Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData updated noong July 22, 2026

Cerro Largo vs Peñarol: match stats

Cerro Largo crest
Cerro Largo
2 : 3half-time 1:0
Peñarol crest
Peñarol

Cerro Largo vs Peñarol: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Cerro Largo vs Peñarol sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 12 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Cerro Largo: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Peñarol: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Cerro Largo scores 1.10 at concedes 1.05 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.52 at concedes 0.90. League average: 2.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Peñarol 52%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Peñarol 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots at playing style

Peñarol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.71 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo averages 9.8 shots per match, habang Peñarol ay 14.8.

First at second half

Cerro Largo leads at half-time sa 25% ng matches at scores 0.75 goals after the break. Peñarol: 38% at 0.90.

Goals by minute

Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 2.67, BTTS: 67%.

Match description

Bet ko sa away: Peñarol to win. Main reasoning: defensive edge at away games and superior quality of chances. Peñarol concedes only 0.50 goals on average away with 67% clean sheets, while Cerro Largo concedes 1.00 at home with just 17% clean sheets. Peñarol generates more and better chances — away xG 1.61 vs home xG 1.25, plus 4.67 SOT and 15.67 shots per match vs Cerro Largo’s 2.67 SOT and 10 shots. Although Cerro Largo has higher home conversion (12%) and scores 1.17 goals per match, Peñarol also averages 1.17 goals away, enjoys higher possession (55% vs 50%) and better away goal difference (+4 vs hosts’ +1). Last 5 form shows home points edge (Cerro Largo PPG 1.0 vs Peñarol PPG 0.6), pero ang season-long statistical advantage ng Peñarol sa xG, shots at goal at defense makes me lean to their victory.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Cerro LargoPeñarol
6Shots18
Cerro LargoPeñarol
3Shots on target8
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0.87xG2.22
Cerro LargoPeñarol
1Corners4
Cerro LargoPeñarol
36Dangerous attacks72
Cerro LargoPeñarol
11Fouls10
Cerro LargoPeñarol
1Cards3
Cerro LargoPeñarol

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cerro LargoPeñarol
1.1Goals scored / match1.52
Cerro LargoPeñarol
1.05Goals conceded / match0.9
Cerro LargoPeñarol
50%Average possession53%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
3.25Shots on target / match5.19
Cerro LargoPeñarol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.75Shots per match14.76
Cerro LargoPeñarol
3.25Shots on target5.19
Cerro LargoPeñarol
11.3%Shot conversion10.3%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
50%Possession53%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
1.24xG for1.71
Cerro LargoPeñarol
1.52xG against1.18
Cerro LargoPeñarol

Shooting quality

Cerro Largo: BalancedPeñarol: Attacking
Cerro LargoPeñarol
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Peñarol is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 2 pts / match - Peñarol

Cerro Largo
LWWDD
Season result split
35% W20% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-9
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Peñarol
WLWDW
Season result split
57% W19% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-5
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Peñarol is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.52 goals / match - Peñarol

Peñarol is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.9 goals / match - Peñarol

Scoring profile ng Cerro Largo: malakas

Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

Scoring profile ng Peñarol: napakalakas

Peñarol scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

22Goals scored (season)32
Cerro LargoPeñarol
21Goals conceded (season)19
Cerro LargoPeñarol
2.15Average goals in match2.43
Cerro LargoPeñarol
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Cerro LargoPeñarol
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
Cerro LargoPeñarol

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal86%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
35%2 goals48%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
15%3 goals19%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0%4 goals0%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal67%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
25%2 goals24%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
10%3 goals0%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0%4 goals0%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
20%Scored in both halves14%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
20%BTTS - last 520%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peñarol is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.43 pts / match - Peñarol

Cerro Largo - half-time state
25% leading45% draw30% trailing
Peñarol - half-time state
38% leading29% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.43
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.1
Cerro LargoPeñarol
60%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
65%No goal before half-time62%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.81
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
Cerro LargoPeñarol
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Cerro LargoPeñarol
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Cerro LargoPeñarol
55%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Cerro LargoPeñarol
55%No goal after half-time38%
Cerro LargoPeñarol

Cerro Largo - second-half results

35% W30% R35% P
24
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Peñarol - second-half results

52% W24% R24% P
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cerro Largo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Peñarol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
0
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
12
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Cerro LargoLigaPeñarol
Average goals in match 2.152.41 2.43
Both teams scored 35%52% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%46% 43%
Clean sheets 30%27% 33%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 71%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Cerro Largo 1 - 1 - 1 Peñarol. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% mga match.

Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
1 : 3
CA Peñarol
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
1 : 1
CA Peñarol
CA Peñarol
0 : 2
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Cerro Largo vs Peñarol?

Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Cerro Largo 2:3 Peñarol. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Cerro Largo at Peñarol?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Cerro Largo ng 1, ang Peñarol ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.67; BTTS: 67%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Cerro Largo vs Peñarol?

Cerro Largo scores 1.10 goals per match at Peñarol 1.52. Ang Primera División average ay 2.41 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Peñarol 52%.

Ano ang current form ng Cerro Largo at Peñarol?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Cerro Largo ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Peñarol ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Cerro Largo vs Peñarol?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.