Derby County vs Watford: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Derby County vs Watford sa Championship (England). Naka-schedule ang match sa 22 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Derby County: 2-0-3 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Watford: 0-0-5 at 0.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Derby County scores 1.46 at concedes 1.28 goals per match. Watford scores 1.15 at concedes 1.41. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Derby County 65%, Watford 59%. Over 2.5: Derby County 52%, Watford 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots at playing style

Watford ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.49 vs 1.25. Derby County averages 11.0 shots per match, habang Watford ay 13.8.

First at second half

Derby County leads at half-time sa 39% ng matches at scores 0.76 goals after the break. Watford: 17% at 0.67.

Goals by minute

Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). Watford: 76-90+ (14 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
Derby CountyWatford
9Shots14
Derby CountyWatford
2Shots on target4
Derby CountyWatford
1.09xG1.49
Derby CountyWatford
9Corners3
Derby CountyWatford
51Dangerous attacks45
Derby CountyWatford
8Fouls15
Derby CountyWatford
2Cards2
Derby CountyWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Derby CountyWatford
1.46Goals scored / match1.15
Derby CountyWatford
1.28Goals conceded / match1.41
Derby CountyWatford
44%Average possession51%
Derby CountyWatford
3.57Shots on target / match4.43
Derby CountyWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.96Shots per match13.85
Derby CountyWatford
3.57Shots on target4.43
Derby CountyWatford
13.3%Shot conversion8.3%
Derby CountyWatford
44%Possession51%
Derby CountyWatford
1.25xG for1.49
Derby CountyWatford
1.46xG against1.38
Derby CountyWatford

Shooting quality

Derby County: Counter-attackingWatford: Balanced
Derby CountyWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Derby County
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W20% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-9-17
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-6-7
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Watford
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-15-17
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-8-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derby County is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.46 goals / match - Derby County · 1.15 goals / match - Watford

Derby County is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Derby County · 1.41 goals / match - Watford

Scoring profile ng Derby County: napakalakas

Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).

Scoring profile ng Watford: malakas

Watford scores in 70% of matches (32 of 46 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).

67Goals scored (season)53
Derby CountyWatford
59Goals conceded (season)65
Derby CountyWatford
2.74Average goals in match2.57
Derby CountyWatford
7Goals scored (last 5)1
Derby CountyWatford
8Goals conceded (last 5)16
Derby CountyWatford

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal70%
Derby CountyWatford
37%2 goals35%
Derby CountyWatford
13%3 goals11%
Derby CountyWatford
2%4 goals0%
Derby CountyWatford

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal85%
Derby CountyWatford
35%2 goals39%
Derby CountyWatford
13%3 goals11%
Derby CountyWatford
4%4 goals4%
Derby CountyWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time24%
Derby CountyWatford
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Derby CountyWatford
22%Scored in both halves17%
Derby CountyWatford

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Derby CountyWatford
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Derby CountyWatford
80%BTTS - last 520%
Derby CountyWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Derby CountyWatford
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Derby CountyWatford
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Derby CountyWatford

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Derby CountyWatford
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Derby CountyWatford
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Derby CountyWatford

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Derby County · 0.98 pts / match - Watford

Derby County - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing
Watford - half-time state
17% leading46% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)0.98
Derby CountyWatford
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Derby CountyWatford
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
Derby CountyWatford
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.22
Derby CountyWatford
57%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Derby CountyWatford
43%No goal before half-time65%
Derby CountyWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Derby CountyWatford
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Derby CountyWatford
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Derby CountyWatford
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Derby CountyWatford
50%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Derby CountyWatford
43%No goal after half-time48%
Derby CountyWatford

Derby County - second-half results

33% W39% R28% P
70
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Watford - second-half results

37% W30% R33% P
45
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-7-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
8
11
0-15
9
5
16-30
15
9
31-45
13
5
46-60
10
15
61-75
12
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Watford
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
6
13
16-30
11
12
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Derby CountyLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.742.59 2.57
Both teams scored 65%57% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%50% 48%
Clean sheets 26%25% 15%
Goal before half-time 80%71% 70%
Goal after half-time 76%76% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Derby County 0 - 0 - 1 Watford. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Derby County vs Watford?

Natapos ang Championship match sa score na Derby County 2:3 Watford. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Derby County vs Watford?

Derby County scores 1.46 goals per match at Watford 1.15. Ang Championship average ay 2.59 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Derby County 65%, Watford 59%.

Ano ang current form ng Derby County at Watford?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Derby County ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Watford ay 0-0-5 (0.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Derby County vs Watford?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.