Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData updated noong July 23, 2026

Danubio vs Progreso: match stats

Danubio crest
Danubio
2 : 2half-time 1:1
Progreso crest
Progreso
175%(1.87)
X15%(3.41)
210%(4.15)

Danubio ay nagpapakita ng mas magandang form, winning 100% ng kanilang home games this season at keeping a clean sheet sa lahat ng home matches. Si Progreso naman, wala pang na-earn na points sa away, losing all three matches at hindi nakakapag-score ng kahit anong goal. Malinaw ang difference sa offensive quality - ang hosts ay may average na 2 goals per game sa home, samantalang ang visitors ay may 0% shooting accuracy sa away. Dominante rin ang Danubio sa possession (62% vs 42%) at xG (1.6 vs 0.78), na nagko-confirm ng kanilang quality advantage. Ang form sa last five matches ay pabor sa home team (2.4 points per game vs 0.2), kaya ang panalo ni Danubio ang pinaka-probable scenario para sa match na ito.

Danubio vs Progreso: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Danubio vs Progreso sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 28 February 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Danubio: 0-3-2 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Progreso: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

Danubio scores 1.00 at concedes 1.35 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.81 at concedes 1.52. League average: 2.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Danubio 55%, Progreso 43%. Over 2.5: Danubio 45%, Progreso 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots at playing style

Danubio ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.24 vs 1.16. Danubio averages 9.3 shots per match, habang Progreso ay 8.5.

First at second half

Danubio leads at half-time sa 30% ng matches at scores 0.50 goals after the break. Progreso: 14% at 0.43.

Goals by minute

Danubio: 0-15 (4 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Sa 4 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-2. Average goals: 1.75, BTTS: 50%.

Match description

Danubio ay nagpapakita ng mas magandang form, winning 100% ng kanilang home games this season at keeping a clean sheet sa lahat ng home matches. Si Progreso naman, wala pang na-earn na points sa away, losing all three matches at hindi nakakapag-score ng kahit anong goal. Malinaw ang difference sa offensive quality - ang hosts ay may average na 2 goals per game sa home, samantalang ang visitors ay may 0% shooting accuracy sa away. Dominante rin ang Danubio sa possession (62% vs 42%) at xG (1.6 vs 0.78), na nagko-confirm ng kanilang quality advantage. Ang form sa last five matches ay pabor sa home team (2.4 points per game vs 0.2), kaya ang panalo ni Danubio ang pinaka-probable scenario para sa match na ito.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
DanubioProgreso
8Shots8
DanubioProgreso
4Shots on target3
DanubioProgreso
1.39xG1.15
DanubioProgreso
9Corners2
DanubioProgreso
82Dangerous attacks60
DanubioProgreso
11Fouls6
DanubioProgreso
1Cards2
DanubioProgreso

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.81
DanubioProgreso
1.35Goals conceded / match1.52
DanubioProgreso
52%Average possession47%
DanubioProgreso
3.8Shots on target / match3.24
DanubioProgreso

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.3Shots per match8.48
DanubioProgreso
3.8Shots on target3.24
DanubioProgreso
10.8%Shot conversion9.6%
DanubioProgreso
52%Possession47%
DanubioProgreso
1.24xG for1.16
DanubioProgreso
1.38xG against1.46
DanubioProgreso

Shooting quality

Danubio: BalancedProgreso: Balanced
DanubioProgreso
Accuracy (shots on target)41%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Progreso is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Danubio · 1.2 pts / match - Progreso

Danubio
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W45% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-9-7
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-6-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Progreso
LWLLW
Season result split
19% W19% R62% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-13
0.76 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Danubio is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Danubio · 0.81 goals / match - Progreso

Danubio is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Danubio · 1.52 goals / match - Progreso

Scoring profile ng Danubio: napakalakas

Danubio scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).

Scoring profile ng Progreso: malakas

Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

20Goals scored (season)17
DanubioProgreso
27Goals conceded (season)32
DanubioProgreso
2.35Average goals in match2.33
DanubioProgreso
3Goals scored (last 5)5
DanubioProgreso
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
DanubioProgreso

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal52%
DanubioProgreso
25%2 goals24%
DanubioProgreso
5%3 goals5%
DanubioProgreso
5%4 goals0%
DanubioProgreso

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal90%
DanubioProgreso
40%2 goals52%
DanubioProgreso
15%3 goals10%
DanubioProgreso
5%4 goals0%
DanubioProgreso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time19%
DanubioProgreso
5%BTTS in both halves10%
DanubioProgreso
15%Scored in both halves19%
DanubioProgreso

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
DanubioProgreso
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
DanubioProgreso
60%BTTS - last 560%
DanubioProgreso

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
DanubioProgreso
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
DanubioProgreso
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
DanubioProgreso

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
DanubioProgreso
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
DanubioProgreso
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
DanubioProgreso

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Danubio is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Danubio · 0.76 pts / match - Progreso

Danubio - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing
Progreso - half-time state
14% leading33% draw52% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)0.76
DanubioProgreso
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.38
DanubioProgreso
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.95
DanubioProgreso
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.33
DanubioProgreso
65%Clean sheet before half-time33%
DanubioProgreso
55%No goal before half-time67%
DanubioProgreso

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per match (2nd half)1
DanubioProgreso
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
DanubioProgreso
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
DanubioProgreso
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1
DanubioProgreso
35%Clean sheet after half-time48%
DanubioProgreso
65%No goal after half-time62%
DanubioProgreso

Danubio - second-half results

20% W35% R45% P
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Progreso - second-half results

19% W43% R38% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Danubio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Danubio
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.34
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Danubio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

DanubioLigaProgreso
Average goals in match 2.352.41 2.33
Both teams scored 55%52% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%46% 43%
Clean sheets 25%27% 10%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 81%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Danubio 1 - 1 - 2 Progreso. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 50% mga match.

Danubio
1 : 2
Progreso
Club Atlético Progreso
1 : 0
Danubio Fútbol Club
Club Atlético Progreso
0 : 1
Danubio Fútbol Club
Danubio Fútbol Club
1 : 1
Club Atlético Progreso

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Danubio vs Progreso?

Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Danubio 2:2 Progreso. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Danubio at Progreso?

Sa huling 4 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Danubio ng 1, ang Progreso ng 2, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 1.75; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Danubio vs Progreso?

Danubio scores 1.00 goals per match at Progreso 0.81. Ang Primera División average ay 2.41 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Danubio 55%, Progreso 43%.

Ano ang current form ng Danubio at Progreso?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Danubio ay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Progreso ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Danubio vs Progreso?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.