Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl sa Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 29 December 2025 at 11:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 at concedes 0.74 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 at concedes 0.68. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Mebrat Hayl 37%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Mebrat Hayl 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots at playing style

Fasil Ketema ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.14 vs 1.12. Fasil Ketema averages 7.2 shots per match, habang Mebrat Hayl ay 7.0.

First at second half

Fasil Ketema leads at half-time sa 24% ng matches at scores 0.42 goals after the break. Mebrat Hayl: 21% at 0.50.

Goals by minute

Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40% at Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
7Shots9
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
4Shots on target2
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.91xG1.04
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0Corners8
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
25Dangerous attacks45
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
7Fouls7
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0Cards0
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.74Goals scored / match0.84
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.74Goals conceded / match0.68
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
46%Average possession53%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
2.24Shots on target / match2.21
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.24Shots per match7
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
2.24Shots on target2.21
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
10.2%Shot conversion12%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
46%Possession53%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
1.14xG for1.12
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
1.1xG against1.16
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

Shooting quality

Fasil Ketema: BalancedMebrat Hayl: Balanced
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fasil Ketema is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Fasil Ketema
LWWLW
Season result split
37% W34% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-13-11
1.45 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Mebrat Hayl
LDWDW
Season result split
34% W39% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-15-10
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mebrat Hayl is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Mebrat Hayl is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Scoring profile ng Fasil Ketema: mixed

Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mebrat Hayl: mixed

Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

28Goals scored (season)32
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
28Goals conceded (season)26
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
1.47Average goals in match1.53
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal55%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
11%2 goals18%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
5%3 goals8%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals3%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal53%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
21%2 goals16%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
8%3 goals0%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals0%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time5%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
8%Scored in both halves11%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

BTTS and goal count

16%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0%BTTS - last 560%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

34%Min. 1 goal before half-time39%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Fasil Ketema - half-time state
24% leading71% draw5% trailing
Mebrat Hayl - half-time state
21% leading66% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.29
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.34
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.21
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.45Average goals (1st half)0.55
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
87%Clean sheet before half-time82%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
71%No goal before half-time74%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
1.03Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
63%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl
63%No goal after half-time61%
Fasil KetemaMebrat Hayl

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
54
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mebrat Hayl - second-half results

26% W50% R24% P
49
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fasil Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mebrat Hayl - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
0
31-45
3
9
46-60
6
6
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mebrat Hayl
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
9
4
46-60
5
7
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+167%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Mebrat Hayl

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Fasil KetemaLigaMebrat Hayl
Average goals in match 1.471.78 1.53
Both teams scored 26%40% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%28% 26%
Clean sheets 55%40% 47%
Goal before half-time 34%56% 39%
Goal after half-time 61%59% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 0 - 0 - 1 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Natapos ang Ethiopia Premier League match sa score na Fasil Ketema 1:0 Mebrat Hayl. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 goals per match at Mebrat Hayl 0.84. Ang Ethiopia Premier League average ay 1.78 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 28% ng matches. BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Mebrat Hayl 37%.

Ano ang current form ng Fasil Ketema at Mebrat Hayl?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Fasil Ketema ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Mebrat Hayl ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.