Colombia - Categoria Primera AUpdated ang data noong September 07, 2026

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional: mga stats ng match

135%(2.70)
X30%(3.30)
235%(2.47)

Ang match ay inaasahang magiging extremely close. Ang Deportes Tolima ay may solid home form na may 67% win efficiency (2 wins sa 3 matches) at favorable goal difference na +2 sa sariling stadium. Gayunpaman, ang Atlético Nacional ay may better overall form sa last 5 matches (2.4 points per match vs 1.4) at impressive record na 5 wins sa 6 season matches. Ang key factor ay ang weak away form ng guests – only 50% wins sa away at 0% clean sheets, suggesting defensive vulnerability. Ang xG stats ay magkalapit (1.76 vs 1.41 para sa guests), at parehong teams ay may similar possession average (61% vs 60%). Considering ang advantage ng hosts sa sariling teritoryo at ang instability ng Atlético Nacional sa away games, habang high quality pa rin ang guests, ang most likely scenario ay draw o minimal victory para sa isa sa kanila.

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Deportes Tolima laban sa Atlético Nacional sa Categoria Primera A (Colombia). Nilaro ang match noong 2 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current na form

Deportes Tolima: 1-2-2 sa last five matches at 1.00 points per match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1 at 2.40 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Deportes Tolima ay may 1.25 goals na na-score at 0.88 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Atlético Nacional naman ay may 2.50 na na-score at 0.67 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Deportes Tolima 38%, Atlético Nacional 50%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 38%, Atlético Nacional 83%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Atlético Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.84 vs 1.33. May average na 12.3 shots bawat match ang Deportes Tolima, habang 17.5 naman ang Atlético Nacional.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Deportes Tolima sa half-time sa 38% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.50 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Atlético Nacional, 50% at 1.67 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Deportes Tolima: 0-15 (2 goals). Atlético Nacional: 46-60 (4 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Categoria Primera A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 60% at Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 2 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-1-1, average goals 3.50, at BTTS 50%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Ang match ay inaasahang magiging extremely close. Ang Deportes Tolima ay may solid home form na may 67% win efficiency (2 wins sa 3 matches) at favorable goal difference na +2 sa sariling stadium. Gayunpaman, ang Atlético Nacional ay may better overall form sa last 5 matches (2.4 points per match vs 1.4) at impressive record na 5 wins sa 6 season matches. Ang key factor ay ang weak away form ng guests – only 50% wins sa away at 0% clean sheets, suggesting defensive vulnerability. Ang xG stats ay magkalapit (1.76 vs 1.41 para sa guests), at parehong teams ay may similar possession average (61% vs 60%). Considering ang advantage ng hosts sa sariling teritoryo at ang instability ng Atlético Nacional sa away games, habang high quality pa rin ang guests, ang most likely scenario ay draw o minimal victory para sa isa sa kanila.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Stats ng match

63Possession (%)37
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
12Shots12
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
2Shots on target4
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
1.28xG1.21
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
6Corners4
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
53Dangerous attacks24
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
13Fouls9
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
4Cards6
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Pre-match na profileano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
1.25Goals na na-score / match2.5
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0.88Goals na na-concede / match0.67
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
52%Average na possession56%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
4.75Shots on target bawat match7.67
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Stats ng teamsalin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

12.25Shots bawat match17.5
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
4.75Shots on target7.67
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
10.2%Shot conversion14.3%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
52%Possession56%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
1.33xG for1.84
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
1.25xG against1.09
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Quality ng shooting

Deportes Tolima: Balanced ang styleAtlético Nacional: Dominant
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
Accuracy ng shots on target39%44%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.260.33

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teamsalin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Atlético Nacional ang 140% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Deportes Tolima
DLDWL
Result split ngayong season
38% W38% R25% P
Season record (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 sa home
2-0-1
WLW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 0.8Goals na na-concede: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Atlético Nacional
WWLWW
Result split ngayong season
83% W0% R17% P
Season record (W-D-L)
5-0-1
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 sa away
1-0-1
LW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 2.2Goals na na-concede: 0.8xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Atlético Nacional ang 100% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 2.5 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional ang 31% better sa: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 0.67 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Scoring profile ng Deportes Tolima: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Deportes Tolima sa 63% ng matches (5 sa 8 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Atlético Nacional sa 33% (2 sa 6 matches).

Scoring profile ng Atlético Nacional: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Atlético Nacional sa 83% ng matches (5 sa 6 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Deportes Tolima sa 50% (4 sa 8 matches).

10Goals na na-score (season)15
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
7Goals na na-concede (season)4
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
2.13Average ng goals sa match3.17
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
4Goals na na-score (last 5)11
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
5Goals na na-concede (last 5)4
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

63%1 goal83%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
63%2 goals83%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0%3 goals50%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0%4 goals33%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

50%1 goal67%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
25%2 goals0%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
13%3 goals0%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0%4 goals0%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

Mga pattern ng goal

25%BTTS sa half-time17%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0%BTTS sa parehong halves0%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0%Naka-score sa parehong halves67%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

BTTS at goal count

38%Min. 3 goals at BTTS50%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS33%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
40%BTTS - last 560%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Mga goal line (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

1st half

38%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time83%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
38%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time33%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
25%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time0%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time100%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
38%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time50%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
13%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time33%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Mga half ng matchsaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Atlético Nacional ang 5% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.75 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.83 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Deportes Tolima - state sa half-time
38% nangunguna63% tabla0% nahuhuli
Atlético Nacional - state sa half-time
50% nangunguna33% tabla17% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.75Points bawat match (1st half)1.83
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0.75Goals na na-score (1st half)0.83
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0.25Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.33
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
1Average ng goals (1st half)1.17
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
75%Clean sheet bago ang half-time67%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
63%Walang goal bago ang half-time33%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points bawat match (2nd half)2.5
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0.5Goals na na-score (2nd half)1.67
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
0.63Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.33
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
1.13Average ng goals (2nd half)2
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
50%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time67%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional
75%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time17%
Deportes TolimaAtlético Nacional

Deportes Tolima - mga result sa second half

25% W38% R38% P
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference sa 1st half
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.75
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding100%

Leading sa half-time sa 38% ng matches at nananalo sa 38%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Nagko-concede ng 0.4 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Atlético Nacional - mga result sa second half

83% W0% R17% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference sa 1st half
15
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.83
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding166%

Leading sa half-time sa 50% ng matches at nananalo sa 83%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Deportes Tolima - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.401.00
Goals na na-score / match0.40.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.20.8
Average ng goals sa match0.61.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 80% tabla - 0% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 40% tabla - 40% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 2
Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.602.40
Goals na na-score / match0.81.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.40.4
Average ng goals sa match1.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 80% panalo - 0% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 4

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minutokailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Deportes Tolima
Na-scoreNa-concede
2
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (2). Balance ng late goals (76-90): 0.

Atlético Nacional
Na-scoreNa-concede
2
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
0
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 0-15 (2). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +2 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.65
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.0 : 1.7
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
101%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
44%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
6%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 17 matches
0-1
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Deportes Tolima

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.08
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.29
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-4.1 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.08
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.37
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
85%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.50
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
-0.3
Mga late goal
10% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 20% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
10%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.75
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+1.08
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-1.8 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
+0.66
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.42
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
240%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
42%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.10
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.8
Mga late goal
13% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 13% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
13%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng ligamataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Categoria Primera A.

Teams kumpara sa liga

Deportes TolimaLigaAtlético Nacional
Average ng goals sa match 2.132.62 3.17
Parehong teams naka-score 38%60% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%54% 83%
Clean sheets 50%25% 33%
Goal bago ang half-time 38%67% 83%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time 63%79% 100%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.62
Average goals bawat match
60%
Parehong teams naka-score
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals bawat match
1.04
Away goals bawat match
+52%
Advantage ng home attack
+34%
Advantage ng home defence
+24%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
67%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. Atlético NacionalRed cardEduard Alexander Bello Gil
  2. Atlético NacionalYellow cardMilton Casco
  3. Atlético NacionalYellow cardEdwin Andrés Cardona Bedoya
  4. Deportes TolimaSubstitutionPumasok: Edwar Manuel López GomezLumabas: Cristian Camilo Arrieta Medina
  5. Atlético NacionalYellow cardMarlos Moreno Durán
  6. Deportes TolimaRed cardJan Carlos Angulo Rosales
  7. Deportes TolimaGoalJuan Pablo Torres Patiño
  8. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionPumasok: Alfredo José Morelos AvilézLumabas: Cristian Daniel Arango Duque
  9. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionPumasok: Andrés De Jesús Sarmiento SalasLumabas: Edwin Andrés Cardona Bedoya
  10. Deportes TolimaSubstitutionPumasok: Brayan Andrés Rovira FerreiraLumabas: Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar
  11. Deportes TolimaSubstitutionPumasok: Luis Fernando Sandoval OyolaLumabas: Juan Pablo Torres Patiño
  12. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionPumasok: Dairon Estibens Asprilla RivasLumabas: Andrés Mateus Uribe Villa
  13. Atlético NacionalYellow cardAlfredo José Morelos Aviléz
  14. Deportes TolimaYellow cardLuis Fernando Sandoval Oyola
  15. Deportes TolimaYellow cardShean Paul Barbosa Gómez

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Luis DelgadoMatches officiated: 8
5.13Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 263%Home wins38%Draws0%Away wins

Head-to-head

Mga recent meeting (2): Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average ng goals 3.50, both teams scored sa 50% matches.

Club Deportes Tolima SA
0 : 0
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
4 : 3
Club Deportes Tolima SA

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional?

Natapos ang Categoria Primera A match sa score na Deportes Tolima 1:0 Atlético Nacional. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Deportes Tolima at Atlético Nacional?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Deportes Tolima ng 0, ang Atlético Nacional ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 3.50; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional?

Deportes Tolima scores 1.25 goals per match at Atlético Nacional 2.50. Ang Categoria Primera A average ay 2.62 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 54% ng matches. BTTS: Deportes Tolima 38%, Atlético Nacional 50%.

Ano ang current form ng Deportes Tolima at Atlético Nacional?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Deportes Tolima ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match), habang ang Atlético Nacional ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.