FAS vs Municipal Limeño: mga stats ng match

FAS has advantage based on last 5 matches: scored 7 goals (avg 1.4 per match) and conceded 3 (0.6 per match), while Municipal Limeño scored 6 goals (1.2 per match) and conceded 7 (1.4 per match). Goal difference in that period is +4 for FAS vs -1 for Municipal, which together with formline 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss for the home team vs 2 wins and 3 losses for the away side indicates better stability for FAS. Additionally, hosts collect on average 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games, and the visitors 1.2 points, increasing the probability of success at home. Lack of seasonal data on xG, average shots and possession (values 0) limits assessment of quality of chances, so the evaluation relies primarily on goals and form from the last 5 matches. Based on this I give FAS 55% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for a Municipal win — I expect a tight but low-scoring game, e.g. 1:0 or 2:1 for the hosts.