Croatia - Prva HNLData updated noong July 23, 2026

Gorica vs Istra 1961: match stats

Gorica crest
Gorica
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Istra 1961 crest
Istra 1961

Gorica vs Istra 1961: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Gorica vs Istra 1961 sa Prva HNL (Croatia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 27 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Gorica: 2-0-3 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Istra 1961: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Gorica scores 1.11 at concedes 1.33 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.08 at concedes 1.39. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gorica 50%, Istra 1961 53%. Over 2.5: Gorica 44%, Istra 1961 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots at playing style

Halos pareho ang xG per match ng dalawang teams. Gorica averages 10.8 shots per match, habang Istra 1961 ay 10.3.

First at second half

Gorica leads at half-time sa 36% ng matches at scores 0.44 goals after the break. Istra 1961: 17% at 0.53.

Goals by minute

Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). Istra 1961: 0-15 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-0-1. Average goals: 1.33, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Gorica is minimal favorite: hosts scored 36 goals this season at home averaging 1.27 goals per match, habang Istra 1961 has 35 goals this season and 1.27 goals on the road — offense is therefore balanced, pero ibang metrics favor the home side. Defensively, Gorica concedes on average 1.40 goals at home (43 this season), habang Istra concedes 1.53 goals away (46 this season); mahalaga rin ang xG against: 1.40 for Gorica vs 2.04 for Istra, which suggests guests allow more dangerous chances. Gorica creates more opportunities — average 10.6 shots and 3.73 on target per home game with shot conversion 12%, habang Istra averages 9.13 shots and 3.13 on target away with 14% conversion; additionally hosts have lower share of matches without conceding (27% vs 40%). Form for both teams is weak: in last 5 Gorica is 1-1-3, scored 6 and conceded 11 (0.8 points per match), habang Istra is 1-0-4 with 4-10 and 0.6 points per match. Due to better chance creation, lower xG against (1.40 vs 2.04) and higher share of clean-ish games for the hosts (27% vs 13%), I project a Gorica win; suggested probabilities: 50% Gorica, 30% draw, 20% Istra.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
GoricaIstra 1961
14Shots14
GoricaIstra 1961
4Shots on target4
GoricaIstra 1961
1.42xG1.42
GoricaIstra 1961
11Corners5
GoricaIstra 1961
36Dangerous attacks36
GoricaIstra 1961
12Fouls11
GoricaIstra 1961
2Cards4
GoricaIstra 1961

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match1.08
GoricaIstra 1961
1.33Goals conceded / match1.39
GoricaIstra 1961
47%Average possession50%
GoricaIstra 1961
3.75Shots on target / match3.22
GoricaIstra 1961

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.75Shots per match10.33
GoricaIstra 1961
3.75Shots on target3.22
GoricaIstra 1961
10.3%Shot conversion10.5%
GoricaIstra 1961
47%Possession50%
GoricaIstra 1961
1.3xG for1.3
GoricaIstra 1961
1.58xG against1.84
GoricaIstra 1961

Shooting quality

Gorica: BalancedIstra 1961: Balanced
GoricaIstra 1961
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Istra 1961 is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Gorica · 1.4 pts / match - Istra 1961

Gorica
WLLWL
Season result split
31% W22% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-8-17
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-8
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Istra 1961
LWWDL
Season result split
33% W19% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-17
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gorica is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Gorica · 1.39 goals / match - Istra 1961

Scoring profile ng Gorica: napakalakas

Gorica scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

Scoring profile ng Istra 1961: malakas

Istra 1961 scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

40Goals scored (season)39
GoricaIstra 1961
48Goals conceded (season)50
GoricaIstra 1961
2.44Average goals in match2.47
GoricaIstra 1961
4Goals scored (last 5)4
GoricaIstra 1961
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
GoricaIstra 1961

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal64%
GoricaIstra 1961
31%2 goals31%
GoricaIstra 1961
8%3 goals8%
GoricaIstra 1961
6%4 goals3%
GoricaIstra 1961

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal83%
GoricaIstra 1961
39%2 goals39%
GoricaIstra 1961
14%3 goals14%
GoricaIstra 1961
3%4 goals3%
GoricaIstra 1961

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time25%
GoricaIstra 1961
3%BTTS in both halves0%
GoricaIstra 1961
19%Scored in both halves11%
GoricaIstra 1961

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
GoricaIstra 1961
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
GoricaIstra 1961
20%BTTS - last 520%
GoricaIstra 1961

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
GoricaIstra 1961
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
GoricaIstra 1961
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
GoricaIstra 1961

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
GoricaIstra 1961
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
GoricaIstra 1961
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
GoricaIstra 1961

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorica is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Gorica · 0.89 pts / match - Istra 1961

Gorica - half-time state
36% leading36% draw28% trailing
Istra 1961 - half-time state
17% leading39% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)0.89
GoricaIstra 1961
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.56
GoricaIstra 1961
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
GoricaIstra 1961
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.36
GoricaIstra 1961
53%Clean sheet before half-time31%
GoricaIstra 1961
47%No goal before half-time61%
GoricaIstra 1961

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per match (2nd half)1.22
GoricaIstra 1961
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
GoricaIstra 1961
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
GoricaIstra 1961
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.11
GoricaIstra 1961
39%Clean sheet after half-time56%
GoricaIstra 1961
67%No goal after half-time64%
GoricaIstra 1961

Gorica - second-half results

14% W33% R53% P
52
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Istra 1961 - second-half results

28% W39% R33% P
32
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Istra 1961 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.40.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
7
9
0-15
9
4
16-30
8
7
31-45
4
10
46-60
2
13
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Istra 1961
ScoredConceded
8
8
0-15
7
6
16-30
5
15
31-45
6
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
8
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Istra 1961

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

GoricaLigaIstra 1961
Average goals in match 2.442.66 2.47
Both teams scored 50%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%49% 50%
Clean sheets 22%28% 17%
Goal before half-time 78%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 75%77% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Gorica 2 - 0 - 1 Istra 1961. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Gorica vs Istra 1961?

Natapos ang Prva HNL match sa score na Gorica 1:0 Istra 1961. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Gorica at Istra 1961?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Gorica ng 2, ang Istra 1961 ng 1, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 1.33; BTTS: 0%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Gorica vs Istra 1961?

Gorica scores 1.11 goals per match at Istra 1961 1.08. Ang Prva HNL average ay 2.66 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 49% ng matches. BTTS: Gorica 50%, Istra 1961 53%.

Ano ang current form ng Gorica at Istra 1961?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Gorica ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Istra 1961 ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Gorica vs Istra 1961?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.