Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 23, 2026

Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío: match stats

Correcaminos UAT crest
Correcaminos UAT
2 : 2half-time 0:1
Tapatío crest
Tapatío
125%(2.75)
X25%(3.25)
250%(2.02)

Ang Tapatío ay nagpapakita ng significantly better form sa last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match at nanalo sa apat sa huling limang laro. Ang Correcaminos UAT naman ay nasa fatal disposition, may goal loss na -11 sa home matches at 20% wins lang sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay nag-co-concede ng average na 2.2 goals per match sa home, na given ang weak offensive effectiveness (1.1 goals per match) ay naglalagay sa kanila sa very unfavorable situation. Kahit hindi impressive ang Tapatío sa away matches (20% wins), ang kanilang current form at advantage sa goal balance at overall stats ay nagbibigay sa kanila ng real chance na makuha ang three points. Taking all factors into account, inaasahan ko ang victory ng guests, though hindi ma-rule out ang draw dahil sa weaker stats ng Tapatío sa away.

Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 28 February 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Correcaminos UAT: 0-0-5 sa last five matches at 0.00 points per match. Tapatío: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Correcaminos UAT scores 1.07 at concedes 2.21 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 at concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 71%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 68%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Tapatío ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.43 vs 1.15. Correcaminos UAT averages 9.1 shots per match, habang Tapatío ay 12.3.

First at second half

Correcaminos UAT leads at half-time sa 7% ng matches at scores 0.71 goals after the break. Tapatío: 37% at 0.83.

Goals by minute

Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Ang Tapatío ay nagpapakita ng significantly better form sa last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match at nanalo sa apat sa huling limang laro. Ang Correcaminos UAT naman ay nasa fatal disposition, may goal loss na -11 sa home matches at 20% wins lang sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay nag-co-concede ng average na 2.2 goals per match sa home, na given ang weak offensive effectiveness (1.1 goals per match) ay naglalagay sa kanila sa very unfavorable situation. Kahit hindi impressive ang Tapatío sa away matches (20% wins), ang kanilang current form at advantage sa goal balance at overall stats ay nagbibigay sa kanila ng real chance na makuha ang three points. Taking all factors into account, inaasahan ko ang victory ng guests, though hindi ma-rule out ang draw dahil sa weaker stats ng Tapatío sa away.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Correcaminos UATTapatío
3Shots3
Correcaminos UATTapatío
3Shots on target3
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0xG0
Correcaminos UATTapatío
6Corners5
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0Dangerous attacks0
Correcaminos UATTapatío
-1Fouls-1
Correcaminos UATTapatío
2Cards5
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.07Goals scored / match1.63
Correcaminos UATTapatío
2.21Goals conceded / match1.47
Correcaminos UATTapatío
43%Average possession49%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
3.14Shots on target / match4.2
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.11Shots per match12.27
Correcaminos UATTapatío
3.14Shots on target4.2
Correcaminos UATTapatío
11.8%Shot conversion13.3%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
43%Possession49%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.15xG for1.43
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.79xG against1.62
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Shooting quality

Correcaminos UAT: BalancedTapatío: Efficient finishing
Correcaminos UATTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Correcaminos UAT
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W25% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-16
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-8
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tapatío
WLLDL
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-14
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tapatío is 52% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.63 goals / match - Tapatío

Tapatío is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.21 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.47 goals / match - Tapatío

Scoring profile ng Correcaminos UAT: napakalakas

Correcaminos UAT scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Tapatío: napakalakas

Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

30Goals scored (season)49
Correcaminos UATTapatío
62Goals conceded (season)44
Correcaminos UATTapatío
3.29Average goals in match3.1
Correcaminos UATTapatío
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Correcaminos UATTapatío
14Goals conceded (last 5)7
Correcaminos UATTapatío

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal80%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
21%2 goals50%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
4%3 goals27%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0%4 goals7%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal83%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
64%2 goals47%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
39%3 goals13%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
18%4 goals3%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Correcaminos UAT - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 28 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time27%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
4%BTTS in both halves10%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
7%Scored in both halves47%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
100%BTTS - last 560%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tapatío is 159% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.54 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío

Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
7% leading32% draw61% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
37% leading30% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.54Points per match (1st half)1.4
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.5
Correcaminos UATTapatío
25%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
68%No goal before half-time40%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Correcaminos UATTapatío
29%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
43%No goal after half-time33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

29% W25% R46% P
15
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-22
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tapatío - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-5-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
6
9
0-15
2
7
16-30
2
16
31-45
6
7
46-60
4
6
61-75
10
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
9
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
4
5
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
196%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Correcaminos UATLigaTapatío
Average goals in match 3.292.85 3.10
Both teams scored 71%57% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%53% 67%
Clean sheets 14%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 82%74% 90%
Goal after half-time 93%80% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Correcaminos UAT 0 - 1 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

CD Tapatío
2 : 2
Correcaminos UAT

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Correcaminos UAT 2:2 Tapatío. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?

Correcaminos UAT scores 1.07 goals per match at Tapatío 1.63. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 71%, Tapatío 67%.

Ano ang current form ng Correcaminos UAT at Tapatío?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Correcaminos UAT ay 0-0-5 (0.00 points per match), habang ang Tapatío ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.