0.94Goals conceded / match1.47
CancúnTapatío
44%Average possession49%
CancúnTapatío
4.79Shots on target / match4.2
CancúnTapatío

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.35Shots per match12.27
CancúnTapatío
4.79Shots on target4.2
CancúnTapatío
14.2%Shot conversion13.3%
CancúnTapatío
44%Possession49%
CancúnTapatío
1.39xG for1.43
CancúnTapatío
1.62xG against1.62
CancúnTapatío

Shooting quality

Cancún: Counter-attackingTapatío: Efficient finishing
CancúnTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)42%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cancún is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cancún · 0.8 pts / match - Tapatío

Cancún
WDWLD
Season result split
50% W29% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-10-7
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Tapatío
WLLDL
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-14
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cancún is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.94 goals / match - Cancún · 1.47 goals / match - Tapatío

Scoring profile ng Cancún: napakalakas

Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Tapatío: napakalakas

Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

55Goals scored (season)49
CancúnTapatío
32Goals conceded (season)44
CancúnTapatío
2.56Average goals in match3.1
CancúnTapatío
6Goals scored (last 5)6
CancúnTapatío
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
CancúnTapatío

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal80%
CancúnTapatío
38%2 goals50%
CancúnTapatío
21%3 goals27%
CancúnTapatío
12%4 goals7%
CancúnTapatío

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal83%
CancúnTapatío
24%2 goals47%
CancúnTapatío
3%3 goals13%
CancúnTapatío
0%4 goals3%
CancúnTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time27%
CancúnTapatío
3%BTTS in both halves10%
CancúnTapatío
32%Scored in both halves47%
CancúnTapatío

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
CancúnTapatío
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
CancúnTapatío
80%BTTS - last 560%
CancúnTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
CancúnTapatío
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
CancúnTapatío
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
CancúnTapatío

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
CancúnTapatío
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
CancúnTapatío
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
CancúnTapatío

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cancún is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Cancún · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío

Cancún - half-time state
53% leading41% draw6% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
37% leading30% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.4
CancúnTapatío
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.8
CancúnTapatío
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
CancúnTapatío
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.5
CancúnTapatío
74%Clean sheet before half-time43%
CancúnTapatío
35%No goal before half-time40%
CancúnTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.37
CancúnTapatío
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
CancúnTapatío
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
CancúnTapatío
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.6
CancúnTapatío
47%Clean sheet after half-time40%
CancúnTapatío
47%No goal after half-time33%
CancúnTapatío

Cancún - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
68
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+21
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding94%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tapatío - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cancún - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
10
3
16-30
13
4
31-45
12
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
9
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
4
5
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CancúnLigaTapatío
Average goals in match 2.562.85 3.10
Both teams scored 59%57% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%53% 67%
Clean sheets 32%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 71%74% 90%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Cancún 2 - 1 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Cancún vs Tapatío?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Cancún 1:0 Tapatío. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Cancún at Tapatío?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Cancún ng 2, ang Tapatío ng 0, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.00; BTTS: 67%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Cancún vs Tapatío?

Cancún scores 1.62 goals per match at Tapatío 1.63. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Cancún 59%, Tapatío 67%.

Ano ang current form ng Cancún at Tapatío?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Cancún ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Tapatío ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Cancún vs Tapatío?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.