United States - MLSUpdated ang data noong September 13, 2026

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City: mga stats ng match

FC Dallas crest
FC Dallas
1 : 1half-time 0:0
St. Louis City crest
St. Louis City

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang FC Dallas laban sa St. Louis City sa MLS (United States). Nilaro ang match noong 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current na form

FC Dallas: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. St. Louis City: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Stats ng goals

FC Dallas ay may 2.33 goals na na-score at 1.50 na na-concede bawat match. Ang St. Louis City naman ay may 0.83 na na-score at 1.33 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 3.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FC Dallas 50%, St. Louis City 50%. Over 2.5: FC Dallas 67%, St. Louis City 17%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

St. Louis City ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.63 vs 1.49. May average na 13.5 shots bawat match ang FC Dallas, habang 13.8 naman ang St. Louis City.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang FC Dallas sa half-time sa 33% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 1.17 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa St. Louis City, 17% at 0.50 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

FC Dallas: 76-90+ (4 goals). St. Louis City: 76-90+ (2 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

MLS: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 55% at Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head record

Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

FC Dallas ang favorite dito: sa home nag-aaverage sila ng 2.5 goals per game at may 11 goals sa huling 5 matches, habang ang St. Louis may only 4 goals sa huling 5 at avg 0.33 goals on the road. Hosts nagge-generate ng mas maraming quality chances — 4.75 shots on target at 12.75 attempts per game sa home with avg xG 1.40, vs 3 shots on target at 12.67 attempts ng St. Louis away with xG 1.32, pero ang key difference ay conversion: 20% kontra just 3%. Form din naka-side kay Dallas: sa last 5 matches naka-average silang 1.6 points per game at may two wins sa last two outings, habang ang St. Louis naka-average 0.8 points per game at may three losses sa last five. Defensively parehong prone sa conceding — Dallas concedes avg 2.0 goals at home with xG against 1.05, at St. Louis concedes 1.67 goals away with xG against 1.53, pero Dallas mas mahusay mag-convert ng chances. Considering 11 vs 4 goals in form, advantage sa shots on target at dramatically higher conversion, binibigay ko 65% chance sa hosts, 20% draw at 15% win sa visitors.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Stats ng match

41Possession (%)59
FC DallasSt. Louis City
11Shots10
FC DallasSt. Louis City
3Shots on target5
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.17xG1.37
FC DallasSt. Louis City
5Corners10
FC DallasSt. Louis City
35Dangerous attacks53
FC DallasSt. Louis City
11Fouls8
FC DallasSt. Louis City
3Cards1
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.83Points bawat matchPPG - points per match.0.83
FC DallasSt. Louis City
2.33Goals na na-score / match0.83
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.5Goals na na-concede / match1.33
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.49xG forxG - expected goals o quality ng scoring chances.1.63
FC DallasSt. Louis City
45%Average na possession49%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
5.33Shots on target bawat match5.17
FC DallasSt. Louis City
33%Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
50%Parehong teams naka-scoreBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.50%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

13.5Shots bawat match13.83
FC DallasSt. Louis City
5.33Shots on target5.17
FC DallasSt. Louis City
17.3%Shot conversion6%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
45%Possession49%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.49xG for1.63
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.12xG against1.27
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Quality ng shooting

FC Dallas: Counter-attacking ang styleSt. Louis City: Balanced ang style
FC DallasSt. Louis City
Accuracy ng shots on target39%37%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.440.16

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

FC Dallas ang 100% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1.6 pts / match - FC Dallas · 0.8 pts / match - St. Louis City

FC Dallas
DLDWW
Result split ngayong season
50% W33% D17% L
Season record (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 sa home
2-2-0
WDDW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 2.2Goals na na-concede: 1.4xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
St. Louis City
LLLWD
Result split ngayong season
17% W33% D50% L
Season record (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 sa away
0-1-2
LLD
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 0.8Goals na na-concede: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

FC Dallas ang 181% better sa: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - FC Dallas · 0.83 goals / match - St. Louis City

St. Louis City ang 13% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - FC Dallas · 1.33 goals / match - St. Louis City

Scoring profile ng FC Dallas: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang FC Dallas sa 67% ng matches (4 sa 6 matches), habang may clean sheet ang St. Louis City sa 0% (0 sa 6 matches).

Scoring profile ng St. Louis City: mixed

Nakaka-score ang St. Louis City sa 50% ng matches (3 sa 6 matches), habang may clean sheet ang FC Dallas sa 33% (2 sa 6 matches).

14Goals na na-score (season)5
FC DallasSt. Louis City
9Goals na na-concede (season)8
FC DallasSt. Louis City
3.83Average ng goals sa match2.17
FC DallasSt. Louis City
11Goals na na-score (last 5)4
FC DallasSt. Louis City
7Goals na na-concede (last 5)7
FC DallasSt. Louis City
FC Dallas
33%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.2 sa 6 matches
33%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.2 sa 6 matches
St. Louis City
0%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.0 sa 6 matches
50%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.3 sa 6 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

67%1 goal50%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%2 goals17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%3 goals17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
33%4 goals0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

67%1 goal100%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
50%2 goals33%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
33%3 goals0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
0%4 goals0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

50%
FC Dallas - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.3 sa 6 matches
50%
St. Louis City - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.3 sa 6 matches
55%
Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

50%BTTS sa half-time17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
33%BTTS sa parehong halves0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%Naka-score sa parehong halves17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

BTTS at goal count

50%Min. 3 goals at BTTS17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
17%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
40%BTTS - last 540%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

83%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.100%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.83%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
50%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Over / Under - FC Dallas

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 50%Under 50%

Over / Under - St. Louis City

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 17%Under 83%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 17%Under 83%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 0%Under 100%

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time33%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
50%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time100%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
67%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time50%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
17%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time0%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

FC Dallas ang 14% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - FC Dallas · 1.17 pts / match - St. Louis City

FC Dallas - state sa half-time
33% nangunguna33% tabla33% nahuhuli
St. Louis City - state sa half-time
17% nangunguna67% tabla17% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.33Points bawat match (1st half)1.17
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.17Goals na na-score (1st half)0.33
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.33
FC DallasSt. Louis City
2.17Average ng goals (1st half)0.67
FC DallasSt. Louis City
50%Clean sheet bago ang half-time67%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
33%Walang goal bago ang half-time83%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points bawat match (2nd half)0.83
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.17Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.5
FC DallasSt. Louis City
0.5Goals na na-concede (2nd half)1
FC DallasSt. Louis City
1.67Average ng goals (2nd half)1.5
FC DallasSt. Louis City
50%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time17%
FC DallasSt. Louis City
33%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time50%
FC DallasSt. Louis City

FC Dallas - mga result sa second half

50% W33% D17% L
8
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference sa 1st half
11
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.33
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding152%

Leading sa half-time sa 33% ng matches at nananalo sa 50%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

St. Louis City - mga result sa second half

17% W33% D50% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference sa 1st half
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.17
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding100%

Leading sa half-time sa 17% ng matches at nananalo sa 17%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Nagko-concede ng 0.7 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

FC Dallas - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.002.00
Goals na na-score / match1.01.2
Goals na na-concede / match1.00.4
Average ng goals sa match2.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 40% nahuhuli
2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 5
St. Louis City - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.200.80
Goals na na-score / match0.40.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.41.0
Average ng goals sa match0.81.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 60% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 20% tabla - 60% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 2

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

FC Dallas
Na-scoreNa-concede
3
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 31-45 (3). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +4 - malakas sa late phases.

St. Louis City
Na-scoreNa-concede
0
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 46-60 (3). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +1 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

3.00
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.8 : 1.2
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
97%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
50%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
17%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 6 matches
0-1
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

FC Dallas

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.37
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.46
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-1.7 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
+0.84
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.38
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
130%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.23
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
0.0
Mga late goal
29% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 21% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
29%

St. Louis City

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.36
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.86
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-0.1 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.80
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.06
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
69%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.03
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.2
Mga late goal
40% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 0% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
40%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng MLS.

Teams kumpara sa liga

FC DallasLigaSt. Louis City
Average ng goals sa match▲ 3.833.08▼ 2.17
Parehong teams naka-score▼ 50%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%63%▼ 17%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▼ 0%
Goal bago ang half-time▼ 67%73%▼ 33%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time• 83%82%▲ 100%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

3.08
Average goals bawat match
55%
Parehong teams naka-score
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals bawat match
1.15
Away goals bawat match
+68%
Advantage ng home attack
+40%
Advantage ng home defence
+26%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Away team

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. St. Louis CityYellow cardSergio Duvan Córdova Lezama
  2. FC DallasSubstitutionPumasok: Kaick da Silva FerreiraLumabas: Ramiro Moschen Benetti
  3. FC DallasYellow cardOsaze Urhoghide
  4. FC DallasYellow cardChristian Cappis
  5. FC DallasGoalLouicius Don DeedsonAssist: Petar Musa
  6. FC DallasYellow cardMichael Collodi
  7. St. Louis CityGoalTimo BaumgartlAssist: Daniel Edelman
  8. FC DallasSubstitutionPumasok: Ran BinyaminLumabas: Christian Cappis
  9. St. Louis CitySubstitutionPumasok: Brendan McSorleyLumabas: Simon Becher

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeFilip DujicHome coachEric QuillAway coachYoann Damet

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Filip DujicMatches officiated: 8
4.88Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 250%Home wins38%Draws13%Away wins

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

Natapos ang MLS match sa score na FC Dallas 1:1 St. Louis City. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

FC Dallas scores 2.33 goals per match at St. Louis City 0.83. Ang MLS average ay 3.08 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 63% ng matches. BTTS: FC Dallas 50%, St. Louis City 50%.

Ano ang current form ng FC Dallas at St. Louis City?

Sa last 5 matches, ang FC Dallas ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang St. Louis City ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.