Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: match stats
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 14 July 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Defensor Sporting: 0-3-2 at 0.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 1.10 at concedes 1.05 goals per match. Defensor Sporting scores 0.80 at concedes 0.85. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Defensor Sporting 50%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Defensor Sporting 20%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots at playing style
Defensor Sporting ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.47 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo averages 9.8 shots per match, habang Defensor Sporting ay 12.2.
First at second half
Cerro Largo leads at half-time sa 25% ng matches at scores 0.75 goals after the break. Defensor Sporting: 5% at 0.45.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Defensor Sporting: 61-75 (4 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Sa 4 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-2. Average goals: 1.75, BTTS: 25%.
Match description
Bet ko ang panalo ng Cerro Largo dahil ang hosts (2nd in table) nagse-score sa home ng average na 1.56 goals with 10.22 shots and 3.11 on target, at may conversion rate na 15%, habang ang Defensor Sporting (8th) away only 0.6 goals with 9.4 shots and 6% conversion. Sa last 5 matches hosts scored 7 and conceded 4, averaging 1.4 points per game, samantalang ang Defensor may 3 scored and 7 conceded goals at only 0.4 points per game — malinaw na pabor sa hosts. Cerro Largo hindi nagsi-score sa only 22% ng home games at may 33% clean sheets, habang ang Defensor away hindi nakaka-score sa 50% ng matches and only 20% clean sheets. Sa quality ng chances, xG ng hosts sa home is 1.28 vs 1.20 ng Defensor away; pero ang guests concede on average 1.63 xG against them habang actual goals conceded away 0.9, na nagpapahiwatig na ang kanilang defense so far is limiting goals more thanks to luck or goalkeeper kaysa sa preventing high-quality chances. Considering efficiency edge (15% vs 6%), more goals in last 5 (7 vs 3) and better points return (1.4 vs 0.4), I estimate Cerro Largo win probability around 60%, draw 25% and Defensor win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.6 pts / match - Defensor Sporting
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.8 goals / match - Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.85 goals / match - Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Defensor Sporting scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Largo
Over / Under — Defensor Sporting
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Largo is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.9 pts / match - Defensor Sporting
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Defensor Sporting - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Cerro Largo 1 - 1 - 2 Defensor Sporting. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Cerro Largo 1:1 Defensor Sporting. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Cerro Largo at Defensor Sporting?
Sa huling 4 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Cerro Largo ng 1, ang Defensor Sporting ng 2, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 1.75; BTTS: 25%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Cerro Largo scores 1.10 goals per match at Defensor Sporting 0.80. Ang Primera División average ay 2.41 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Defensor Sporting 50%.
Ano ang current form ng Cerro Largo at Defensor Sporting?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Cerro Largo ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Defensor Sporting ay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.