Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción: match stats
Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción sa Division Profesional (Paraguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 4 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Guaraní: 1-2-2 sa last five matches at 1.00 points per match. Nacional Asunción: 4-1-0 at 2.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Guaraní scores 1.23 at concedes 1.05 goals per match. Nacional Asunción scores 1.41 at concedes 1.00. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaraní 45%, Nacional Asunción 68%. Over 2.5: Guaraní 41%, Nacional Asunción 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots at playing style
Nacional Asunción ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.34 vs 1.24. Guaraní averages 11.0 shots per match, habang Nacional Asunción ay 12.6.
First at second half
Guaraní leads at half-time sa 32% ng matches at scores 0.68 goals after the break. Nacional Asunción: 23% at 0.86.
Goals by minute
Guaraní: 76-90+ (10 goals). Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51% at Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Sa 5 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 3-1-1. Average goals: 2.20, BTTS: 60%.
Match description
Ina-expect ko ang panalo ng Guaraní (1) — home form nila: avg 1.56 goals scored at 0.89 conceded per match, 56% home wins at positive goal difference na +6. Nacional away: avg 1.11 goals scored, 1.22 conceded at only 22% away wins at 56% draws, away goal difference -1. Sa last 5 matches Guaraní scored 7 goals, 3 wins, avg 2.0 points per match; Nacional scored 4 goals, 1 win, 1.2 points per match; guests conceded 6 goals, hosts 4. Quality metrics favor the hosts — Guaraní xG at home 1.37 vs Nacional away xG 1.23; hosts average 4.67 shots on target per match with 13% conversion vs guests 3.89 and 9%. Considering better efficiency and form, I estimate 55% chance Guaraní win, 30% draw, 15% Nacional win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Guaraní · 2.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Guaraní · 1.41 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Nacional Asunción is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Guaraní · 1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Guaraní
Over / Under — Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guaraní is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Guaraní · 1.14 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Guaraní
Nacional Asunción
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.44 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Guaraní 3 - 1 - 1 Nacional Asunción. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 60% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción?
Natapos ang Division Profesional match sa score na Guaraní 0:1 Nacional Asunción. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Guaraní at Nacional Asunción?
Sa huling 5 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Guaraní ng 3, ang Nacional Asunción ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.20; BTTS: 60%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción?
Guaraní scores 1.23 goals per match at Nacional Asunción 1.41. Ang Division Profesional average ay 2.44 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 43% ng matches. BTTS: Guaraní 45%, Nacional Asunción 68%.
Ano ang current form ng Guaraní at Nacional Asunción?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Guaraní ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match), habang ang Nacional Asunción ay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.