FK Bodo - Glimt vs Aalesund: mga stats ng match

FK Bodo - Glimt has a slight edge vs Aalesund: they sit 10th vs opponents' 15th and this season have 1W 1D 1L with 4 goals in 3 matches (1.33 per game), while Aalesund have 0W 2D 2L and 6 goals in 4 matches (1.50 per game). Defensively both are prone to conceding — Bodo concedes 6 in 3 (2.00 per game), Aalesund 9 in 4 (2.25) — but in the last 5 matches Bodo conceded 11 (2.20) vs 10 (2.00) for the visitors, showing short-term instability for the hosts. Aalesund generate on the road an average of 11 shots, including 3 on target, have shot accuracy ~9% and away xG 1.09 with xG against 1.75, suggesting the visitors create chances but are defensively vulnerable. In the last 5 games both scored 8 goals, however Bodo collected 7 points (1.4 ppg) with form lwwld, while Aalesund 5 points (1.0 ppg) with form lwdld, giving the hosts a points advantage. Considering better table position, higher average points in the last 5 and guests' lack of wins this season, I tip the home win.