Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar: match stats
Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar sa Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 6 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Bahardar: 0-3-2 at 0.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 at concedes 0.74 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 at concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots at playing style
Bahardar ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.26 vs 1.14. Fasil Ketema averages 7.2 shots per match, habang Bahardar ay 8.3.
First at second half
Fasil Ketema leads at half-time sa 24% ng matches at scores 0.42 goals after the break. Bahardar: 11% at 0.53.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40% at Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 0.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Fasil Ketema mayroon statistical edge sa table at form: nasa 5th place kumpara sa 10th place ng Bahardar, nag-win ng 10 matches this season vs 7 ng opponents at sa last 5 matches kumikita ng average na 1.6 points per match vs 1.2 ng rivals. Defensively mas solid ang hosts — conceded 18 goals this season (3 sa last 5) at may clean sheets sa 57% ng home matches, habang Bahardar may 22 conceded goals this season (5 sa last 5) at 50% clean sheets on the road. Sa attack medyo close ang stats: Fasil scored 19 goals this season vs 21 ng guests, at sa last 5 matches hosts scored 2 goals vs 4 ng Bahardar; average xG ay 1.09 (Fasil) vs 1.16 (Bahardar), pero hosts nag-attempt ng average na 2.5 shots on target per match vs 2.07 ng rivals at may better conversion (9% vs 8%) at lower share ng matches without a goal (36% vs 50%). Data point to a low-scoring clash with a slight home advantage dahil sa higher number of wins (10 vs 7), better defensive form and higher league position, habang guests madalas mag-draw (57% ng away matches ended in a draw). Kaya forecast ko win for Fasil Ketema, although draw is realistic — estimate ko 55% chance sa hosts, 30% sa draw at 15% sa win ng Bahardar.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
Over / Under — Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Bahardar
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Natapos ang Ethiopia Premier League match sa score na Fasil Ketema 0:2 Bahardar. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 goals per match at Bahardar 0.74. Ang Ethiopia Premier League average ay 1.78 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 28% ng matches. BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Bahardar 32%.
Ano ang current form ng Fasil Ketema at Bahardar?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Fasil Ketema ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Bahardar ay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.