Brazil - Serie BEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo CasteloData updated noong July 23, 2026

Fortaleza vs Novorizontino: match stats

Fortaleza crest
Fortaleza
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Novorizontino crest
Novorizontino

Fortaleza vs Novorizontino: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Fortaleza vs Novorizontino sa Serie B (Brazil). Naka-schedule ang match sa 18 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Fortaleza: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Novorizontino: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

Fortaleza scores 1.16 at concedes 1.00 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.47 at concedes 0.95. League average: 2.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortaleza 37%, Novorizontino 47%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza 47%, Novorizontino 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots at playing style

Novorizontino ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.58 vs 1.52. Fortaleza averages 14.3 shots per match, habang Novorizontino ay 14.7.

First at second half

Fortaleza leads at half-time sa 37% ng matches at scores 0.68 goals after the break. Novorizontino: 16% at 1.05.

Goals by minute

Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48% at Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.

Match description

Ina-forecast ko ang home win para sa Fortaleza — may strong home form sila: 75% wins sa stadium, avg 2.0 goals scored per match, xG 1.75 at 5.75 shots on target. Novorizontino ay naka-4th place at may better overall scoring numbers this season (28 goals vs 20 ng Fortaleza) at 10 goals sa huling 5 matches, na nagreresulta sa avg 2.0 points sa run na yun. However, away ang guests kumukuha lang ng avg 1.56 goals with 4.33 shots on target, habang nagpapapakita lang ng 0.78 goals conceded at 56% clean sheets, na nagpapataas ng chance ng low score o draw. Key comparisons: higher shot volume and higher xG for the home side (16 vs 12.11 shots at 1.75 vs 1.31 xG) kontra better actual defense ng visitors (0.78 vs 1.0 conceded), kaya binibigay ko ang probabilities: 52% Fortaleza win, 26% draw, 22% Novorizontino win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
FortalezaNovorizontino
17Shots19
FortalezaNovorizontino
4Shots on target4
FortalezaNovorizontino
1.52xG2.04
FortalezaNovorizontino
10Corners6
FortalezaNovorizontino
24Dangerous attacks76
FortalezaNovorizontino
17Fouls6
FortalezaNovorizontino
4Cards1
FortalezaNovorizontino

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FortalezaNovorizontino
1.16Goals scored / match1.47
FortalezaNovorizontino
1Goals conceded / match0.95
FortalezaNovorizontino
49%Average possession49%
FortalezaNovorizontino
4.26Shots on target / match4.84
FortalezaNovorizontino

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.26Shots per match14.68
FortalezaNovorizontino
4.26Shots on target4.84
FortalezaNovorizontino
8.1%Shot conversion10%
FortalezaNovorizontino
49%Possession49%
FortalezaNovorizontino
1.52xG for1.58
FortalezaNovorizontino
1.43xG against1.19
FortalezaNovorizontino

Shooting quality

Fortaleza: AttackingNovorizontino: Attacking
FortalezaNovorizontino
Accuracy (shots on target)30%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.2 pts / match - Novorizontino

Fortaleza
WWLWL
Season result split
47% W21% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-6
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Novorizontino
WWLLL
Season result split
42% W32% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-5
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novorizontino is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.47 goals / match - Novorizontino

Novorizontino is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Fortaleza · 0.95 goals / match - Novorizontino

Scoring profile ng Fortaleza: malakas

Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).

Scoring profile ng Novorizontino: malakas

Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).

22Goals scored (season)28
FortalezaNovorizontino
19Goals conceded (season)18
FortalezaNovorizontino
2.16Average goals in match2.42
FortalezaNovorizontino
6Goals scored (last 5)6
FortalezaNovorizontino
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
FortalezaNovorizontino

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal74%
FortalezaNovorizontino
32%2 goals47%
FortalezaNovorizontino
16%3 goals21%
FortalezaNovorizontino
5%4 goals5%
FortalezaNovorizontino

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal63%
FortalezaNovorizontino
26%2 goals21%
FortalezaNovorizontino
11%3 goals11%
FortalezaNovorizontino
5%4 goals0%
FortalezaNovorizontino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time26%
FortalezaNovorizontino
5%BTTS in both halves0%
FortalezaNovorizontino
16%Scored in both halves32%
FortalezaNovorizontino

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
FortalezaNovorizontino
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
FortalezaNovorizontino
40%BTTS - last 540%
FortalezaNovorizontino

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
FortalezaNovorizontino
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
FortalezaNovorizontino
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
FortalezaNovorizontino

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
FortalezaNovorizontino
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
FortalezaNovorizontino
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
FortalezaNovorizontino

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.16 pts / match - Novorizontino

Fortaleza - half-time state
37% leading32% draw32% trailing
Novorizontino - half-time state
16% leading68% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.16
FortalezaNovorizontino
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.42
FortalezaNovorizontino
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
FortalezaNovorizontino
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.84
FortalezaNovorizontino
63%Clean sheet before half-time58%
FortalezaNovorizontino
63%No goal before half-time58%
FortalezaNovorizontino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.84
FortalezaNovorizontino
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
FortalezaNovorizontino
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
FortalezaNovorizontino
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.58
FortalezaNovorizontino
63%Clean sheet after half-time63%
FortalezaNovorizontino
58%No goal after half-time37%
FortalezaNovorizontino

Fortaleza - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
27
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Novorizontino - second-half results

53% W26% R21% P
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding263%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Novorizontino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
1
2
61-75
9
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Novorizontino
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
4
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
8
1
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

Novorizontino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

FortalezaLigaNovorizontino
Average goals in match 2.162.28 2.42
Both teams scored 37%48% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%42% 53%
Clean sheets 42%31% 37%
Goal before half-time 68%66% 58%
Goal after half-time 68%74% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Fortaleza vs Novorizontino?

Natapos ang Serie B match sa score na Fortaleza 1:0 Novorizontino. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Fortaleza vs Novorizontino?

Fortaleza scores 1.16 goals per match at Novorizontino 1.47. Ang Serie B average ay 2.28 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 42% ng matches. BTTS: Fortaleza 37%, Novorizontino 47%.

Ano ang current form ng Fortaleza at Novorizontino?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Fortaleza ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Novorizontino ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Fortaleza vs Novorizontino?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.