England - National LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United: match stats

155%(1.78)
X25%(3.80)
220%(3.95)

Forest Green Rovers ay may impresibong home form na may 63% win rate at average na 1.88 goals per match sa kanilang home games, na nagpapakita ng advantage para sa hosts. Key factor dito ay ang mataas na offensive efficiency nila sa home matches (xG 2.36) kumpara sa away xG ng Carlisle United (1.59), na nagpapahiwatig ng quality advantage sa chance creation. Si Carlisle United naman ay may solid na away record (57% wins), pero ang recent form ng both teams (Forest Green 0.6 PPG, Carlisle 1.4 PPG sa last 5 matches) ay nagpapakita ng fluctuations sa performance. Ang difference sa average possession (56% vs 49%) at ang mas mataas na average shots on target ng hosts (7.25 vs 4.86) ay additional factors na pumapabor sa home team. Sa pagsasaalang-alang ng lahat ng statistics, Forest Green Rovers ay may advantage, bagaman ang Carlisle United bilang third-placed team sa table ay kayang magpakita ng matinding resistance, kaya nagju-justify ito ng moderate probability ng home win.

Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United sa National League (England). Naka-schedule ang match sa 14 February 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Carlisle United: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 at concedes 1.13 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.87 at concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forest Green Rovers 64%, Carlisle United 51%. Over 2.5: Forest Green Rovers 51%, Carlisle United 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots at playing style

Forest Green Rovers ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.95 vs 1.77. Forest Green Rovers averages 16.2 shots per match, habang Carlisle United ay 14.1.

First at second half

Forest Green Rovers leads at half-time sa 36% ng matches at scores 1.02 goals after the break. Carlisle United: 40% at 0.98.

Goals by minute

Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). Carlisle United: 76-90+ (19 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56% at Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 6.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Forest Green Rovers ay may impresibong home form na may 63% win rate at average na 1.88 goals per match sa kanilang home games, na nagpapakita ng advantage para sa hosts. Key factor dito ay ang mataas na offensive efficiency nila sa home matches (xG 2.36) kumpara sa away xG ng Carlisle United (1.59), na nagpapahiwatig ng quality advantage sa chance creation. Si Carlisle United naman ay may solid na away record (57% wins), pero ang recent form ng both teams (Forest Green 0.6 PPG, Carlisle 1.4 PPG sa last 5 matches) ay nagpapakita ng fluctuations sa performance. Ang difference sa average possession (56% vs 49%) at ang mas mataas na average shots on target ng hosts (7.25 vs 4.86) ay additional factors na pumapabor sa home team. Sa pagsasaalang-alang ng lahat ng statistics, Forest Green Rovers ay may advantage, bagaman ang Carlisle United bilang third-placed team sa table ay kayang magpakita ng matinding resistance, kaya nagju-justify ito ng moderate probability ng home win.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
25Shots7
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
4Shots on target4
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
2.39xG0.96
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
8Corners1
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
76Dangerous attacks32
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
10Fouls13
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
2Cards3
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.74Goals scored / match1.87
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.13Goals conceded / match1.13
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
54%Average possession49%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
5.94Shots on target / match5.74
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.19Shots per match14.13
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
5.94Shots on target5.74
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
10.8%Shot conversion13.3%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
54%Possession49%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.95xG for1.77
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.19xG against1.43
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

Shooting quality

Forest Green Rovers: AttackingCarlisle United: Attacking
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carlisle United is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 2 pts / match - Carlisle United

Forest Green Rovers
DWLWL
Season result split
49% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-12-12
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-5-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Carlisle United
DWWWL
Season result split
62% W17% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
29-8-10
2.02 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
14-3-6
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.87 goals / match - Carlisle United

Scoring profile ng Forest Green Rovers: napakalakas

Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (18 of 47 matches).

Scoring profile ng Carlisle United: napakalakas

Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (41 of 47 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).

82Goals scored (season)88
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
53Goals conceded (season)53
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
2.87Average goals in match3
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
10Goals scored (last 5)10
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal87%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
53%2 goals57%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
21%3 goals30%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
13%4 goals6%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal62%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
28%2 goals34%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
9%3 goals13%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
2%4 goals2%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.30 of 47 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time21%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
38%Scored in both halves28%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
60%BTTS - last 540%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.55 pts / match - Carlisle United

Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing
Carlisle United - half-time state
40% leading34% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.55
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.89
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.43
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
51%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
45%No goal before half-time45%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)1.74
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.02Goals scored (2nd half)0.98
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.57
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
62%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United
32%No goal after half-time40%
Forest Green RoversCarlisle United

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

55% W21% R23% P
66
Half-time points
34
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
88
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carlisle United - second-half results

49% W28% R23% P
73
Half-time points
42
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
82
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carlisle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
9
11
0-15
13
8
16-30
12
13
31-45
16
3
46-60
16
10
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
12
5
0-15
16
4
16-30
14
16
31-45
13
8
46-60
14
6
61-75
19
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+104%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Forest Green RoversLigaCarlisle United
Average goals in match 2.872.92 3.00
Both teams scored 64%56% 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 51%57% 62%
Clean sheets 26%24% 38%
Goal before half-time 81%71% 74%
Goal after half-time 85%80% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Forest Green Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Carlisle United. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Carlisle United FC
4 : 2
Forest Green Rovers FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United?

Natapos ang National League match sa score na Forest Green Rovers 1:3 Carlisle United. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United?

Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 goals per match at Carlisle United 1.87. Ang National League average ay 2.92 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 57% ng matches. BTTS: Forest Green Rovers 64%, Carlisle United 51%.

Ano ang current form ng Forest Green Rovers at Carlisle United?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Forest Green Rovers ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Carlisle United ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.